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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 n! E7 r( y5 ]; s% A y$ g6 e4 prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly7 r; O5 S3 n3 ~, e
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 x' R. k9 |' B% P3 aoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 v- T1 {' p% e- k% t9 W2 X
4 G% P3 ]3 k$ C& b7 eThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- g" r, _! ^9 D( Lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the4 M9 d0 r8 W% c1 |- K9 v
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: Z& m/ F) o7 A0 d0 T5 n$ D8 K8 G
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.7 r6 x2 j( g2 D
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# ~; R9 z( `6 d- [3 v
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 R. g+ M3 k1 x7 I# t+ p8 S0 s3 `
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 r4 d+ D, @- u5 y) w' {: b$ `in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 E6 j: \+ l& J; y7 t$ ~8 c
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the0 K: M7 A9 H, f9 Q1 b
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. v6 w1 F8 ?! k4 Y Q& X
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.% ]1 E5 M+ P; ^5 a# }+ v
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! B1 k1 \' s' _1 n5 u$ R7 F9 Yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# S, b& t; K: }( a0 [
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, ^' }1 B5 o. F g' C+ \* K
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more3 P# E! y: I" h3 Z
balanced recovery.
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5 q" x5 L0 |- ~, z, {) N7 XCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& n1 U9 I& q2 M7 @* \" C& @3 i+ j# P6 C
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ T+ C& `+ ^% A5 h) d/ [
supply.
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, W2 V' e3 k5 T7 _In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 r/ U2 @6 g3 @/ \4 I( b
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 h W0 d/ B$ f
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # N% F' X; O& d
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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/ E* h8 q7 e/ S# C5 m1 v4 oGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary2 k2 m- u! ^. z. T& P" Q; Q
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic* W4 r% x B, |6 _( K1 k
developments.
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4 b) p5 L. w4 x0 S) M# ?% |# L5 _$ NInformation note:7 T4 {( M1 u; d/ r) a$ V
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& G ~7 z% Z Z/ U; y7 kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be/ \* G1 b. F' L9 G
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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