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 楼主| 发表于 2015-9-11 09:37 | 显示全部楼层
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9 k# z; o  U: s' G/ bBy Barani Krishnan* f3 Y3 O+ f9 o# z

9 I( J; ?$ E. [1 w+ RNEW YORK (Reuters) - Crude futures fell on Friday after Wall Street's most influential voice in oil trading, Goldman Sachs, slashed its price outlook through next year, citing oversupply and concerns about China's economy.
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Joining Germany's Commerzbank and a long list of other banks in cutting price projections, Goldman lowered its 2016 forecast for U.S. crude to $45 a barrel from $57 previously, and Brent to $49.50 from $62.8 B5 t- f' @# W

$ y! m! l( l& d"The oil market is even more oversupplied than we had expected and we forecast this surplus to persist in 2016," Goldman said in a note entitled "Lower for even longer".
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% T+ L: s* v: V( f6 O6 S+ G! fCiting "operational stress" as a growing downside risk to its forecast, Goldman said crude could fall further to near $20 a barrel. "While not our base case, the potential for oil prices to fall to such levels ... is becoming greater as2 z1 P) n$ a8 C4 h. ^9 p% @. E5 h) ?

+ B( B* U4 e0 [. p1 o6 p' ustorage continues to fill."
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+ p5 t" _9 ^. T2 a5 I# CU.S. crude futures' front-month contract <CLc1> was down $1, or 2.2 percent, at $44.92 a barrel by 11:54 a.m. EDT.
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The front-month in Brent <LCOc1>, the global benchmark for oil, was off 70 cents, or 1.3 percent, at $48.19.+ f% D: ^) a! Y; |4 I5 z- z5 ^

/ p# M+ o" `% W9 G5 g  z& l6 dBoth crude benchmarks had fallen about 3 percent, before paring loses with stocks on Wall Street. The U.S. stocks have provided direction to oil over the last two weeks as investors grappled with mixed fundamentals for crude.( [8 H9 E. `" ~; x5 H0 [+ {4 S

9 M' B7 ~% a) [" g4 d  WThe oil market is waiting next for a weekly reading of the U.S. oil rig count, due at 1:00 p.m. ET. The data will show for whether oil producers were cutting back on drilling as prices head lower again after a brief rebound in the second quarter.
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Crude prices have more than halved over the past year, with Brent tumbling from nearly $120 a barrel in the middle of 2014 to below $43 last month. Prices collapsed as a global glut of crude pushed commercial and government inventories to all-time highs.
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6 F, }5 K, S- DAnalysts say the market is rebalancing, but high stocks will keep weighing on prices into next year.
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6 `) |# u6 W1 W3 l  H- _Germany's Commerzbank said Brent was likely to trade at $55 by the end of 2015, and around $65 by end-2016.
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Investors shrugged off a report from the Paris-based International Energy Agency, which advises the world's biggest economies on energy policy. The IEA said a move by the world's big oil exporters in OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, to defend their market share by not reducing production, appeared to be working.
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(Additional reporting by Lisa Barrington and Christopher Johnson in London and Meeyoung Cho in Seoul; Editing by Nick Zieminski and David Gregorio)
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