埃德蒙顿华人社区-Edmonton China

 找回密码
 注册
12
返回列表 发新帖
楼主: yxia

2015年Alberta经济会不会衰退?

[复制链接]
鲜花(7) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-1 17:34 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
卓越地毯清洗 发表于 2015-1-30 10:589 n( u8 U# b, y
Syncrude forecasts operating costs at C$45.69 ($38.07) per barrel in 2015: Z# `9 ]( a/ a3 n5 w5 {, D
30-40美元是operating co ...
; x. W3 ~2 a, \0 Z
你还没考虑wcs和wti的差价呢
: ^& T6 |( o4 Y0 C7 l7 C
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 08:40 | 显示全部楼层
貌似很弱智的调查
鲜花(2) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-4 15:07 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
会受到影响吧
鲜花(57) 鸡蛋(42)
发表于 2015-2-10 16:57 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
太好了等着抄底,入货。
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-11 16:14 来自手机 | 显示全部楼层
不会。衰退就是负增长
鲜花(26) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 16:19 | 显示全部楼层
Alberta will sink into recession this year, as provincial fortunes turn amid oil’s collapse, CIBC predicts
8 J. c. U, N: |6 c4 D- p4 Y; F: X6 H+ `# I4 Y1 j& P$ k
Republish Reprint8 i0 R3 G5 J; K: p
Gordon Isfeld | February 17, 2015 | Last Updated: Feb 17 6:00 PM ET
5 z. q* W/ d0 |% S0 c  L3 b, P" LMore from Gordon Isfeld
$ z' {6 G( S! ?) H. Z% J1 c+ RLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.
; j" Z9 q% a5 X* q  v' f5 KBloombergLast year Alberta lead Canada's growth, but the plunge in oil prices has turned the tables on the nation's energy giants.6 m& [1 A* Z6 m, C
  Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Email Typo? More; S  C8 @; Z% U) D
OTTAWA — Consistently low oil prices could dramatically alter the economic landscape of Canada in the coming year and beyond, with Alberta slipping into a “mild” recession as a weak dollar helps lift the manufacturing hubs such as Ontario.! W' I/ D* L  L" w0 j0 ]2 Z

( P, p. n2 M  i# D$ W8 kThat pattern is already being reflected in a slowdown in the oil patch-fueled housing market in Calgary and Edmonton, in addition to an anticipated knock-on increase in unemployment rates in the province.' g1 ^1 {3 }: u+ V3 B# U

1 H+ C% p5 }/ }1 P5 e. VIn a report released Tuesday, titled The Tables Have Turned, economists at CIBC World Markets said recent data show “just how sharply the growth leadership is likely to swing.”
! C: N6 p, I" ?7 q; j+ s% y) t
# k) \. B. u$ n: Z, lMost startling, perhaps, is the likelihood Alberta will go from the leading economic power house in 2014 to recessionary levels this year." M$ d* Q4 P, E, m# V% y, z7 w
+ ~5 ?' Q8 E0 m' W
“Alberta looks headed for a mild and temporary recession,” said economists Avery Shenfeld and Nick Exarhos, pointing to a 0.3% decline in 2015, compared with 4.1% growth in 2014.
8 D  d2 I! E+ H/ I- K7 w
+ l1 C) |& a: a5 z# r' C+ ]As well, they see growth in Saskatchewan — the country’s other major resources-heavy province — suffering in 2015, managing an advance of only 0.8% this year, after 1% in 2014, but likely avoiding an outright downturn.
$ G* \4 [, s  e3 j3 C5 H% h0 g2 \. j, `: k* ?6 B0 W
However, Newfoundland and Labrador — also reliant on energy revenues — could contract more significantly this year, by 1.3%, and in 2016, by 1%.( R" y5 T# }7 W+ ~4 `
, `3 h9 e) I* h- g: ^9 a4 `$ @0 D4 L
In contrast, Central Canada “should enjoy a small upside surprise,” thanks mainly to a healthy U.S. economy, CIBC predicts, along with a lift in exports from a weak Canadian dollar.
$ e# g$ z2 Y8 Y# B" ?, X4 s
( {9 i+ U; |$ sRelated
$ J( z6 W% t  r  vCanada’s oil capitals are headed for their first major housing correction since 2008, TD warns
) l& f8 l6 t; D+ \/ BCenovus Energy Inc slashes staff by 15%, freezes pay in ‘challenging times for oil and gas industry’. l5 f7 u& \4 }0 F
The best oil traders in the business say this rout is not over
7 X2 g  |- i! r: c) s9 g5 f) u: ^) |  P# V$ QAdvertisement
  K' k! h) C; W
( B$ a+ Y/ {9 [
" r) @& {3 T; [The Ontario economy will expand 2.8% this year, up from 2.1% in 2014, and add 2.8% next year, according to CIBC. Quebec should add 2.4% this year and 2.6% in 2016, after a restrained advance of 1.8% in 2014, the bank said. At the same time, British Columbia will continue its mid-2% growth trend.
& h: `, G, z! \9 `) u: W4 I
( \7 V; ?$ q& ^“That will translate into commensurate shifts in the employment picture, alleviating pressure in some areas — where, if anything, workers are currently in scarce supply — and lowering the jobless rate in Central Canada, where it has been stuck above the national average.”+ G9 X- Y( T' \- p2 Y6 [: P: w
5 P! y' Y" v( a5 P% N6 s
For example, Alberta’s jobless rate could rise to an average of 6.8% this year, from 4.7% in 2014, the CIBC said, while Ontario should see its unemployment level fall to 6.6% from 7.2% last year.
  ?* ?' [  U7 `+ M0 ]% B$ M+ i- o  A* W% M
CIBC expects overall growth in Canada to be around 1.9% this year, down from 2.4% in 2014, and rising by 2.5% next year.
6 c( h1 p" G0 U' U8 u# c! e9 n7 L
Contrast those with the Bank of Canada’s 2.1% outlook for  this year and 2.4% in 2016 issued in January, when policymakers surprised markets by cutting their benchmark lending rate to 0.75% from 1%, where it had stood since September 2010.' _* W, b" J3 b# R1 R

