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楼主: yxia

2015年Alberta经济会不会衰退?

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鲜花(7) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-1 17:34 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
卓越地毯清洗 发表于 2015-1-30 10:58
0 z7 b' Z! z4 {( R+ zSyncrude forecasts operating costs at C$45.69 ($38.07) per barrel in 2015, U. |0 T. N9 d/ J0 q+ u. |
30-40美元是operating co ...

2 a  p- j$ a7 G/ }; @你还没考虑wcs和wti的差价呢
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鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 08:40 | 显示全部楼层
貌似很弱智的调查
鲜花(2) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 15:07 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
会受到影响吧
鲜花(57) 鸡蛋(42)
发表于 2015-2-10 16:57 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
太好了等着抄底,入货。
大型搬家
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-11 16:14 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
不会。衰退就是负增长
鲜花(26) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
Alberta will sink into recession this year, as provincial fortunes turn amid oil’s collapse, CIBC predicts/ p" n5 J) b' D  G' {% W: I
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Republish Reprint
9 x5 x, M8 c$ d8 sGordon Isfeld | February 17, 2015 | Last Updated: Feb 17 6:00 PM ET* z6 X2 v5 [6 L; A/ {
More from Gordon Isfeld! I9 k( z7 m6 j+ n- K$ ?& P
Last year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.# }5 d6 g3 i2 G8 E
BloombergLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.) c0 `* ?" {1 T  @
  Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Email Typo? More  a7 g# r) Y; V* U" P8 f
OTTAWA — Consistently low oil prices could dramatically alter the economic landscape of Canada in the coming year and beyond, with Alberta slipping into a “mild” recession as a weak dollar helps lift the manufacturing hubs such as Ontario.
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That pattern is already being reflected in a slowdown in the oil patch-fueled housing market in Calgary and Edmonton, in addition to an anticipated knock-on increase in unemployment rates in the province.3 [6 Q5 |" j/ K' j

* [* D$ n: _! l: K# l& k* hIn a report released Tuesday, titled The Tables Have Turned, economists at CIBC World Markets said recent data show “just how sharply the growth leadership is likely to swing.”/ O4 l8 r3 }0 L2 E& l/ ]# w
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Most startling, perhaps, is the likelihood Alberta will go from the leading economic power house in 2014 to recessionary levels this year.5 k: N$ f5 m6 M

6 G3 I2 G6 d/ e8 r" q“Alberta looks headed for a mild and temporary recession,” said economists Avery Shenfeld and Nick Exarhos, pointing to a 0.3% decline in 2015, compared with 4.1% growth in 2014.
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0 ?4 U# s+ {4 y+ f% eAs well, they see growth in Saskatchewan — the country’s other major resources-heavy province — suffering in 2015, managing an advance of only 0.8% this year, after 1% in 2014, but likely avoiding an outright downturn.' Z1 r- t% D1 }1 P! A# W7 U# O# h: r
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However, Newfoundland and Labrador — also reliant on energy revenues — could contract more significantly this year, by 1.3%, and in 2016, by 1%.
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In contrast, Central Canada “should enjoy a small upside surprise,” thanks mainly to a healthy U.S. economy, CIBC predicts, along with a lift in exports from a weak Canadian dollar.3 c6 k# Y9 _6 S8 c/ ]2 ^

5 r; t* b* N6 ]Related
% k' D5 P# J$ SCanada’s oil capitals are headed for their first major housing correction since 2008, TD warns
% o, V! ~# n" u+ Y% ~5 HCenovus Energy Inc slashes staff by 15%, freezes pay in ‘challenging times for oil and gas industry’
  s; b( {' {1 e/ p, `The best oil traders in the business say this rout is not over
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1 {0 H, S* A" x  O* V5 T: tThe Ontario economy will expand 2.8% this year, up from 2.1% in 2014, and add 2.8% next year, according to CIBC. Quebec should add 2.4% this year and 2.6% in 2016, after a restrained advance of 1.8% in 2014, the bank said. At the same time, British Columbia will continue its mid-2% growth trend.* f* w  d  T0 i/ s' u% u+ [

3 c6 k: P/ a+ B5 |“That will translate into commensurate shifts in the employment picture, alleviating pressure in some areas — where, if anything, workers are currently in scarce supply — and lowering the jobless rate in Central Canada, where it has been stuck above the national average.”% ?. E1 O) Q  B2 L+ M# r8 L: C# y
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For example, Alberta’s jobless rate could rise to an average of 6.8% this year, from 4.7% in 2014, the CIBC said, while Ontario should see its unemployment level fall to 6.6% from 7.2% last year.
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CIBC expects overall growth in Canada to be around 1.9% this year, down from 2.4% in 2014, and rising by 2.5% next year.: I& y% m; j- D# z' [7 j) {0 K( Z

8 Z3 S, u, f5 ]- J' B% Y: EContrast those with the Bank of Canada’s 2.1% outlook for  this year and 2.4% in 2016 issued in January, when policymakers surprised markets by cutting their benchmark lending rate to 0.75% from 1%, where it had stood since September 2010.
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The central bank’s GDP forecast is based on an average oil price of US$60 a barrel in 2015 and 2016. Crude was trading above US$53 on Tuesday, a gain on recent sessions.
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( H/ S! z( m9 gMeanwhile, the Canadian dollar closed near the US81¢ level.
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, h" C& a$ u3 Z+ NThe regional shift is also evident in the housing market, where the slowdown in Calgary and Edmonton helped pull down national sales by 3.1% in January from December and by 2% from a year earlier, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.+ S& G+ Z( F; \  N* }# ^$ M8 b

, w; v0 G" r* z0 @) }“As expected, consumer confidence in the Prairies has declined and moved a number of potential homebuyers to the sidelines as a result,” CREA president Beth Crosbie said.# |: Z. \; g- P5 `" Y& `7 B& Z/ t6 B5 ]+ F
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Total January residential sales in Calgary were down 35.5% from a year earlier, while Edmonton fell 22.7%, Saskatoon lost 24% and Regina was off 6.9%.2 u( F$ m- d6 u& ^9 z! ~" R/ _
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“There’s little mystery behind the sudden reversal of fortune for the national figures, as sales in Calgary and Edmonton — and Saskatoon — fell more than 20% from a year ago, in what had been the hottest markets in the country,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.
鲜花(22) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 21:54 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
好弱智的问题。Alberta现在已经在衰退中。只是不知道持续多长时间。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-18 13:04 | 显示全部楼层
怎么总是出这样弱智的问题8 T0 q: z) @- a! }
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晕S了
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-25 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
这种经济学家简直是混蛋说法,说AB拖累加拿大经济?也有脸说。不过是以前都是由AB这个挣钱最多的儿子养着整个加拿大这个大家庭,现在这个儿子遇到困难做不了那么多贡献了,不能养活整个大家庭了,就说他拖累,要不要脸啊还
鲜花(56) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-11 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
K歌 发表于 2015-2-10 16:57
  h" U. S- p, g' l( r% y! v" \太好了等着抄底,入货。
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中石油吗?
鲜花(9) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-21 07:10 | 显示全部楼层
石油市场供过于求,,,
鲜花(289) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2015-3-22 21:42 | 显示全部楼层
肯定会!
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