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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.* K+ M( C% L# y% a4 r( G W/ t) i
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.2 m* o/ o s9 ^9 y$ Z% R1 \
If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
0 B* L1 p8 N1 } @TD can give you 4.2%.
, u. _. i1 W9 ABMO can give you 4.3%./ `$ F4 t! l. z
RBC can give you 4.0%.
6 _# k3 Q6 c* j# t( w a) q(Roughly)" ^ C5 \+ |* n0 z- h7 F
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%. R7 w! L( D" C5 v
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
, U; l) }) X0 x+ M5 k6 DAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
9 P3 K- b! r9 L: OFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
4 t# f% [0 W1 g4 N/ F- ORough calculation:8 T) V( {( Z( C1 e- ?# y) o
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03" G$ [" `' z% x( Z
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000
0 j. c6 h9 _' H, V6 |0 YDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
2 t3 E' [1 d8 I( E' V( e7 E- b, RIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
, O& N2 Z, C9 ?6 r! H% J# l7 h2 PIf US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.9 u2 q+ d' r8 l6 Q& B+ Z
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
! Q4 w& p" A) I7 \: X) NBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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: E8 N8 [$ a: Q" KAll above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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