Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
3 C0 x/ [- W3 e4 QIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

% C5 Q4 p9 q! x! nSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
% f$ b( D+ c1 x2 e" M. x- [
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
; S) i7 M- O# Q% S* M2 m  p% n
% g% r5 b; N3 _" `2 eJul 2007
NA
. E4 A# i' t0 u3 T  U 2328
! w# t0 H+ J" V! {& I- H1 ~ 717
" F* m  L; n7 |* a6 N0 W0 g5 F 442,752
410,000
320
28
31%

! w% {# ^8 d+ q7 Y" _Jun 2007
NA
+ I9 V/ j0 {/ | 2661
1011
442,817
409,000
) @# ]4 O2 X7 k' x' U2 f 328
22
38%
0 y  R" m: O: E3 X6 m% h# d  m
7 r8 O( M3 Y' `# J0 y; Q& a! {May 2007
6 p9 e" N$ O! j! Q* y& ? NA
2288
$ R8 U0 H- `$ u/ V' [  t; | 1261
) K& T) s/ C" o5 b$ W 451,216
/ ]( D* V6 F$ s; u1 v 415,000
, W% Z$ ]2 e! ]7 D 322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
% Z- h# x+ B6 ?% L$ {0 C鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
5 B0 h0 M* @& w+ P2 W- k这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

& l, u7 h8 |0 F- y. f. e+ n2 x
* {7 u$ z  _7 X0 v1 J用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
) ~, i0 A" R8 y0 K& [# F  l7 w3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
' }9 j; t1 J* w$ y存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

$ T/ q9 T& J# A; I
呵呵，太不专业了吧。

% g- f# u. ~- e( t& U1 M& Z4 C/ J9 Q新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
- v* P% x. R6 A3 V/ ZDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
' U% u  x* R6 w) T6 mgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
* j/ X8 a( ]6 J) {; a$ P+ t1 _In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
; h' L( T) R: G( B8 vMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
4 y4 B/ S3 d# E# uIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
$ m- h; e! R+ v, }% z* Q
+ b/ W! T/ O3 C4 _4 o: H' ~
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

  B$ V4 j  k* V" k) k/ l
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
0 N- y: x2 N: q( y4 a6 Y5 A

1 a" L4 x; |- `" J( A3 O, {; L
只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
' ^3 O- K5 x  y# _6 W+ G; t看来，观察days inventory 更重要。