) J- R* i" u" ^, ]' q) bThe central bank’s GDP forecast is based on an average oil price of US$60 a barrel in 2015 and 2016. Crude was trading above US$53 on Tuesday, a gain on recent sessions.
) g0 N" q* r' A: x+ j" n
8 C5 O" ?: B; P# u3 DMeanwhile, the Canadian dollar closed near the US81¢ level.' O" \; `7 J6 Q! h4 v  A
, N5 ?* f: `" o4 s
The regional shift is also evident in the housing market, where the slowdown in Calgary and Edmonton helped pull down national sales by 3.1% in January from December and by 2% from a year earlier, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.
+ t) J+ q; J. O4 y3 R3 A% H0 b3 \: h- }6 J+ |8 R: X* O: b
“As expected, consumer confidence in the Prairies has declined and moved a number of potential homebuyers to the sidelines as a result,” CREA president Beth Crosbie said.
, s* {7 n+ `/ E( Q7 k
5 A- |. H6 t  }& }  [% r! MTotal January residential sales in Calgary were down 35.5% from a year earlier, while Edmonton fell 22.7%, Saskatoon lost 24% and Regina was off 6.9%.. j1 u* ~6 q, ?$ Y- r& W4 o
1 \1 t5 @3 `% s9 ?
“There’s little mystery behind the sudden reversal of fortune for the national figures, as sales in Calgary and Edmonton — and Saskatoon — fell more than 20% from a year ago, in what had been the hottest markets in the country,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.
鲜花(22) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-17 21:54 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
好弱智的问题。Alberta现在已经在衰退中。只是不知道持续多长时间。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-18 13:04 | 显示全部楼层
怎么总是出这样弱智的问题
2 |* a( T# \) e7 n% T; U0 Q) K. `1 H
晕S了
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-2-25 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
这种经济学家简直是混蛋说法,说AB拖累加拿大经济?也有脸说。不过是以前都是由AB这个挣钱最多的儿子养着整个加拿大这个大家庭,现在这个儿子遇到困难做不了那么多贡献了,不能养活整个大家庭了,就说他拖累,要不要脸啊还
鲜花(56) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-11 17:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
K歌 发表于 2015-2-10 16:57
$ K& n8 e. N! q$ M2 y) C太好了等着抄底,入货。

: }1 u9 A# ~- `中石油吗?
鲜花(9) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2015-3-21 07:10 | 显示全部楼层
石油市场供过于求,,,
鲜花(289) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2015-3-22 21:42 | 显示全部楼层
肯定会!
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

联系我们|小黑屋|手机版|Archiver|埃德蒙顿中文网

GMT-7, 2026-4-1 12:42 , Processed in 0.146652 second(s), 34 queries , Gzip On, APC On.

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

Copyright © 2001-2021, Tencent Cloud.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表