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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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. P# a: {+ t% \2 W& j- xOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
: c9 j7 J' e Zrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly; J l4 ~2 W4 Q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal- q% O' I& v2 n1 `7 r
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) i# H, {4 r" r: r
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the: X1 g1 q* t; j+ {& c2 v5 c% y- N
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& F; I, l% I6 ], Y6 fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
# ]% g2 l. P; Y i% U/ NIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 V- a" y1 X( L7 N! B* Gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# R( D3 l6 i& P1 A# c9 ~
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( b% }- z v% x% @$ U" win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an4 R5 r# x( f: i' f! ], |5 K
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 T- D) M4 z; Nspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity$ r3 X2 q& ~" Q! U9 i# x! D9 ~
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent) O# p3 ~0 [. l& k5 I1 C3 C4 ]
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
4 m/ k3 I( p9 l5 E gGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with7 j7 Q2 C, V& B; M3 D9 L
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 x7 g: @& w' _0 ?1 Q M; I
balanced recovery.) l9 c6 c3 V! p
* y: e" Q8 l5 G" V" D& tCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects! v: F$ X6 a! W7 m( h1 P
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess$ c8 q/ I% k/ K1 W
supply.; Z4 z' |$ Z; K9 `3 [) I
/ w, S& F3 [5 e& j6 ~, t9 x) WIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and* e, I7 Q% f8 O w8 t
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 5 O& m' T, _# V0 l8 n6 n3 b
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 E+ i: B$ z, A
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.& n) }9 I: ?" y1 B. H
. c, z* u* V1 f# @Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 ?: D2 h6 C. [! v& H: Lstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic- n) P. q# ]6 M$ }1 r
developments.$ ^7 b1 w+ @* T' w6 M0 t
; e& h0 x3 V" I- v% y9 F8 K. uInformation note:% b& T; j- n1 N+ e( J" A! V/ K
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update% O7 _( z% |) H. {8 u0 S, {4 D
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! [1 a" i4 G$ A1 J: ]
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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