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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 D) H& ~5 d( c; [
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( F0 j* d# i- |& M/ i# K/ [
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. d. b8 d* I5 n1 \. S% K, Graised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: R9 P: x! H2 t
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 e- G2 K6 A9 Astrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 a: p1 A+ c, T1 U& H$ G4 i- M0 b
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 v& R+ _% p1 W/ w4 R4 r [% Hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
$ x* x( Z/ u3 i7 SIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 w/ b/ x* t0 Q8 s- ^stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
' r" \( s* g" u9 t: S+ ?variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
% P& S4 H! h; i$ p+ s! U' M8 ~9 Zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an2 a" ]+ u2 l, U4 H2 X1 p
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the: y! y# H$ d8 _) ^" _
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
8 t2 X# W6 q5 E& }% T1 hprices and some tightening of financial conditions." t! J P K5 s% n1 |/ b8 L
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! q7 ~7 Z a% vin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 g8 d6 ^0 S: K G% vGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 H' ~7 S, h) n# c" Tincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more2 L2 }9 x0 c# ? @. D g( l
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
- \9 K9 N4 v0 Z; g4 [6 r2 c1 rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: f6 ^! q4 T! C) q) W# W- z
supply.( q' a. P& s; f: s9 v- i
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 G" \4 u, P/ @+ W1 t" C" T/ U
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable % J" f+ E- ~* @3 j& C
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the $ y; D5 C7 Q2 C. ?# I) N
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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* w( U" n3 X! \* x6 w4 zGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 U( l: h1 J- o2 {+ Nstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
: j+ t$ i# Y. I' E" ]. vdevelopments.0 o6 y. z+ w( c r6 Y6 p7 S
, `# D" Y; H) i5 E" d" fInformation note:& m: |. M: {7 g0 A0 j
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update7 N& I# L+ e# \4 v
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be8 Z' |6 L1 n% U/ |3 d5 I' R+ n
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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