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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its7 I/ G! e' w2 Q7 G; |& ~! D; I
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is% L4 W2 T* [% B8 L
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing! S6 W! Z# e8 P2 `+ q% }/ G
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
& K+ V$ o' |6 \9 E5 B3 Z) h) Drecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from1 ~9 X( e( F: p3 U
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could9 a, v" D6 n# I: r6 g
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.# t7 T; q" W& Q
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of+ A6 h" |, ]0 o/ d% s5 w
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are, h1 O+ w# Q0 U8 x. y
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.( |7 _0 Z) |2 p
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
6 m* j# H) N2 K2 Y& dfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
7 q4 R. T7 w4 Srecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
1 S c& b: \3 g- zHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects" d+ M8 H- @- h
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity; i; f2 b' E; v2 W* `% J
performance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the# F3 e: S! m ~. m* j4 g, G
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
3 ~0 g; H1 ?+ hconsiderable slack in the economy.) M; _/ T4 w5 R( p2 E( N! \
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate0 K ]8 |( x3 l* M( V
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
+ Z+ r& Z) j. z7 }1 k2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further5 f/ n, `3 W6 I! u
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.. g& O! k, C j7 t
Information note:
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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