Rentals cheaper as mortgages climb, study finds

dave2004

Rentals cheaper as mortgages climb, study finds
Affordability gap grows  

9 ~8 v$ g4 o' p, u& a' Q! ZFinancial Post
Published: Wednesday, October 18, 2006
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' {; R' L$ @7 t* u3 K, QWhy own a house when you can rent the same property for a lot less?
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A new study from Bank of Nova Scotia says the pendulum has swung back in favour of tenants.
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/ f3 s5 P2 c) P3 H"The affordability gap between renting and owning is at its highest level since 1990," said Adrienne Warren, senior economist with the bank.
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The study found the average monthly mortgage payment in Canada in 2005 was $1,304 based on a $250,000 house with 10% down payment. That compares with an average rent of $731 for a typical two-bedroom apartment last year. That $573 gap is projected to climb to $800 in 2006.
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& T+ m2 v6 d+ }  q' M5 b$ G"This is a fairly typical pattern that you see in housing. As house prices move up, affordability becomes an issue for first-time buyers," said Ms. Warren, adding renting becomes a more viable option.

/ Z! j  ~. W- k' e5 L4 G3 n" }( j9 yThe current gap between owning versus renting would be even wider if the Scotiabank report took into consideration home ownership issues such as taxes and general upkeep.

; s. l0 \& e, o: m2 s! NMs. Warren predicts a slowdown in the housing market with a tighter rental market leading to increased rents. "We will see a levelling off of vacancy rates. I don't think we will see landlords offering the same incentives, like free rent for a month," she said.

One problem with the national number is it masks major regional differences, she said. The gap between owning and renting varied wildly across the country from a $31 monthly premium in Winnipeg in 2005 to $1,220 in Vancouver.

% Q+ o, {$ U7 G: _- C" t- eGenerally though, the trend across the country is home ownership costs are rising faster than rental rates.
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Between 2000 and 2005, rental costs have increased nationwide at a 1.3% annual pace. During the same period, home ownership costs nationwide increased 2.7% annually.
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8 d% N# E2 _- h9 ]/ y1 I0 MOne side affect of declining affordability has been a slew of new mortgage products that have had the effect of lowering the monthly carrying costs of a loan. More and more consumers are buying products that allow them to pay off their mortgage based on a 35-year payment plan as opposed to a 25-year plan, which had been the norm for years.

6 _. f* c4 r4 u, z  J  t$ h) ^Ms. Warren noted that the $1,304 monthly mortgage costs for a $250,000 home with a $25,000 down payment would go down to $1,073 per month under a 35-year plan.
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. {1 P+ `4 u" `7 VReal estate author Don Campbell said there is no question renting has become a better deal for consumers over the last few years. "When interest rates come back down, the pendulum will swing back to the homeowner," he said.
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/ g6 O) q; ~/ O6 T1 DHowever, Mr. Campbell said apartments are affected by rent controls in many markets.

5 B7 w2 {1 {6 F& C8 _"In markets in the West, where it is not as controlled, rental rates are starting to take off. A two-bedroom unit in a 1970 building in Fort McMurray is $1,500, and that's in the middle of nowhere. Even basic townhouses in Edmonton that rented for $800 last year are up over $1,000," he said.


. o  \" ]' [7 X& V6 XDisclaimer: This is just published research data and do not express my position.