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REIN August news letter

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发表于 2006-8-25 08:35 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...
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  R8 t6 S1 n# Z9 j6 Y+ DThe New Housing Price Index, has just been released and it provides some very+ {) u/ k7 g2 O! r" g3 k* U* U
interesting insights, not only into where the market has moved, but where it
* I3 s" s! I3 k8 G& Z& [  Q: kwill be going.
8 X7 T8 ]9 d2 H/ q  a" G8 G, K$ |* U  r  e$ r. f" J4 v
It proved, once again, the value of looking at fundamentals behind a market.0 C. t) n! {" k) K0 q3 G1 N
/ S5 W% V5 E( j% Z; \, D/ V1 z0 N
The New Housing Price Index is compiled by Statistics Canada and is used by( J5 S% J8 d  w2 _  }6 [" }
sophisticated investors to see how much the market has moved, as well as an
' ^: O- {" j! ]5 k4 q8 K; Windicator of where re-sale home prices will be moving in the coming six months.
7 J  q- O7 v: n0 kWe look at the ripple effect that new housing prices have on re-sale property
7 m  w2 j1 V7 m$ |/ f9 Dvalues and can extrapolate what direction re-sale prices will be moving and by
9 E* d( @" ]; Z/ O; |( d7 Ahow much." x7 F# s0 r) _% c6 G" A4 T* O
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For instance, for the last three years, we have told investors to avoid Windsor,6 ]3 p- U- K3 d
Ontario as an investment area because the underlying fundamentals are not very+ L- Y5 e' E# n1 j
strong.  This has been proven once again with the release of the latest: N8 j, g" D  C- q, |! U
findings.  New Housing Prices have actually decreased by .5% during June 2005 -: O( L: C3 o; G/ X; P4 M
June 2006 proving that fundamental investing works in helping you pick the best
) z, g0 D0 C0 Z% hmarkets and avoid the flat ones.   This .5% decrease should have little impact
/ v  O6 H: Q& X# z5 v" w! ]2 Von average re-sale values in the Windsor region.
/ ?3 H# y# V+ i( M; l) L, H) T8 Y; S, O8 e
To contrast this, the fundamentals we discuss are so strong in Calgary that the3 h) u$ \0 L- z. `6 _
market continues to be super heated.  With close to 3,000 net new people into
8 @' S9 }/ J* g% ythe city every month, the property market just can't keep up.  That is why we
) s9 N+ D$ w) t7 Q# K2 q% z" Ssaw the New Housing Price Index increase by 49.2% (June 2005 to June 2006).
; R1 v3 j" q/ s8 Z) yThis is great news for the future of re-sale values in the city as these7 H5 @, R5 L( D5 U0 u
increases will continue to ripple out into the market for at least the next six
* M0 J( X& z; q0 gmonths.  ; h) F5 K0 N+ ?. I8 I) D! U
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Comparing these two regions is a great illustration of the value of not getting
: z# I9 j, M- ^; k+ g9 tcaught in the 'emotional guessing game' by just focusing on the underlying# T& p" Q1 x. W+ K1 T
fundamentals.   It is sad to see those people who said in the last 2 years that  N9 h) D, B, f# ^& S3 M4 y  D
the Alberta real estate market was over and they were going to sit back and wait2 c( m" b& F2 {! g1 B  U
until it drops.  Quite obviously, they have missed out on AMAZING gains, all. j" r3 D3 c. b7 m: f# w0 g
because they didn't follow fundamentals, they just led with their emotions.9 k( M$ N  E$ U! Y4 g5 n

  w- P, C! p" [' W! y; G! n% `By the way, Edmonton's New Housing Price Index is up an amazing 28% so far (June
8 n- a% y5 e  e/ W2005 to June 2006), also great news.
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% d! a* n5 V+ R* o! dBy comparison across the country, these are the numbers for June 2005 - June$ q$ P* a' Y5 a. r& ]
2006 New Housing Price Index for:
+ c0 ?9 ?/ g2 [% F% o$ _# G8 l9 ^" d. k$ G4 H
Vancouver . . . . . . . .   +5.2%
9 t3 l0 d' `3 _9 V: ~. {# ~Saskatoon . . . . . . . .  +8.5%
; i0 U/ x' u7 QLondon . . . . . . . . . . .  +3.0%$ V' ~' s0 V: R# Z1 J4 `& b
Hamilton . . . . . . . . . .  +4.9%
2 n& [! M, r( |St. Catharines - Niagara . . . . +4.9%1 H: J$ l+ G5 K! b
Toronto and Oshawa . . . . . . . +3.2
& s0 v4 _& L. j4 U# dOttawa - Gatineau . . . . . . . . .  +3.1%- O$ ?. b' K: Y

