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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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) c2 N6 i8 `7 \1 h& w1 m; V4 HThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.7 O9 }& A1 t/ q3 P; \0 o, t" r4 p
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Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.3 E( |. ~/ V: y: o# E+ G0 g y
O0 |4 M. S' L" |3 YCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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9 {) w# u5 g8 c% s6 t f2 HCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.% t) H1 O' A/ Q. X
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"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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