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发表于 2012-8-4 09:48 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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本帖最后由 bigsnail 于 2012-8-4 10:50 编辑
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' M( _4 _1 s; t2 c3 g! I饶毅致《自然》杂志总编的信。
  W# E1 n" r& \: K就像当年傅莹在英国《星期日电讯报》上发文一样,要争取到话语权、影响别人的认识,就得多一点这样的人。* ?, [7 T1 V5 W2 L
总体上中国对外宣传还是以自己的思维方式,效果不彰。4 [5 B2 s) N4 B5 I, \; Q' n% d; Y
0 p0 q9 s, Z5 ]" Q( W# ^; [
http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-2237-598917.html
3 z; r( z! m3 n0 o2 x1 i) I" E
7 h/ |) h! K! z7 y' i致《自然》杂志总编的信:有关叶诗文的新闻报道  精选7 T% Q) \9 ]/ y  {! o8 t

3 m! N% w: X' t. v( [2 n英文原信附后,大意如下:( |# |- @) c/ A2 T  V

) \7 o& Y8 F& ~' S+ i3 a6 C" c斐尔,* B! v- W3 u* L1 u
       你可能因Ewen Callaway对叶诗文的报道而被email狂炸,过去二十小时,给你& Y, {4 J3 Z& M* X0 w
email的人里面小部分也给我来信。
5 E7 L/ f0 u  L+ D# W8 P       如果你奇怪《自然》非本质部分一篇报道为何带来这么大的反应,你应该高兴
6 k6 x+ b- o( C- |中文读者比世界其他读者更看重你们的新闻报道,与科学相关的(即使关系很小)也可$ y' L2 @4 t* m& M0 o6 {
能重于《纽约时报》,中文媒体报道用你们的新闻也远多于一般西方媒体用你们的新闻。
$ \* f* ^9 Y1 N* ~' m$ l- V* c       Callaway报道最好也是草率、最差是种族偏见:1)最初的副标题暗示叶可能舞+ c: s. K' n  @' v5 b; i& \
弊; 2)Callaway用了两件事实说明叶惊人地异常,而两件都错了; 3)Callaway没咨询意
. \# m7 u; F8 ]7 v- b见不同的专家,导致报道不平衡,低于公平报道的最低标准。所以,Callaway至少不负
  u8 z) G7 s  E1 y& f5 n! I& @5 ^责任,可能太快就暗示中国运动员容易舞弊。他肯定没有达到新闻报道的通常标准。) s7 |+ j' f) a3 l
       我很高兴看到在我草拟此信的过程中,《自然》可能意识到了原副标题的偏见
0 s+ X$ g8 A+ P. p,将之由“成绩追踪记录有助于抓体育舞弊者”更正为“成绩追踪记录有助于驱散疑问
+ `( u( V. ~+ K' S% f”。舞弊的前设改为疑问。
# h" Z( k! a& _  P       Callaway报道用的两个“事实”让叶诗文看起来比真实的要更“异常”:说她9 b5 v/ z3 A/ F" Z+ w
比自己在2012年7月的记录要快7秒,说她在最后五十米比男子冠军Ryan Lochte还要快6 k9 w" B* ]" K9 g* o
,而后者是男子第二快的世界纪录。
: S5 O6 Q1 s$ V       第一个“事实”错了,第二个误导。1)叶比自己只快5秒,而此前她的记录创于
4 L; s0 n7 N- P+ ?8 X8 b5 T+ N2011年、不是2012年,这位16岁运动员用了一年而不是少于4周刷新自己。2)叶只在混2 A$ l1 I: x6 o3 v5 E  Y
合泳400米中最后自由泳一段比Lochte快,而非整个400米。Lochte在400米是世界第二
/ ~) x! U8 o. I3 Z9 F快的记录,叶在400米丝毫不能接近他(慢了二十多秒)。叶只是自由泳最强,而在前# _* ~" j6 I9 p; ?6 U/ {
300米落后于好些女选手。虽然Lochte在400米很快,他在最后50米的自由泳慢于五、六
; X& M, ~1 Z+ W+ K4 ~位男选手。叶最后五十米自由泳也慢于那些男子。所以,叶只在她自己的强项而他的弱
' G/ d8 {' k% A" I项快于Lochte。如果Callaway多做的功课,他就难以用这些“事实”来使“问题”醒目
, y+ f- i$ y7 K9 b5 c. D。如果Callaway多查询,他就能发现其他游泳运动员也曾在十几岁发育阶段显著提高记8 ?0 ~! c- U* X0 h  M8 U
录。这些事实更正后,Callaway的报道就没基础。8 g& H, |6 x2 [7 u) R) k& M) n+ L
还有好些事实,可以让一般读者更理解叶诗文的成绩,我不在此赘述。可以参见《附件, m) P5 |5 _1 }# \2 c" z: O# S0 A2 c
1》,wikipedia对叶的成就有一个相当快而公平的描述。署名的《自然》报道应该优于7 T3 p1 N  B+ p$ G! [
Wikipedia。Callaway报道与Wikipedia条目的差别也显示该记者未采访已经公开提出不: ]# j' z# X' `& p
