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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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9 m Q3 ^0 U+ [5 Y2 L+ ~; y9 CSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
% Z" p5 H+ _6 W7 r PSenior Vice-President,
% A9 \- I2 c5 L% h. n8 k8 dPortfolio Management9 }! U1 J) r6 v( e4 p6 t# C
and Chief Investment Officer0 w& a7 w0 i B% M6 Z2 ]1 N
7 l' ~. o( W' b( N2 D自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。1 }0 N1 V& O0 B: c7 i9 W: B8 O
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
4 t7 N' N- O7 z+ p9 ?* D4 }2 a$ Xmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
) N7 s2 r. g$ H0 e2 c8 p* lran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the/ h% O$ |# \5 m T2 m5 D/ d
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
9 a/ i2 k6 c9 h6 E X8 lphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
3 e$ M: y8 l3 ~* xunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
( v5 k/ k: h! H( B8 P$ w2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble# H i) ~. |6 m/ I# [
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit# D% O" v# P! ]
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects3 E6 H+ S2 ~ R2 D
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through g$ ?" K5 R. {' \ F" m; p
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond" h( N% M, E" R
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened3 c, `( q3 a! V6 f5 h. J1 u; ?
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more9 ]7 ]' A! O% y/ s! i$ B
neutral risk positioning. |
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