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楼主: yxia

2015年Alberta经济会不会衰退?

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鲜花(7) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-1 17:34 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
卓越地毯清洗 发表于 2015-1-30 10:58( ?9 f) s) P4 J% f
Syncrude forecasts operating costs at C$45.69 ($38.07) per barrel in 2015
! ]- v0 ]+ M/ D$ p) i* s3 v30-40美元是operating co ...

" X1 x0 x1 b6 x, T' v你还没考虑wcs和wti的差价呢
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鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 08:40 | 显示全部楼层
貌似很弱智的调查
鲜花(2) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 15:07 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
会受到影响吧
鲜花(57) 鸡蛋(42)
发表于 2015-2-10 16:57 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
太好了等着抄底,入货。
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-11 16:14 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
不会。衰退就是负增长
鲜花(26) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
Alberta will sink into recession this year, as provincial fortunes turn amid oil’s collapse, CIBC predicts" o. Q4 u! t9 x2 l

" C, c/ S7 v5 ~* g3 bRepublish Reprint0 V! x) @, `* T# \. R. I, F
Gordon Isfeld | February 17, 2015 | Last Updated: Feb 17 6:00 PM ET
( ~7 ]# L8 [2 }+ h$ GMore from Gordon Isfeld
5 `: R3 J, I6 {# j) T6 g- `( eLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
* V- n1 x! F; wBloombergLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
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OTTAWA — Consistently low oil prices could dramatically alter the economic landscape of Canada in the coming year and beyond, with Alberta slipping into a “mild” recession as a weak dollar helps lift the manufacturing hubs such as Ontario.
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' m; d/ m; e5 ]4 ~That pattern is already being reflected in a slowdown in the oil patch-fueled housing market in Calgary and Edmonton, in addition to an anticipated knock-on increase in unemployment rates in the province.
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In a report released Tuesday, titled The Tables Have Turned, economists at CIBC World Markets said recent data show “just how sharply the growth leadership is likely to swing.”: L4 V5 \9 p6 D- N' S/ I7 s" K& n, o

* l$ k& o0 c; [  Y: j" WMost startling, perhaps, is the likelihood Alberta will go from the leading economic power house in 2014 to recessionary levels this year.$ I5 ]. ~3 o1 V# [" ~2 A

  ^) Z; s7 D- U8 t, Y3 J“Alberta looks headed for a mild and temporary recession,” said economists Avery Shenfeld and Nick Exarhos, pointing to a 0.3% decline in 2015, compared with 4.1% growth in 2014.
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8 p2 J' b7 ?$ s4 QAs well, they see growth in Saskatchewan — the country’s other major resources-heavy province — suffering in 2015, managing an advance of only 0.8% this year, after 1% in 2014, but likely avoiding an outright downturn.
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However, Newfoundland and Labrador — also reliant on energy revenues — could contract more significantly this year, by 1.3%, and in 2016, by 1%.
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5 z5 T  e# Q$ ^( A6 z2 F& YIn contrast, Central Canada “should enjoy a small upside surprise,” thanks mainly to a healthy U.S. economy, CIBC predicts, along with a lift in exports from a weak Canadian dollar.
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Canada’s oil capitals are headed for their first major housing correction since 2008, TD warns
: |0 [  J9 U% ?* A5 U8 E: r& mCenovus Energy Inc slashes staff by 15%, freezes pay in ‘challenging times for oil and gas industry’4 U' ?; j  \# ]: f- O/ w
The best oil traders in the business say this rout is not over
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The Ontario economy will expand 2.8% this year, up from 2.1% in 2014, and add 2.8% next year, according to CIBC. Quebec should add 2.4% this year and 2.6% in 2016, after a restrained advance of 1.8% in 2014, the bank said. At the same time, British Columbia will continue its mid-2% growth trend.
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7 W$ v! A* i0 j# X9 l4 p“That will translate into commensurate shifts in the employment picture, alleviating pressure in some areas — where, if anything, workers are currently in scarce supply — and lowering the jobless rate in Central Canada, where it has been stuck above the national average.”
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For example, Alberta’s jobless rate could rise to an average of 6.8% this year, from 4.7% in 2014, the CIBC said, while Ontario should see its unemployment level fall to 6.6% from 7.2% last year./ r% E" C" e7 N% w
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CIBC expects overall growth in Canada to be around 1.9% this year, down from 2.4% in 2014, and rising by 2.5% next year.& p/ G; }% Y) u7 c
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Contrast those with the Bank of Canada’s 2.1% outlook for  this year and 2.4% in 2016 issued in January, when policymakers surprised markets by cutting their benchmark lending rate to 0.75% from 1%, where it had stood since September 2010.
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; W1 _; ?7 J" h$ e8 F8 o; i+ F8 HThe central bank’s GDP forecast is based on an average oil price of US$60 a barrel in 2015 and 2016. Crude was trading above US$53 on Tuesday, a gain on recent sessions.3 B  G4 k7 r3 @
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Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar closed near the US81¢ level.2 P  F* q/ s: M( L( y7 Q  \7 o0 [) R

1 ^4 C7 ~! R  g3 IThe regional shift is also evident in the housing market, where the slowdown in Calgary and Edmonton helped pull down national sales by 3.1% in January from December and by 2% from a year earlier, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.
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: b1 j& X6 i* h2 U& D“As expected, consumer confidence in the Prairies has declined and moved a number of potential homebuyers to the sidelines as a result,” CREA president Beth Crosbie said.
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' B5 ^/ y9 N! T5 b4 [Total January residential sales in Calgary were down 35.5% from a year earlier, while Edmonton fell 22.7%, Saskatoon lost 24% and Regina was off 6.9%., r7 l* M, V/ }; s; Y1 ~0 g

2 L! x' L9 x/ ~9 ~  S2 [# Z7 b“There’s little mystery behind the sudden reversal of fortune for the national figures, as sales in Calgary and Edmonton — and Saskatoon — fell more than 20% from a year ago, in what had been the hottest markets in the country,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.
鲜花(22) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 21:54 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
好弱智的问题。Alberta现在已经在衰退中。只是不知道持续多长时间。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-18 13:04 | 显示全部楼层
怎么总是出这样弱智的问题
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5 P& Q: a5 W8 ?. @5 _2 b: I. Z晕S了
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-25 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
这种经济学家简直是混蛋说法,说AB拖累加拿大经济?也有脸说。不过是以前都是由AB这个挣钱最多的儿子养着整个加拿大这个大家庭,现在这个儿子遇到困难做不了那么多贡献了,不能养活整个大家庭了,就说他拖累,要不要脸啊还
鲜花(56) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-11 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
K歌 发表于 2015-2-10 16:57( L4 }) ^3 {  y) A+ Y
太好了等着抄底,入货。
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中石油吗?
鲜花(9) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-21 07:10 | 显示全部楼层
石油市场供过于求,,,
鲜花(289) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2015-3-22 21:42 | 显示全部楼层
肯定会!
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