同意见的专家。* r$ N$ H* P8 q( }9 d) ^" T
你应该收到了"XXX"博士的一封email。他在发表多篇《自然》和《自然神经科学》的
; S, O8 w- w4 l$ S) B: R3 t3 |4 p第一作者论文后,获得"XX"学院的博士,并因此获有声誉的奖学金到"XX"大
7 y" I: M. I. }8 W0 ]1 r% F学做独立的博士后。万一他给你的email埋在你收到的成百上千邮件中,我将其拷贝为& n1 i9 _% X' b1 N% U
《附件2》。他email给了我、要我看看此事。
, f& J# l+ g0 ^- P" A% H" b' V# I% UCallaway在线报道下面有很多跟帖讨论。有些学生以为有些很有道理(且有实质内容)  O1 d! @- M* w" X5 D* l' B* W& T
的讨论被删了,他们寄给了我。我选Lai Jiang的一份为《附件3》,Zhenxi Zhang的为4 O$ G5 x* k7 B3 v$ e, H# X
《附件4》。你们可以看到学生和一些更有经历的《自然》读者不高兴是有依据的,而
" u; h0 x: J1 H这些被Callaway忽略。! U1 A* F* ?2 b1 z1 y# r/ D# m
英国人常常忘记、而现代华人不易忘记,世界上很多人以为鸦片战争是中国人卖鸦片给
% A) D; |  _2 [9 Q9 W英国人。我自己6月份(这确是2012年)又经历一次,我和一位老朋友(麻省理工学院9 D( \; j1 |" d& q  E! R
教授)在香港开会时,发现她竟然也是这么认为。; `$ a# r; `  v0 ~3 t
英国人的国际形象好,部分原因是你们的科学和科学家:当全世界中学生都要从教科书
- E2 H8 K7 o) i/ V; q* X/ D  q学牛顿和达尔文,英国赢得了世界的尊重。《自然》应该以这些伟大(且客观)的科学
( I, j" y) J: y' k3 ?: E6 [( P  f家建立的传统和声誉为自豪。他们其中有些曾在《自然》发表过论文,才有《自然》的. |$ l0 Q" u; _9 a' y
今天。你们如果采取措施修复你们的新闻记者造成的损害,可以加强你们的声誉。( A; T* L! A3 Z& j$ u: c/ }% `
英国人从来没因鸦片战争对我们道歉,即使在1997年离开香港时也未显示丝毫悔意。而# w$ b& ^* n, A( @) Z
香港是英国在鸦片战争后强迫我们割让的土地。所以,记忆是犹新的,而不仅是1840年* G+ S% u/ e0 z, g
代的残余。如果《自然》拒绝承认此报道不公平,可能很难“驱散”英国至上的“疑问2 Q: }. e0 c' [+ H
”(借用《自然》对叶报道的词汇)。5 F8 H+ Q/ a) j& X/ p) u! S
中国人受形象不佳的牵累。我们也知道我们还有很多感到羞耻的未解决的问题,包括舞
* j5 g( N% B5 D弊。越来越多的中国人能接受合理与平衡的批评,我们在伦敦奥运会为我们羽毛球的问
1 z- }4 l* s$ w9 H5 o题公开道歉就是证据。但我们对缺依据、有偏见的批评还很敏感。叶诗文不过是个16岁
; }' h+ w: ^4 w5 J1 M的年轻人,本该为自己职业生涯的成就而庆贺。当已知她通过了奥运会赛前、赛中多次) |1 k3 w/ M) ~( m1 e0 b. c: m7 l
测试,而毫无证据指责她的时候,却有很多媒体,特别是《自然》这样的刊物,的渲染
- o# u4 y6 b6 q; ^而导致负面舆论多于正面,当然令人深感不平。) p, e# r7 ^8 k; C# o, u$ M: a) J+ X
我希望你们能澄清记录,发表平衡Callaway报道的意见。% [) Y/ w% ?$ ~% R' n
* I0 E+ i) y5 n4 R8 R. Y% x9 h

: p$ g+ m" X+ U+ K0 x/ m; E0 i) w北京大学生命科学学院 神经生物学教授 饶毅
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附件1 Wikipedia对叶诗文的总结7 E/ }6 _9 C5 U$ d
附件2 伯克利加州大学王立明的email
& l7 p+ [5 w+ _0 \& V; z. F附件3 Lai Jiang在Callaway报道后的意见
. f: y3 w( m- k7 w' N附件 4 Zhenxi Zhang在Callaway报道后的意见) P. P: o/ i4 L  U% C' n

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2 ^; H5 _1 h2 p* e! i) e8 q; Q原文(2012年8月4日1:57am发送)  Y3 Y% f+ l+ ^; c  e- O/ r
Dear Phil,
' {: u5 R5 u, I# o1 f9 r       You might have been bombarded with emails about Ewen Callaway’s
0 H3 I" q- }/ B, O/ |report on the Chinese Olympic gold medalist Ye Shiwen. Over the last 20
+ j0 l/ o, ^' O& G5 E8 z/ M3 U9 Chours, I have received emails from a small fraction of those who had emailed+ U0 U: Z+ ~3 W
you.  i7 e1 M9 [5 M
