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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. ; h% s; L! B3 V* x& N* O9 E d
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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+ i. g& W3 }; M: o4 q7 @4 QThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. ) r. {5 E0 l/ `3 k& e: L' o
- Q. \& ]& e0 @" x8 KNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.7 v I: \2 L" [0 ~
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.* k7 | t0 ^7 l) o! |% z5 Y3 b
! A6 {$ V% h1 M, G+ C"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. / n0 z0 S1 F3 M) i
# d3 e+ T7 d! ]6 F5 `The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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1 l7 r0 }& J& x1 M8 X2 ^( K+ ~The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009. {+ e& [0 a6 S) T$ O2 v6 ^* a/ O
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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