埃德蒙顿华人社区-Edmonton China

 找回密码
 注册
12
返回列表 发新帖
楼主: yxia

2015年Alberta经济会不会衰退?

[复制链接]
鲜花(7) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-1 17:34 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
卓越地毯清洗 发表于 2015-1-30 10:58
3 s: i  G& z0 f0 x* D8 n6 L* {Syncrude forecasts operating costs at C$45.69 ($38.07) per barrel in 2015
: Q4 E/ @# L3 S7 T2 s$ c30-40美元是operating co ...
; q, ]4 R" w9 w2 ?% N
你还没考虑wcs和wti的差价呢6 a2 j# Y( d4 ?
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 08:40 | 显示全部楼层
貌似很弱智的调查
大型搬家
鲜花(2) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 15:07 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
会受到影响吧
鲜花(57) 鸡蛋(42)
发表于 2015-2-10 16:57 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
太好了等着抄底,入货。
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-11 16:14 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
不会。衰退就是负增长
鲜花(26) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
Alberta will sink into recession this year, as provincial fortunes turn amid oil’s collapse, CIBC predicts
0 i, M. r! Z- z: I' }5 S4 N! Q# Z1 y5 ^- z
Republish Reprint
2 |! r8 [0 S- L) w; c, Q; s8 GGordon Isfeld | February 17, 2015 | Last Updated: Feb 17 6:00 PM ET) o! R+ v: U, n, L4 W
More from Gordon Isfeld
( x7 U8 h- L$ ~( j0 p5 W) x- Q  uLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
; g; I$ D8 a. W0 R8 BBloombergLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
7 |5 ]& z/ ~8 y6 |: P4 w5 j8 k2 R! |  Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Email Typo? More
& Y& w. D1 ]) C( S1 l! SOTTAWA — Consistently low oil prices could dramatically alter the economic landscape of Canada in the coming year and beyond, with Alberta slipping into a “mild” recession as a weak dollar helps lift the manufacturing hubs such as Ontario.
* {6 p1 n+ N4 p
) s: J. S0 M, `7 u0 bThat pattern is already being reflected in a slowdown in the oil patch-fueled housing market in Calgary and Edmonton, in addition to an anticipated knock-on increase in unemployment rates in the province.0 c8 h. G  K( ]. z9 |$ X; m6 @

' _+ L  m+ e9 T2 m9 gIn a report released Tuesday, titled The Tables Have Turned, economists at CIBC World Markets said recent data show “just how sharply the growth leadership is likely to swing.”4 N, t/ V' l3 d
& K2 `1 d# v" k3 R- e/ ~
Most startling, perhaps, is the likelihood Alberta will go from the leading economic power house in 2014 to recessionary levels this year.
9 \' S2 M) m: a& q) w0 z
$ k% Y1 A$ W  h8 I% o“Alberta looks headed for a mild and temporary recession,” said economists Avery Shenfeld and Nick Exarhos, pointing to a 0.3% decline in 2015, compared with 4.1% growth in 2014.; Z# W% `: |, z/ Z
- l& ]5 T8 Z+ G! Q) j# Y
As well, they see growth in Saskatchewan — the country’s other major resources-heavy province — suffering in 2015, managing an advance of only 0.8% this year, after 1% in 2014, but likely avoiding an outright downturn." n6 q& y" L5 S; m
% `5 Y) {+ Q! V" }: K4 V+ u5 N$ P
However, Newfoundland and Labrador — also reliant on energy revenues — could contract more significantly this year, by 1.3%, and in 2016, by 1%.+ P4 l  ~0 r0 J) B  ]7 d  p; s
& R7 k/ y: s( J9 g- @* y
In contrast, Central Canada “should enjoy a small upside surprise,” thanks mainly to a healthy U.S. economy, CIBC predicts, along with a lift in exports from a weak Canadian dollar.% C, T0 a% U1 m3 e! G
; S2 M# b' @9 L$ I$ `) k
Related" ^- J! U7 z( ]2 u0 ~
Canada’s oil capitals are headed for their first major housing correction since 2008, TD warns
, P& t! k) ?" O5 R; o3 e' \Cenovus Energy Inc slashes staff by 15%, freezes pay in ‘challenging times for oil and gas industry’
& }9 w# \+ U8 A. Z$ a8 }The best oil traders in the business say this rout is not over$ A% x( n$ I1 r7 {, i0 P' ]/ |- \7 B
Advertisement* m- E; N) P, j3 m5 o0 @. G$ {
/ b/ s( G3 R2 D4 c3 B5 D; u

