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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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* W: j$ l5 m8 |! G- gOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight8 U$ k' z+ A2 a
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 i# A c, ?% A, M/ p
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 F2 p* d! Q8 @* C" s
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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. Q7 z' i1 A& I, L2 _The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with; `, R0 g0 g# m
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& w3 J! u. m, `: @: H
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ ?+ O+ z' c( |0 V* a4 Y( O% Q
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* p r8 e8 N" x0 H4 M
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 t9 b' ], w; T, x0 K' O. y, wstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* a: m: b$ O O) N- D4 _variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result$ u+ e4 C3 i. y% _* B- ~3 b# s
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an" ^, ^1 Z6 i) F( A( c
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the" n" w. B3 x+ l) U: q4 E) O
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity1 Q& s" q, f* X
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.& x0 I8 |4 v8 T. G
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 k$ T6 N, y h4 t; M3 ]1 Q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.( b/ v, D# U$ b
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 r- ^$ j* F, B3 _* F/ Jincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
7 M7 q) a' O8 i# \balanced recovery.8 L& B% q# ?! k1 D: c) F- k
p) Q! r, K' |5 i( j" ?CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 x7 |9 R9 M3 g$ N ]the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! p' w4 W5 P& b9 _
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" ?2 _) r& M( o
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 w8 Z2 O8 Z. |( G+ f1 b) lmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
5 O2 j1 h% M! F% \# @* o/ jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& Z# H& I0 B3 r1 c7 R' U/ Bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 Q+ O( ~. R y. j/ adevelopments.
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" w: l. M/ y9 {- x9 JInformation note:
- r& h" L- q0 h) i; J& Z3 ZThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
; R$ _6 |- Q) t7 Dof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& e) h: k3 T8 N# f- H6 Q6 t5 ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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