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楼主: yxia

2015年Alberta经济会不会衰退?

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鲜花(7) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-1 17:34 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
卓越地毯清洗 发表于 2015-1-30 10:58
3 x$ \0 @6 M3 M& aSyncrude forecasts operating costs at C$45.69 ($38.07) per barrel in 20159 `  I& B$ L, X4 R' q( Q' ?
30-40美元是operating co ...
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你还没考虑wcs和wti的差价呢) `% a: A1 ?7 o' x3 Q  B0 V% @
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 08:40 | 显示全部楼层
貌似很弱智的调查
鲜花(2) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 15:07 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
会受到影响吧
大型搬家
鲜花(57) 鸡蛋(42)
发表于 2015-2-10 16:57 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
太好了等着抄底,入货。
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-11 16:14 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
不会。衰退就是负增长
鲜花(26) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
Alberta will sink into recession this year, as provincial fortunes turn amid oil’s collapse, CIBC predicts  e; y! t8 L; i

' T* x1 D, Y- `( N  q- X9 Q3 a+ lRepublish Reprint
* L5 U/ [  a  K+ o1 s0 }) t( d, ~Gordon Isfeld | February 17, 2015 | Last Updated: Feb 17 6:00 PM ET
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Last year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.) L! z" @) H/ c0 `- U
BloombergLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.5 e, z# B6 I1 a9 [2 k) i0 }
  Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Email Typo? More
- a4 U3 G; L, A1 {; M- {: bOTTAWA — Consistently low oil prices could dramatically alter the economic landscape of Canada in the coming year and beyond, with Alberta slipping into a “mild” recession as a weak dollar helps lift the manufacturing hubs such as Ontario.- ~3 T& S; C, g! [+ k1 D5 U  O* R
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That pattern is already being reflected in a slowdown in the oil patch-fueled housing market in Calgary and Edmonton, in addition to an anticipated knock-on increase in unemployment rates in the province.) m- Q& O& j/ y6 b/ V" B& u$ H3 o& d

1 m2 i( K: F3 @  L% |. u: }In a report released Tuesday, titled The Tables Have Turned, economists at CIBC World Markets said recent data show “just how sharply the growth leadership is likely to swing.”0 p; G( m8 E4 H" X. Z

1 q' Z+ N, @. W* k. O2 AMost startling, perhaps, is the likelihood Alberta will go from the leading economic power house in 2014 to recessionary levels this year.
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' i  r; s: ?& C, g) V“Alberta looks headed for a mild and temporary recession,” said economists Avery Shenfeld and Nick Exarhos, pointing to a 0.3% decline in 2015, compared with 4.1% growth in 2014.! o* X* p" D6 j8 Z
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As well, they see growth in Saskatchewan — the country’s other major resources-heavy province — suffering in 2015, managing an advance of only 0.8% this year, after 1% in 2014, but likely avoiding an outright downturn.+ [& f3 c  l0 N4 u$ _, G( {( }
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However, Newfoundland and Labrador — also reliant on energy revenues — could contract more significantly this year, by 1.3%, and in 2016, by 1%.
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3 r1 s: L9 R# K7 A3 g9 ~$ ^6 GIn contrast, Central Canada “should enjoy a small upside surprise,” thanks mainly to a healthy U.S. economy, CIBC predicts, along with a lift in exports from a weak Canadian dollar.
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" f  f6 n" t( B4 @; w, qRelated
: u) \. ~) \- o( H" ^Canada’s oil capitals are headed for their first major housing correction since 2008, TD warns
1 p3 H- Q" C8 u+ O0 T! v3 QCenovus Energy Inc slashes staff by 15%, freezes pay in ‘challenging times for oil and gas industry’
- t' I: s9 F# F* _! u/ AThe best oil traders in the business say this rout is not over  u* g+ c" H2 ]5 [+ N/ w
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The Ontario economy will expand 2.8% this year, up from 2.1% in 2014, and add 2.8% next year, according to CIBC. Quebec should add 2.4% this year and 2.6% in 2016, after a restrained advance of 1.8% in 2014, the bank said. At the same time, British Columbia will continue its mid-2% growth trend.
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“That will translate into commensurate shifts in the employment picture, alleviating pressure in some areas — where, if anything, workers are currently in scarce supply — and lowering the jobless rate in Central Canada, where it has been stuck above the national average.”0 J% s1 p. \  f

' H) R- n% J; V5 t1 Z6 Z5 f1 w0 H1 SFor example, Alberta’s jobless rate could rise to an average of 6.8% this year, from 4.7% in 2014, the CIBC said, while Ontario should see its unemployment level fall to 6.6% from 7.2% last year.8 g( Q  T: e4 c% o; x' K: R

3 r  Q) A7 [! E: c2 U) bCIBC expects overall growth in Canada to be around 1.9% this year, down from 2.4% in 2014, and rising by 2.5% next year.' R: O) r% C7 u

) o2 u+ l3 X$ y1 r6 M/ ]2 j! X1 u2 o! ]Contrast those with the Bank of Canada’s 2.1% outlook for  this year and 2.4% in 2016 issued in January, when policymakers surprised markets by cutting their benchmark lending rate to 0.75% from 1%, where it had stood since September 2010.
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8 @- o, m' [$ z# f6 N6 JThe central bank’s GDP forecast is based on an average oil price of US$60 a barrel in 2015 and 2016. Crude was trading above US$53 on Tuesday, a gain on recent sessions." l8 E+ V+ i3 T# M/ X% e+ N

; ?; [- ]7 |6 y  `/ O! v: U7 NMeanwhile, the Canadian dollar closed near the US81¢ level.
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The regional shift is also evident in the housing market, where the slowdown in Calgary and Edmonton helped pull down national sales by 3.1% in January from December and by 2% from a year earlier, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.
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4 q3 }; C# v2 P" O* A“As expected, consumer confidence in the Prairies has declined and moved a number of potential homebuyers to the sidelines as a result,” CREA president Beth Crosbie said.4 x& [! Z) z/ d% q

- s) |7 H8 N( A% Q: s3 s" C# H  H" ?Total January residential sales in Calgary were down 35.5% from a year earlier, while Edmonton fell 22.7%, Saskatoon lost 24% and Regina was off 6.9%.
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“There’s little mystery behind the sudden reversal of fortune for the national figures, as sales in Calgary and Edmonton — and Saskatoon — fell more than 20% from a year ago, in what had been the hottest markets in the country,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.
鲜花(22) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 21:54 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
好弱智的问题。Alberta现在已经在衰退中。只是不知道持续多长时间。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-18 13:04 | 显示全部楼层
怎么总是出这样弱智的问题
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晕S了
大型搬家
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-25 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
这种经济学家简直是混蛋说法,说AB拖累加拿大经济?也有脸说。不过是以前都是由AB这个挣钱最多的儿子养着整个加拿大这个大家庭,现在这个儿子遇到困难做不了那么多贡献了,不能养活整个大家庭了,就说他拖累,要不要脸啊还
鲜花(56) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-11 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
K歌 发表于 2015-2-10 16:57$ `5 B: N) y( X) A2 ?, T/ v
太好了等着抄底,入货。
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中石油吗?
鲜花(9) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-21 07:10 | 显示全部楼层
石油市场供过于求,,,
鲜花(289) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2015-3-22 21:42 | 显示全部楼层
肯定会!
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