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楼主: yxia

2015年Alberta经济会不会衰退?

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鲜花(7) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-1 17:34 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
卓越地毯清洗 发表于 2015-1-30 10:58
$ U& i3 n- }- s) Y; x- \/ DSyncrude forecasts operating costs at C$45.69 ($38.07) per barrel in 20152 @& n& \4 t' c3 {; t. ?1 G- w
30-40美元是operating co ...

- h5 w- [5 Q& R% f你还没考虑wcs和wti的差价呢/ ?! _  N7 O" e1 Y
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 08:40 | 显示全部楼层
貌似很弱智的调查
鲜花(2) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 15:07 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
会受到影响吧
鲜花(57) 鸡蛋(42)
发表于 2015-2-10 16:57 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
太好了等着抄底,入货。
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-11 16:14 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
不会。衰退就是负增长
鲜花(26) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
Alberta will sink into recession this year, as provincial fortunes turn amid oil’s collapse, CIBC predicts. j$ p  r$ W* z; @
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Republish Reprint  {* w6 z" ]4 V* P# p
Gordon Isfeld | February 17, 2015 | Last Updated: Feb 17 6:00 PM ET
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Last year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
2 Z9 L2 ~6 h& t* q, ?6 }4 F* R% LBloombergLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.7 z. f& g  f% B9 L" v0 V
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& K3 b. j& ?3 K" x+ T- Q4 JOTTAWA — Consistently low oil prices could dramatically alter the economic landscape of Canada in the coming year and beyond, with Alberta slipping into a “mild” recession as a weak dollar helps lift the manufacturing hubs such as Ontario., L. u, I6 o- V5 Y. K' e4 c& w
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That pattern is already being reflected in a slowdown in the oil patch-fueled housing market in Calgary and Edmonton, in addition to an anticipated knock-on increase in unemployment rates in the province.
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& X$ Q& J( f9 I3 l2 y2 r8 I' aIn a report released Tuesday, titled The Tables Have Turned, economists at CIBC World Markets said recent data show “just how sharply the growth leadership is likely to swing.”
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Most startling, perhaps, is the likelihood Alberta will go from the leading economic power house in 2014 to recessionary levels this year.8 Z9 Y6 e  w# G$ Y5 P. D
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“Alberta looks headed for a mild and temporary recession,” said economists Avery Shenfeld and Nick Exarhos, pointing to a 0.3% decline in 2015, compared with 4.1% growth in 2014.
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As well, they see growth in Saskatchewan — the country’s other major resources-heavy province — suffering in 2015, managing an advance of only 0.8% this year, after 1% in 2014, but likely avoiding an outright downturn.
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' `6 K8 u3 v8 ?5 s1 V3 Q# u8 THowever, Newfoundland and Labrador — also reliant on energy revenues — could contract more significantly this year, by 1.3%, and in 2016, by 1%.
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In contrast, Central Canada “should enjoy a small upside surprise,” thanks mainly to a healthy U.S. economy, CIBC predicts, along with a lift in exports from a weak Canadian dollar.
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. |  \3 T& j- t6 d; jCanada’s oil capitals are headed for their first major housing correction since 2008, TD warns( X, K1 ]; E" z- ]+ d( x
Cenovus Energy Inc slashes staff by 15%, freezes pay in ‘challenging times for oil and gas industry’' R7 T% s/ Y& H2 c* h& l
The best oil traders in the business say this rout is not over2 o: I- y4 b- Z5 X, ~+ }! L+ }
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The Ontario economy will expand 2.8% this year, up from 2.1% in 2014, and add 2.8% next year, according to CIBC. Quebec should add 2.4% this year and 2.6% in 2016, after a restrained advance of 1.8% in 2014, the bank said. At the same time, British Columbia will continue its mid-2% growth trend.
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“That will translate into commensurate shifts in the employment picture, alleviating pressure in some areas — where, if anything, workers are currently in scarce supply — and lowering the jobless rate in Central Canada, where it has been stuck above the national average.”
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( i) M4 \/ ~8 a  A1 lFor example, Alberta’s jobless rate could rise to an average of 6.8% this year, from 4.7% in 2014, the CIBC said, while Ontario should see its unemployment level fall to 6.6% from 7.2% last year.
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CIBC expects overall growth in Canada to be around 1.9% this year, down from 2.4% in 2014, and rising by 2.5% next year., o; M+ C4 W  Y
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Contrast those with the Bank of Canada’s 2.1% outlook for  this year and 2.4% in 2016 issued in January, when policymakers surprised markets by cutting their benchmark lending rate to 0.75% from 1%, where it had stood since September 2010.
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* A, _0 h# P6 A1 T2 B, WThe central bank’s GDP forecast is based on an average oil price of US$60 a barrel in 2015 and 2016. Crude was trading above US$53 on Tuesday, a gain on recent sessions.
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Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar closed near the US81¢ level.
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3 V$ c1 K6 u8 O* e0 w! \$ fThe regional shift is also evident in the housing market, where the slowdown in Calgary and Edmonton helped pull down national sales by 3.1% in January from December and by 2% from a year earlier, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.* _4 J8 B. D7 C

5 P3 j9 n. o& e4 n1 F“As expected, consumer confidence in the Prairies has declined and moved a number of potential homebuyers to the sidelines as a result,” CREA president Beth Crosbie said.
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/ V" {+ C( P6 `/ jTotal January residential sales in Calgary were down 35.5% from a year earlier, while Edmonton fell 22.7%, Saskatoon lost 24% and Regina was off 6.9%.
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$ z8 ]. Z; b  C6 T: C5 Q' c“There’s little mystery behind the sudden reversal of fortune for the national figures, as sales in Calgary and Edmonton — and Saskatoon — fell more than 20% from a year ago, in what had been the hottest markets in the country,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.
鲜花(22) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 21:54 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
好弱智的问题。Alberta现在已经在衰退中。只是不知道持续多长时间。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-18 13:04 | 显示全部楼层
怎么总是出这样弱智的问题% P0 K2 K* O* Y1 E

8 S2 i8 w5 u8 N8 f& J9 ^8 I晕S了
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-25 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
这种经济学家简直是混蛋说法,说AB拖累加拿大经济?也有脸说。不过是以前都是由AB这个挣钱最多的儿子养着整个加拿大这个大家庭,现在这个儿子遇到困难做不了那么多贡献了,不能养活整个大家庭了,就说他拖累,要不要脸啊还
理袁律师事务所
鲜花(56) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-11 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
K歌 发表于 2015-2-10 16:57* L* d- N( G$ I6 g
太好了等着抄底,入货。

; D. D! x2 }7 D; `$ j, f  d& _中石油吗?
鲜花(9) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-21 07:10 | 显示全部楼层
石油市场供过于求,,,
鲜花(289) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2015-3-22 21:42 | 显示全部楼层
肯定会!
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