3 T" H  n7 r. r" M8 r. cFundamental investing ALWAYS makes you look like a genius - emotional investing
- j( b/ I2 N$ _7 R* Ugives you quick highs, but also quick lows.  Well done on your focus!
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! X+ Q3 M. y; J) hAs the fundamentals have been showing all along, the Alberta market continues to" ]3 z9 C2 e& ~5 i! d& O
be strong, as in-migration and job creation continues to attract people from not
, w3 N* F& p5 c# eonly across Canada, but from around the world.  Our average wages are
4 z) \9 v! c9 h7 y$ qincreasing, our population is increasing, our unemployment rate continues to
0 t  P3 e6 P. j1 I# t' Jdrop and our GDP growth is slated to once again lead the country.
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+ J4 q# v. P9 E) bHere are some very interesting facts that are helping to support the strong
5 Q3 R& o$ D9 o) ~7 \fundamentals:
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1. The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting strong economic growth in7 A* A! c* R* I% K1 Y( o+ K
Canada, with Alberta once again leading the way.  In fact, the projected growth5 w* Y# f& e$ |
for Alberta's economy is a staggering 6.6%.  (BC + 3.6%, Ontario + 2.5%), and" U5 Z7 \% ?2 Y
this is slated to occur even with the labour shortages we are witnessing.
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2.  People are discovering Canada as an investment center from all over the
  C4 k( R" D# C: X: H/ b9 Iworld.  Recently, there have been investors coming here from Asia, Australia,
) S5 ^9 T- e- m5 Pthe US, UK and Europe.  In fact, if you review the world's press you will see
4 @& z9 C3 }% |that Canada (with a focus on Alberta) is being discussed more frequently. " F9 y0 q$ X& R  F2 l) `

6 e$ a6 r. m  g( |# i/ _) _3.  Don Campbell has just returned from presenting our Canadian investment
  i# C, _6 Z# Hatmosphere (including Why Alberta - Why Now") to a group of major investors in
9 M( ?+ @4 Z9 @6 `9 z4 T* f" RDublin, Ireland, and the response was overwhelmingly positive.  In fact, after
7 I" }1 X8 T7 j0 i, z& wDon presented the economic facts, many of these investors (who could invest+ L) `1 t/ {0 I. q* \
anywhere in the world) have already booked their flights to here.  Once again* d6 q3 h' e! K9 y" ?4 p% |
proving that when the true numbers of our economy are presented (along with the0 k7 L8 v$ I- V8 Q' W, l) M
political stability of our country), there is no place in the world that can% s' Q0 v# O9 b- H) j8 X  _
beat it for long term investment.
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4.  Job creation continues to be strong (with a small lull in June); definitely5 }5 J1 E# C( q0 Z9 R/ Z
a sign of strong long-term fundamentals.  RBC has also been following the job0 w* z# D% `0 G& W
creation situation and here is what they are saying: (www.rbc.com/economics)
. Y/ d/ ?( F5 s; ~' E$ U"After generating a substantial 96,700 jobs in May, the largest such gain since
9 J) y, ?* |* k% Q1 }January 2002, the economy lost a modest 4,600 jobs in June... 4 Y% U$ X" V3 N' z+ g
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Strength in the Canadian economy contributed to a gain of 215,600 jobs in the6 ~$ e6 C7 C3 F4 l% O' L
first half of 2006, a feat not matched since the second half of 2002.  With the, Y9 F4 G, U5 c5 {$ Y4 m* O
economy widely expected to grow at a more moderate pace in the second half of* G) X: B: r+ J; @
the year on the back of slowing trade activity, this impressive showing may not; R2 E. a8 P6 ~: B; U
repeat itself.  We expect that employment grew in July at a pace consistent with
5 i) T( Q8 z, y7 S* t: xits recent trend of 24,000 jobs a month. Assuming that the labour force grew at
& g- p5 j+ O* v! `3 M( [9 p  Pits trend rate, a gain of 24,000 jobs will lead to a national unemployment rate
- S. F9 h0 J* _$ K+ P: w/ iof 6.1%."  Overall very good news.  Now the key is to ensure that the region in7 G5 O+ |# H3 Y$ e
which you are investing is continuing to generate jobs and increasing incomes.  h0 H, m" X+ Y

$ h2 d$ ]" |  y6 l2 O! {( u9 |6 |1 `/ N: S6 ]+ b
In other words, it is a great time to be taking advantage of this strong
/ u0 J7 p! x: g8 ueconomy, avoiding 'excuses' and to especially not listen to the uninformed
, V: c0 j7 w  ]; }3 X'dream stealers.'  As long as you stick with your game plan, you continue to do
5 X3 J$ S- p, A' z. ~& U) e! s" L3 gyour due diligence, and you remove emotions from the equation, you will see the* m9 x, J( V( W$ X% t* l! C
opportunities that are right in front of you, right here in Alberta.  Let the/ |1 |/ {. r! V7 G
'dream stealers' call you 'lucky' 5 years from now as your net worth has soared2 d/ b4 w8 e& ~; `9 P- x
and your financial freedom has surpassed even your wildest expectations.  p% P* C- {9 m