: d' {3 q3 _/ V9 `8 \The Ontario economy will expand 2.8% this year, up from 2.1% in 2014, and add 2.8% next year, according to CIBC. Quebec should add 2.4% this year and 2.6% in 2016, after a restrained advance of 1.8% in 2014, the bank said. At the same time, British Columbia will continue its mid-2% growth trend.2 O2 V: o5 N% t0 l8 t- P
; b) M7 G* f$ t! Z" J& w
“That will translate into commensurate shifts in the employment picture, alleviating pressure in some areas — where, if anything, workers are currently in scarce supply — and lowering the jobless rate in Central Canada, where it has been stuck above the national average.”3 ]1 l+ u) A) n7 U# z% U; p7 O

+ S# m+ D6 x" _7 f3 B/ ?& {+ ~For example, Alberta’s jobless rate could rise to an average of 6.8% this year, from 4.7% in 2014, the CIBC said, while Ontario should see its unemployment level fall to 6.6% from 7.2% last year.8 S+ t5 @, g/ N- D% C

0 z2 t1 T5 c2 }6 l5 l% L) LCIBC expects overall growth in Canada to be around 1.9% this year, down from 2.4% in 2014, and rising by 2.5% next year.
4 Q: n; }1 B- F  t' j4 i% j' ]0 C- Z: Q
; o/ I9 E% F6 dContrast those with the Bank of Canada’s 2.1% outlook for  this year and 2.4% in 2016 issued in January, when policymakers surprised markets by cutting their benchmark lending rate to 0.75% from 1%, where it had stood since September 2010.# y7 E3 E6 B( B7 `

8 D& n  C6 \1 I' {$ q% k" G7 lThe central bank’s GDP forecast is based on an average oil price of US$60 a barrel in 2015 and 2016. Crude was trading above US$53 on Tuesday, a gain on recent sessions.7 Z% e1 V& Y0 U

% `; H" V% X3 q5 y* o6 EMeanwhile, the Canadian dollar closed near the US81¢ level.
7 g, X4 c+ M& w. p+ X  D3 O4 \$ F3 X+ c
The regional shift is also evident in the housing market, where the slowdown in Calgary and Edmonton helped pull down national sales by 3.1% in January from December and by 2% from a year earlier, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.+ H2 c; L7 B  d+ q% @0 u" d
5 r) ?. f& k! u: t+ o+ g, t6 @
“As expected, consumer confidence in the Prairies has declined and moved a number of potential homebuyers to the sidelines as a result,” CREA president Beth Crosbie said.8 V9 h" ?+ q2 G) v! B

. B5 m3 d+ l3 m) uTotal January residential sales in Calgary were down 35.5% from a year earlier, while Edmonton fell 22.7%, Saskatoon lost 24% and Regina was off 6.9%." M# v- Y; M+ b2 x5 P- |  r

: {) F4 S5 V5 R; @. ?“There’s little mystery behind the sudden reversal of fortune for the national figures, as sales in Calgary and Edmonton — and Saskatoon — fell more than 20% from a year ago, in what had been the hottest markets in the country,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.
鲜花(22) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 21:54 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
好弱智的问题。Alberta现在已经在衰退中。只是不知道持续多长时间。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-18 13:04 | 显示全部楼层
怎么总是出这样弱智的问题
% M$ F4 ?  k  Y+ f. u
  G8 p; b0 j5 I) C晕S了
大型搬家
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-25 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
这种经济学家简直是混蛋说法,说AB拖累加拿大经济?也有脸说。不过是以前都是由AB这个挣钱最多的儿子养着整个加拿大这个大家庭,现在这个儿子遇到困难做不了那么多贡献了,不能养活整个大家庭了,就说他拖累,要不要脸啊还
鲜花(56) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-11 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
K歌 发表于 2015-2-10 16:57! h* I2 S) x$ ?' l
太好了等着抄底,入货。

5 x* C9 ^1 U$ V中石油吗?
鲜花(9) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-21 07:10 | 显示全部楼层
石油市场供过于求,,,
鲜花(289) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2015-3-22 21:42 | 显示全部楼层
肯定会!
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

联系我们|小黑屋|手机版|Archiver|埃德蒙顿中文网

GMT-7, 2026-1-16 22:17 , Processed in 0.145345 second(s), 34 queries , Gzip On, APC On.

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

Copyright © 2001-2021, Tencent Cloud.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表