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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.* [% T, W' C+ R
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
( d* J: b0 k7 g" cJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is0 v* t, V+ v j& U
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing4 m7 ^1 e' r4 A) B
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European8 W: V- `7 n- d g0 C7 F
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from& \6 C8 @; x% a8 R/ V7 U
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
. p; T% M: ^$ B( `/ O; v1 {- Mbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.1 L) O0 j! F& J& H+ d
( [) l2 y2 X0 I, F9 M3 NThe recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of3 d% t& {+ l% {# m/ r! k
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are- t( |5 z7 z( E. x1 O/ n% \8 W
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
2 W: f( A2 a4 HBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
$ h* @5 L" V7 s a* n8 @7 p0 |financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a# T& E9 ]" X1 g+ C1 w1 v, E z( j
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
0 s# ^( I! s! P) i' `3 L& ~- C- cHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
8 ? E# \2 O# y/ M; Gof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
; s+ `% Q4 l9 ^& pperformance.1 z" |- o9 [/ r( Y+ E( a
6 n w+ s, r0 {) {, l0 H" DWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
' ~ P/ n: d% Q6 f$ `# bBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the' ^: Y1 F9 X( L& L) B
considerable slack in the economy.
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+ t" }2 m- U) \% e. b* KReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
$ Z) X& D/ X! Y( {1 K$ R' c. Aat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the% }% q7 q* w7 |/ ^$ ~
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further* {& N; ~* r3 _( n' ?5 r2 C( N9 D
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.& J$ c( ?- o4 ]' |& H/ B
Information note:
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' J3 W( J& k3 l' W, PThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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