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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 7 P8 |, v) g$ ~1 T( [- ?
* m* i# W: _- S* E, ]. o, N) mThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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! V8 J$ S$ m% s: b1 JNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.0 O" J/ F, _ Z
$ [( ]: L( g# Q9 q8 _. Y$ Z/ EIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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( E) \8 G/ t6 U/ P8 i) F% R"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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3 H& _8 y0 G- n8 qHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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/ N0 y- d. j% t: JThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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0 O8 C& D0 Y+ C% z6 p' yThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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