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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. ! X4 p& Q) U: {4 |4 ^2 k
% O e2 s4 y/ U* q" Q* uThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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6 {0 W) v9 @4 B$ z/ D1 _2 dThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 9 g8 D5 z% c+ y m5 f9 _
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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: C2 h, Y/ ~0 x% P"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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; S4 l( f/ y+ Q! I/ eHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 5 y6 y! s! H% E @6 r
" N3 ^! X( Z, J- ]The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.8 M1 l8 {( l* F S! b* q' T
3 P0 b/ F Q% Y" |4 v7 _( o$ U& O! QCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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