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楼主: yxia

2015年Alberta经济会不会衰退?

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鲜花(7) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-1 17:34 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
卓越地毯清洗 发表于 2015-1-30 10:58
: w0 o  T/ G% zSyncrude forecasts operating costs at C$45.69 ($38.07) per barrel in 2015
; R. R( E! {3 l, l  l30-40美元是operating co ...

& m7 M! }* P' a7 @! m1 [你还没考虑wcs和wti的差价呢
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鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 08:40 | 显示全部楼层
貌似很弱智的调查
鲜花(2) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 15:07 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
会受到影响吧
鲜花(57) 鸡蛋(42)
发表于 2015-2-10 16:57 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
太好了等着抄底,入货。
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-11 16:14 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
不会。衰退就是负增长
大型搬家
鲜花(26) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
Alberta will sink into recession this year, as provincial fortunes turn amid oil’s collapse, CIBC predicts
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Republish Reprint+ O: O- B' g/ d4 Q! B
Gordon Isfeld | February 17, 2015 | Last Updated: Feb 17 6:00 PM ET, G7 j/ F( O8 m) Q3 K
More from Gordon Isfeld
/ a% a2 c( _7 dLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
! X) q4 k* d, y4 H4 vBloombergLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
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4 W# t$ W7 D3 a8 O6 E2 {  eOTTAWA — Consistently low oil prices could dramatically alter the economic landscape of Canada in the coming year and beyond, with Alberta slipping into a “mild” recession as a weak dollar helps lift the manufacturing hubs such as Ontario.
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$ k. ^: T1 n/ A2 ZThat pattern is already being reflected in a slowdown in the oil patch-fueled housing market in Calgary and Edmonton, in addition to an anticipated knock-on increase in unemployment rates in the province.( ^8 y& F  s1 ^$ I$ T1 I  a

; T. }8 {- {8 r$ ]9 Q* f7 }  \In a report released Tuesday, titled The Tables Have Turned, economists at CIBC World Markets said recent data show “just how sharply the growth leadership is likely to swing.”
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+ \9 }7 X# L5 r5 G- n& uMost startling, perhaps, is the likelihood Alberta will go from the leading economic power house in 2014 to recessionary levels this year.
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“Alberta looks headed for a mild and temporary recession,” said economists Avery Shenfeld and Nick Exarhos, pointing to a 0.3% decline in 2015, compared with 4.1% growth in 2014.
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1 V, A- h/ N( bAs well, they see growth in Saskatchewan — the country’s other major resources-heavy province — suffering in 2015, managing an advance of only 0.8% this year, after 1% in 2014, but likely avoiding an outright downturn.' k6 w: u, q/ P0 g

! Y& |- Q. {7 e5 z7 mHowever, Newfoundland and Labrador — also reliant on energy revenues — could contract more significantly this year, by 1.3%, and in 2016, by 1%.
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3 S& m) a. V2 d6 o( b* [8 GIn contrast, Central Canada “should enjoy a small upside surprise,” thanks mainly to a healthy U.S. economy, CIBC predicts, along with a lift in exports from a weak Canadian dollar.5 _5 s9 k: ^8 m0 h2 Y9 Q
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8 f5 l$ _! w% \% O3 V- m% i8 [. KCanada’s oil capitals are headed for their first major housing correction since 2008, TD warns
- m5 }2 [1 T# z" D5 c& uCenovus Energy Inc slashes staff by 15%, freezes pay in ‘challenging times for oil and gas industry’
- q& Q$ u" x, F3 ~4 \The best oil traders in the business say this rout is not over
2 U  U) _5 n9 XAdvertisement
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# j6 ~7 y. Q  I/ I! hThe Ontario economy will expand 2.8% this year, up from 2.1% in 2014, and add 2.8% next year, according to CIBC. Quebec should add 2.4% this year and 2.6% in 2016, after a restrained advance of 1.8% in 2014, the bank said. At the same time, British Columbia will continue its mid-2% growth trend.9 R+ `. c+ U+ K9 X9 U

8 ~4 L  u. N" V4 O& N“That will translate into commensurate shifts in the employment picture, alleviating pressure in some areas — where, if anything, workers are currently in scarce supply — and lowering the jobless rate in Central Canada, where it has been stuck above the national average.”
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For example, Alberta’s jobless rate could rise to an average of 6.8% this year, from 4.7% in 2014, the CIBC said, while Ontario should see its unemployment level fall to 6.6% from 7.2% last year.. M5 l" f, v& N* [# h% c* b

" ?7 F# }7 I, S2 W2 ^CIBC expects overall growth in Canada to be around 1.9% this year, down from 2.4% in 2014, and rising by 2.5% next year.  P& O1 n/ }* J  u
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Contrast those with the Bank of Canada’s 2.1% outlook for  this year and 2.4% in 2016 issued in January, when policymakers surprised markets by cutting their benchmark lending rate to 0.75% from 1%, where it had stood since September 2010.
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, h9 ~$ _/ A5 j3 [* iThe central bank’s GDP forecast is based on an average oil price of US$60 a barrel in 2015 and 2016. Crude was trading above US$53 on Tuesday, a gain on recent sessions.
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Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar closed near the US81¢ level.
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" Z5 ]) `! i) W7 _! ?The regional shift is also evident in the housing market, where the slowdown in Calgary and Edmonton helped pull down national sales by 3.1% in January from December and by 2% from a year earlier, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.# E2 z6 q; y$ c. ~3 u! K( J

5 A6 U- D; r* D% g* O“As expected, consumer confidence in the Prairies has declined and moved a number of potential homebuyers to the sidelines as a result,” CREA president Beth Crosbie said.8 Z0 R, ]8 Y' P5 a" I
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Total January residential sales in Calgary were down 35.5% from a year earlier, while Edmonton fell 22.7%, Saskatoon lost 24% and Regina was off 6.9%.
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“There’s little mystery behind the sudden reversal of fortune for the national figures, as sales in Calgary and Edmonton — and Saskatoon — fell more than 20% from a year ago, in what had been the hottest markets in the country,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.
鲜花(22) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 21:54 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
好弱智的问题。Alberta现在已经在衰退中。只是不知道持续多长时间。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-18 13:04 | 显示全部楼层
怎么总是出这样弱智的问题, U, b/ j: o# E# o# D

/ P. Z1 [0 ~6 p8 A9 o晕S了
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-25 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
这种经济学家简直是混蛋说法,说AB拖累加拿大经济?也有脸说。不过是以前都是由AB这个挣钱最多的儿子养着整个加拿大这个大家庭,现在这个儿子遇到困难做不了那么多贡献了,不能养活整个大家庭了,就说他拖累,要不要脸啊还
鲜花(56) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-11 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
K歌 发表于 2015-2-10 16:57
: G- |* S+ g" ~" r* M3 v! k太好了等着抄底,入货。

6 U8 _+ U$ @5 R" L) M中石油吗?
鲜花(9) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-21 07:10 | 显示全部楼层
石油市场供过于求,,,
鲜花(289) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2015-3-22 21:42 | 显示全部楼层
肯定会!
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