       If you wonder why a piece in a non-essential section of Nature have- L  m7 g$ n& Q( q( c5 Y' ~2 T1 Q
brought you so much response, you should be happy to know that Chinese, [$ k' z( }  Y/ T% U# g
readers place much more weight in Nature news reports than the rest of the& c) e1 F$ t; `) M4 H
world does. If an event is related to science (even tangentially) and Nature- O  ?( a9 D+ x& p3 z' {+ H8 J
publishes a news report, many Chinese readers treat the Nature report more( B" }: z& u& k. ^! j3 |% g
seriously than New York Times. Chinese news media also use Nature news! s- z% @& D: r3 P9 g- w" i
pieces much more than the regular Western news media would." a1 ~+ H% j- v  @' z! \, J
       The Callaway report was sloppy at the best and racially biased at the
  l3 S" b$ L7 [- ~% y3 r/ gworst: 1) the original subtitle implied cheating on Ye’s part, setting a) a3 ?2 h9 _  R7 ?
negative tone for the report; 2) Callaway presented two facts to establish
3 L8 [1 }2 a3 fthat Ye was strikingly anomalous, but both “facts” were wrong; 3) Callaway: s0 c- F8 B$ X0 s8 m$ d
did not check with experts whose opinions did not supported the doping
) _. \- s2 o/ A- p+ i) W$ sexplanation, and thus did not provide a balance report that is the minimal
. D6 |' c0 W! f+ D3 Jstandard of fair reporting. Therefore, Callaway is at least irresponsible,
8 R3 h9 u) ~! A" Nand could have jumped too quickly to imply that Chinese athletes were prone0 A$ f3 B; p5 H' N
to cheating. He has certainly not held onto the usual standard of news
' L1 o1 G: _; h, }reporting.
% C3 O$ L+ w  B( X: X1 p4 G. l/ b- ]       I am glad that, while I was drafting this letter, Nature may have7 a6 H' ?. C3 Y" F  L
already noticed the bias in the original subtitle and corrected it by; s2 z* ~; {6 I
changing it from “Performance profiling could help to catch cheaters in
( S( J% ^0 N8 A6 h$ ~sports” to “Performance profiling could help to dispel doubts”. A
0 Y6 G2 I2 A7 x& C1 [) ^presumption of cheating has changed to doubts.
0 [1 n. v! _1 C1 U/ ]0 d& V# M       The Callaway report presented two “facts” which made Ye Shiwen seem
4 E0 B% p2 P+ ^1 I; x) V% ~6 Rmore “anomalous” than she really was by stating: that she was 7 seconds0 ]3 r: W+ d; w
faster than herself in the same event in July 2012, and that, in the last 509 a8 ^' P) r4 N" z. K' N
meters, she was faster than Ryan Lochte, the gold medalist of the same
% K& O- i% n, r. zevent for men, with the second fastest record.
