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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
9 e( d/ ]& C% uPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007* I! ~6 k8 R" V& o
z1 @0 c N- F; X2 U& v4 m5 s* J! wEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
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) n1 F, h0 `( I5 _Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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. @- O+ w2 r1 A* H+ \" `When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.$ `: \& u2 k* o0 }. D
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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4 C2 i" {7 m9 _8 C w$ i3 Q fThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.9 p: t- R* L0 ~7 X, a5 W( E
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A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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h9 `! b" K+ I7 [; ?4 h4 aThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.8 l& o# x5 O( g6 k4 `- s/ ?. t: i, X
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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