+ K  X  E; p4 R, ]- a
$ `* G3 ~- ~6 Z* l' E! n7 m1 Z# @Capital Gains Comparison.( H- n8 E9 n1 E
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KPMG has recently released a comparison of the true Top Federal and Provincial
4 E9 Y: M/ B: W" a* M4 c! sMarginal Capital Gains Tax Rates per province.  It is very interesting to see# [# k& h1 s0 g1 E# V
how these will affect your exit strategy.  Here are the numbers:
% ?, k1 U% v. m! u- P0 p  N5 |' l  g
BC . . . . . . . .  21.9%
) ^; D3 C* T: {4 eAB . . . . . . . .  19.5%! r. g7 ]+ ^) m; N# N+ a
SK . . . . . . . .  22.0%
& t  C+ k1 X% F3 \! B" ZMB . . . . . . . .  23.2%
; H. e& y6 y! |! y; \) LON . . . . . . . .  23.2%
* n+ I% y7 l. R: N" I, J+ nQC . . . . . . . .  24.1%+ y4 e2 ?# ~& o9 P* V+ Q; l0 t
NB . . . . . . . .  23.4%3 \' \% ^2 @! O  V+ b
NS . . . . . . . .  24.1%
, B2 l2 o- M! t+ f+ D( NPE . . . . . . . .  23.7%7 h+ g9 {) P0 U" G) R
NF . . . . . . . .  24.3%) l$ V- n# S# p4 W  v. t. c3 T- n; U% q

3 g9 U7 Q4 [: DLower capital gains tax increases investment and stimulates the long term2 H7 J- u4 Z9 U6 a
economy of the province.  It also allows real estate investors to keep more of5 a% h# K! }) \' l: Y% Z
their profits at exit time.  Always a good number to pay attention to.
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8 x8 k3 Y4 H: f: _Overall, by staying focused for the next short period of time, you have the
. ]: B# n7 o' G- `. B( _9 h% Oopportunity to create financial freedom of which others can only dream.  Of& D" `  t4 C) z$ O7 J2 e) V) I
course, the key word is focus.  And with an August line-up of 'Members Only'7 p0 i( Z9 z4 f2 X* {6 ]; v
events like this, you can't help to become a real estate investment champion7 v  G, z0 b: s0 {
when you take action as a full REIN Member.
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Focus on the fundamentals, keep emotions out of your decisions, and enjoy the: [- U) o3 E- D4 W" y
results in just a few short years.
大型搬家
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发表于 2006-8-25 09:26 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 屯民 于 2006-8-25 08:35 发表' x. x$ g% i5 C0 h: V
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...
! J# d6 }( j) l: N5 v: U0 Y# D) h4 ~% ?# Q
( S3 F4 g" ^/ Y8 D- b
The New Housing Price Index, has just been released and it provides some very& m7 N2 K+ ]2 H. _2 m
interesting insights, not only into where the market has moved, but where it
7 J( t; E0 _$ j7 jwill be  ...

" M4 i1 [" G* s
$ k9 S+ ?, `; [* k' T谢谢分享,你买了他们的membership吗?可以给我多发点文章吗?如果值得我也想加入。
大型搬家
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 楼主| 发表于 2006-8-25 10:45 | 显示全部楼层
Yes, I am member.  Below is an old one but I think it is very good. # Z- l) T' ]; [; T6 }' F6 `

( N4 P: h- V2 l2 D" T; Phttp://www.albertarein.com/insid ... le&articleid=49! d# Q/ c1 x# o  w9 B/ b- t* d
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You can also go to their web site to get more info. Here is the link.
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6 s5 E! V( r: X* P! Hhttp://www.albertarein.com/index.asp
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发表于 2006-8-25 11:17 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
嘿,炒访团来了哈!
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 楼主| 发表于 2006-8-25 11:27 | 显示全部楼层
You are one of the biggest 炒家 I knew.
鲜花(437) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2006-8-25 12:00 | 显示全部楼层
很象国内的股评.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(3)
发表于 2006-8-25 18:21 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
看吧,每个月才3000人,一年人口才增加4万人,仅仅占全市总人口的4%,房子半年涨了50%,这就是我说的房价水分(虚涨)。所以,降价是谁也挡不住的。0 y- f. Z3 k, Y$ x) M) w

! Y/ \5 n2 Y$ J$ J***醉酒认为,合理房价上涨=4%/年(人口)+8%/年(自然增长)+10%(经济前景)=22%/年就够多了。所以炒作因素引起增长 = 45%-22% = 23%,所以,降价空间很大,等等吧****
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原帖由 屯民 于 2006-8-25 08:35 发表( B/ _8 W! P( l; x7 S1 V" O2 m
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...
9 J* Y, `" Y# [! y! d$ |
% H* h# i6 \! a! {- z( {9 k1 J
With close to 3,000 net new people into% q/ T+ t) e+ D$ C
the city every month, the property market just can't keep up.  That is why we  M) I' q+ n* z" Q" w/ r- J
saw the New Housing Price Index ...
0 {/ T3 G& C: D, i2 {8 F
[ 本帖最后由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-8-25 18:44 编辑 ]
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