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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. ) g4 F" X! p- L9 w. K
4 i+ m9 L3 f- \% I$ n6 ~ H# T1 b- bThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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8 I1 J; ~" C3 YNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.1 x7 i+ v& f: Z. S% d! |4 i
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. - Z8 v. G' {" y9 H' m
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." % p( @- ~3 N; H, h
# m2 U$ E2 e& H( y5 I+ D, s% ~It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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) t! D8 T! q' \3 XThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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