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楼主: yxia

2015年Alberta经济会不会衰退?

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鲜花(7) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-1 17:34 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
卓越地毯清洗 发表于 2015-1-30 10:58& N7 p2 |% A" W1 ~! k1 U
Syncrude forecasts operating costs at C$45.69 ($38.07) per barrel in 2015
9 o  k. j  E2 G  [( h5 s7 w30-40美元是operating co ...

0 ?7 Z' ]6 V3 W0 t& D/ K你还没考虑wcs和wti的差价呢
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大型搬家
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 08:40 | 显示全部楼层
貌似很弱智的调查
鲜花(2) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 15:07 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
会受到影响吧
鲜花(57) 鸡蛋(42)
发表于 2015-2-10 16:57 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
太好了等着抄底,入货。
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-11 16:14 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
不会。衰退就是负增长
鲜花(26) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
Alberta will sink into recession this year, as provincial fortunes turn amid oil’s collapse, CIBC predicts4 n' y( n; a2 A) x# _, k

# \1 @4 n# E3 @2 b# b, NRepublish Reprint
# u$ A1 e+ G8 _8 ~Gordon Isfeld | February 17, 2015 | Last Updated: Feb 17 6:00 PM ET
7 S: j3 z/ S$ vMore from Gordon Isfeld1 J8 m$ e* i' L8 A
Last year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.* S$ `& ^+ Y! G& ^! ^. G
BloombergLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
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3 _: B$ {) z+ s) uOTTAWA — Consistently low oil prices could dramatically alter the economic landscape of Canada in the coming year and beyond, with Alberta slipping into a “mild” recession as a weak dollar helps lift the manufacturing hubs such as Ontario.$ H* L) A' O. y: s0 i% z$ Q# C' v

' C3 [: D4 t8 o- c3 E* LThat pattern is already being reflected in a slowdown in the oil patch-fueled housing market in Calgary and Edmonton, in addition to an anticipated knock-on increase in unemployment rates in the province.
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In a report released Tuesday, titled The Tables Have Turned, economists at CIBC World Markets said recent data show “just how sharply the growth leadership is likely to swing.”- G( N& J# D( x: ?' t0 p6 \' ~
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Most startling, perhaps, is the likelihood Alberta will go from the leading economic power house in 2014 to recessionary levels this year.# u9 W! u' C0 R. l; @! J# h& G

7 F: \8 y( i  _% t+ v  m. H“Alberta looks headed for a mild and temporary recession,” said economists Avery Shenfeld and Nick Exarhos, pointing to a 0.3% decline in 2015, compared with 4.1% growth in 2014.7 U- L# _" i- u, w6 L3 u, F3 Q

7 A3 u) ]4 U+ E3 U3 T6 V# zAs well, they see growth in Saskatchewan — the country’s other major resources-heavy province — suffering in 2015, managing an advance of only 0.8% this year, after 1% in 2014, but likely avoiding an outright downturn.$ ?5 A- B8 n# D  d+ l. v

2 J4 F8 L: `4 P5 Y4 Q' v  ^- nHowever, Newfoundland and Labrador — also reliant on energy revenues — could contract more significantly this year, by 1.3%, and in 2016, by 1%.3 G! ]) e1 p% x# h4 ]
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In contrast, Central Canada “should enjoy a small upside surprise,” thanks mainly to a healthy U.S. economy, CIBC predicts, along with a lift in exports from a weak Canadian dollar.; k# a& S# \, {0 }  O. F- S
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Related9 I/ b9 r$ c; c  H8 x6 S5 S( b
Canada’s oil capitals are headed for their first major housing correction since 2008, TD warns! \1 ~8 H4 M* E; g
Cenovus Energy Inc slashes staff by 15%, freezes pay in ‘challenging times for oil and gas industry’7 h' P/ E, B1 N# s4 ]
The best oil traders in the business say this rout is not over/ l, o9 o. M6 K& c
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# @2 E$ Q. ?# ~! |The Ontario economy will expand 2.8% this year, up from 2.1% in 2014, and add 2.8% next year, according to CIBC. Quebec should add 2.4% this year and 2.6% in 2016, after a restrained advance of 1.8% in 2014, the bank said. At the same time, British Columbia will continue its mid-2% growth trend.: b& e& [$ q' {) k- U! {- k

2 z" O' r1 ?; u, {* ]“That will translate into commensurate shifts in the employment picture, alleviating pressure in some areas — where, if anything, workers are currently in scarce supply — and lowering the jobless rate in Central Canada, where it has been stuck above the national average.”( V' m% e# u1 ~2 j

7 j1 }9 @1 X7 Q# R8 DFor example, Alberta’s jobless rate could rise to an average of 6.8% this year, from 4.7% in 2014, the CIBC said, while Ontario should see its unemployment level fall to 6.6% from 7.2% last year.# x3 j  |9 s0 v( o8 K5 k

+ W6 ]9 a$ I/ v% iCIBC expects overall growth in Canada to be around 1.9% this year, down from 2.4% in 2014, and rising by 2.5% next year.+ M/ G; O( [% [- G% P6 p

: G, u7 o- j! qContrast those with the Bank of Canada’s 2.1% outlook for  this year and 2.4% in 2016 issued in January, when policymakers surprised markets by cutting their benchmark lending rate to 0.75% from 1%, where it had stood since September 2010.8 e! H: s( ?% ]) R8 T. k
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The central bank’s GDP forecast is based on an average oil price of US$60 a barrel in 2015 and 2016. Crude was trading above US$53 on Tuesday, a gain on recent sessions.
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' L+ `/ S  u/ t% m  ~! O; |2 y. fMeanwhile, the Canadian dollar closed near the US81¢ level.) f" s% s* c  E  Q7 j

2 h0 m" j- _! Q3 l0 yThe regional shift is also evident in the housing market, where the slowdown in Calgary and Edmonton helped pull down national sales by 3.1% in January from December and by 2% from a year earlier, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.+ [  M( M% ]& c! ~" x
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“As expected, consumer confidence in the Prairies has declined and moved a number of potential homebuyers to the sidelines as a result,” CREA president Beth Crosbie said.3 H: ^" h# K  W* c5 A5 |
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Total January residential sales in Calgary were down 35.5% from a year earlier, while Edmonton fell 22.7%, Saskatoon lost 24% and Regina was off 6.9%.
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“There’s little mystery behind the sudden reversal of fortune for the national figures, as sales in Calgary and Edmonton — and Saskatoon — fell more than 20% from a year ago, in what had been the hottest markets in the country,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.
鲜花(22) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 21:54 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
好弱智的问题。Alberta现在已经在衰退中。只是不知道持续多长时间。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-18 13:04 | 显示全部楼层
怎么总是出这样弱智的问题
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晕S了
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-25 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
这种经济学家简直是混蛋说法,说AB拖累加拿大经济?也有脸说。不过是以前都是由AB这个挣钱最多的儿子养着整个加拿大这个大家庭,现在这个儿子遇到困难做不了那么多贡献了,不能养活整个大家庭了,就说他拖累,要不要脸啊还
鲜花(56) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-11 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
K歌 发表于 2015-2-10 16:57' X% J; W0 H, k3 w& C2 @
太好了等着抄底,入货。

% b  }2 M1 I9 u: ^+ y* Z4 ?: K, {中石油吗?
鲜花(9) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-21 07:10 | 显示全部楼层
石油市场供过于求,,,
鲜花(289) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2015-3-22 21:42 | 显示全部楼层
肯定会!
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