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楼主: yxia

2015年Alberta经济会不会衰退?

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鲜花(7) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-1 17:34 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
卓越地毯清洗 发表于 2015-1-30 10:58, o4 n- l0 [4 s+ r9 q
Syncrude forecasts operating costs at C$45.69 ($38.07) per barrel in 2015
+ p5 D! v8 ?" z$ n30-40美元是operating co ...

: @8 \  u. t- G1 u8 D' n你还没考虑wcs和wti的差价呢
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鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 08:40 | 显示全部楼层
貌似很弱智的调查
鲜花(2) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 15:07 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
会受到影响吧
鲜花(57) 鸡蛋(42)
发表于 2015-2-10 16:57 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
太好了等着抄底,入货。
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-11 16:14 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
不会。衰退就是负增长
大型搬家
鲜花(26) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
Alberta will sink into recession this year, as provincial fortunes turn amid oil’s collapse, CIBC predicts# q) X; ^8 X- [0 o6 [$ _8 c
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Republish Reprint
# `* a3 S& r6 P9 zGordon Isfeld | February 17, 2015 | Last Updated: Feb 17 6:00 PM ET
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Last year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
( [) h/ l$ B) L1 l9 aBloombergLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.2 P4 ^# U, H2 H* P- j$ {. ~% Y
  Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Email Typo? More
2 H1 f! O* P. m" R* _  Y* U0 dOTTAWA — Consistently low oil prices could dramatically alter the economic landscape of Canada in the coming year and beyond, with Alberta slipping into a “mild” recession as a weak dollar helps lift the manufacturing hubs such as Ontario.7 }" b0 s, y4 j* A2 L
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That pattern is already being reflected in a slowdown in the oil patch-fueled housing market in Calgary and Edmonton, in addition to an anticipated knock-on increase in unemployment rates in the province.
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In a report released Tuesday, titled The Tables Have Turned, economists at CIBC World Markets said recent data show “just how sharply the growth leadership is likely to swing.”
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Most startling, perhaps, is the likelihood Alberta will go from the leading economic power house in 2014 to recessionary levels this year.
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- O* n7 f1 D* `% Q. F“Alberta looks headed for a mild and temporary recession,” said economists Avery Shenfeld and Nick Exarhos, pointing to a 0.3% decline in 2015, compared with 4.1% growth in 2014.  v: Y. P; t( C

2 k3 ^& b5 b( ^4 ^* @As well, they see growth in Saskatchewan — the country’s other major resources-heavy province — suffering in 2015, managing an advance of only 0.8% this year, after 1% in 2014, but likely avoiding an outright downturn.+ \, L5 L" e! [. o

4 ~2 Y5 u/ w% I; D8 J* W. T- c4 @However, Newfoundland and Labrador — also reliant on energy revenues — could contract more significantly this year, by 1.3%, and in 2016, by 1%.
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) z: V- K% w6 R& H  g% Q7 t6 ~  AIn contrast, Central Canada “should enjoy a small upside surprise,” thanks mainly to a healthy U.S. economy, CIBC predicts, along with a lift in exports from a weak Canadian dollar., S9 n- d( U0 R% `9 x' i$ q% Y, `
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Related
( [! w$ b' w+ S7 DCanada’s oil capitals are headed for their first major housing correction since 2008, TD warns
/ j0 t/ `8 ^/ o/ S9 A7 P  MCenovus Energy Inc slashes staff by 15%, freezes pay in ‘challenging times for oil and gas industry’+ ]3 @# {. ]5 Q
The best oil traders in the business say this rout is not over
( [' Z9 a& o, Z/ z: ZAdvertisement
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+ \6 e* B2 S9 F, Q3 JThe Ontario economy will expand 2.8% this year, up from 2.1% in 2014, and add 2.8% next year, according to CIBC. Quebec should add 2.4% this year and 2.6% in 2016, after a restrained advance of 1.8% in 2014, the bank said. At the same time, British Columbia will continue its mid-2% growth trend.* n0 b( G0 t& f
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“That will translate into commensurate shifts in the employment picture, alleviating pressure in some areas — where, if anything, workers are currently in scarce supply — and lowering the jobless rate in Central Canada, where it has been stuck above the national average.”) R+ J% k( A: l2 ?* @

, f" |( [  y* D% `; [# D' z! hFor example, Alberta’s jobless rate could rise to an average of 6.8% this year, from 4.7% in 2014, the CIBC said, while Ontario should see its unemployment level fall to 6.6% from 7.2% last year.' b( {6 b) [! E- L
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CIBC expects overall growth in Canada to be around 1.9% this year, down from 2.4% in 2014, and rising by 2.5% next year.) F0 T! |+ o; Y+ u! n

% d) K" @# j$ O6 n" UContrast those with the Bank of Canada’s 2.1% outlook for  this year and 2.4% in 2016 issued in January, when policymakers surprised markets by cutting their benchmark lending rate to 0.75% from 1%, where it had stood since September 2010.0 S" e" @( S6 Y0 M/ L- `' V

. P  c" _9 [6 w1 X- E& cThe central bank’s GDP forecast is based on an average oil price of US$60 a barrel in 2015 and 2016. Crude was trading above US$53 on Tuesday, a gain on recent sessions., K* Q. L% W$ l9 k3 f5 W& R

1 Q2 d& G2 |- B' M9 F  x2 _; QMeanwhile, the Canadian dollar closed near the US81¢ level.( f% B5 @2 m7 S1 h2 N
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The regional shift is also evident in the housing market, where the slowdown in Calgary and Edmonton helped pull down national sales by 3.1% in January from December and by 2% from a year earlier, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.- _7 q4 C/ R1 X; G/ A
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“As expected, consumer confidence in the Prairies has declined and moved a number of potential homebuyers to the sidelines as a result,” CREA president Beth Crosbie said.+ C4 f& S3 W" m6 R5 B9 Q. j2 @, G

3 m* L6 U1 _% c6 Q6 ~/ PTotal January residential sales in Calgary were down 35.5% from a year earlier, while Edmonton fell 22.7%, Saskatoon lost 24% and Regina was off 6.9%., o3 b' }8 X- x- ^

* D! y/ Q3 y/ X3 G/ |“There’s little mystery behind the sudden reversal of fortune for the national figures, as sales in Calgary and Edmonton — and Saskatoon — fell more than 20% from a year ago, in what had been the hottest markets in the country,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.
鲜花(22) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 21:54 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
好弱智的问题。Alberta现在已经在衰退中。只是不知道持续多长时间。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-18 13:04 | 显示全部楼层
怎么总是出这样弱智的问题
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& ~; ~6 v4 _8 m/ l5 C$ t晕S了
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-25 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
这种经济学家简直是混蛋说法,说AB拖累加拿大经济?也有脸说。不过是以前都是由AB这个挣钱最多的儿子养着整个加拿大这个大家庭,现在这个儿子遇到困难做不了那么多贡献了,不能养活整个大家庭了,就说他拖累,要不要脸啊还
鲜花(56) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-11 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
K歌 发表于 2015-2-10 16:57
7 u$ {4 V+ r' E; n8 U太好了等着抄底,入货。
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中石油吗?
鲜花(9) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-21 07:10 | 显示全部楼层
石油市场供过于求,,,
鲜花(289) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2015-3-22 21:42 | 显示全部楼层
肯定会!
理袁律师事务所
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