& C1 N- z9 W( S1 G4 b( v9 M       The first “fact” was wrong, while the second was misleading. 1) Ye
* _, `6 Y1 k( e) Z" S# X! cwas only ~5 seconds faster than her own record in July, 2011, giving the 16
# D( _( m* f/ H, nyear old a full year rather than less than 4 weeks to improve her own record5 H- E) y4 ]  ~2 t, ^. x5 [5 b
. 2) Ye was faster than Lochte only in the freestyle, not for the entire 400( s, g" V) @  D- p! `  S0 n. D
meters. Lochte’s time was the second fastest for the entire 400 meters,' G) |% V+ ?& n. t* v
for which Ye was not even close (she was more than 20 seconds slower than
4 i/ H1 r7 U9 V. |Lochte in 400 meters). Ye was only at her best in freestyle and trailed, b- J6 v, W7 j7 V0 j, g0 p  U
behind other women in the same event in the first 300 meters of the
8 o7 d+ d8 k0 f. L  aindividual medley. While Lochte was the fastest in 400 meters, he was slower+ O+ y! T: \, R! n2 Q" {
than 5 or 6 men in the last 50 meters of freestyle. Ye was slower than
1 M8 \* }' Y' U0 `8 i/ _those other men. Thus, Ye was only faster than Lochte in a style that was1 {4 e0 \+ t* h1 C
her strength and his weakness. Had Callaway done a bit more home work, then4 f; r  v* l' T, i$ |) ]' t* D
he would have had a hard time to use these “facts” to highlight the “" q" z" [! o( ~3 g7 b! m/ M# u+ b
problem”. Had Callaway done double-checking, he would have found that other& K( O% @3 N' u6 s: {+ {% u
swimmers had significantly improved their own records when they were in the
1 R8 r# C8 `( D. T: L7 W5 h& [teens. Corrections of these facts would have changed the basis for the
3 W( ]. f$ E) P- D0 t4 G' {! YCallaway report.3 }4 s0 F4 `. M3 a6 r
There are more facts that would have made the performance of Ye Shiwen more& N7 K6 I+ c7 a6 C5 `' b5 }
understandable to the general readership, which I will not go into details. M' ?- y- U0 n0 d8 z
here. See Attachment 1 for an amazingly quick and well-balanced description
* x1 a% ^* D8 Q5 g. i9 A: [: aof Ye’s performance by Wikipedia. Signed reports in Nature should have been
' Q3 s& `" k; f7 U" ]: N" O, Q2 e7 ybetter than Wikipedia. The contrast between the Callaway report and the% k2 g- A# t( C+ Z- u
Wikipedia item shows that the reporter did not interview experts who had% z& }9 M* m' A1 e
publicly voiced different opinions.* B. f0 ?! h( E! B' \& n
You should have received an email from Dr.XXX, who obtained a PhD
1 L) x6 Z: Q& c4 Lfrom xxx after publishing first author papers in Nature and Nature
3 {  W7 e8 b% c+ x8 a$ x4 o( G* `4 J* kNeuroscience. He was awarded a prestigious fellowship for an independent5 l4 y4 k! u0 q
postdoc at xxx. In case his email has been buried among the hundreds3 `4 Y0 d& e% G
you have received, I am copying it here as Attachment 2. He had sent a copy
# }0 W8 n" C* X: B0 G: Mof his email to me and asked me to look at the issue.
  V9 i- _: i! nThere are many online posts below the Callaway report. Some students think# f/ F8 y. O! o4 v$ F  K# t
that a few very reasonable (and substantive) posts have been deleted. They
& \+ M+ l, l9 g8 n4 Z7 ]4 Ahave sent these to me and I am including one authored by Lai Jiang as- }5 ]7 f- g6 o) W2 p" N
Attachment 3 and another by Zhenxi Zhang as Attachment 4. You can see that- z* g1 `5 H, q( J  T. `
the anger of students and more established scientists who read Nature was
5 ^) ]( o$ R8 e5 ]. s5 O  j5 Rsupported by facts neglected by Callaway.
0 K: M# m) F5 Y) JOne point the British often forget, but the modern Chinese do not, is that) \' I: ?3 x- X3 A% o4 ?
many in the world wrongly think that the Opium Wars occurred because the& }/ X1 v2 M& |: R! \3 z6 i; W; z
Chinese sold opium to the British. I had personally experienced this in June2 t. s4 G7 V; B& q/ z! A
(2012) when a long time friend of mine at MIT thought that way while she
: G4 t+ m% U3 Vand I were in Hong Kong attending a meeting.% |3 H4 s4 ]) n% U! `. n2 a+ Q5 f  Q
The British have a good international image, partly because of your science
( y' M9 R! h$ E- E0 Vand your scientists: when every middle school student has to know Newton and7 m, ~7 Z  g6 g2 P7 U" g& C5 O
Darwin in textbooks, the entire Britain wins the respect of the world.% a! u/ t+ F% I
Nature should be proud of the tradition and prestige built by the great (and4 P& |/ Y* P: t, s. {5 D
objective) scientists, some of whom have published in Nature to make Nature2 }0 f' ]+ `: Y& J
what it is today. Your prestige will be strengthened when you take steps to4 l7 c. a1 E4 y  q  k1 Z" h2 d6 R
repair the damage caused by your news reporters.
# l1 q: t" F5 k! ~9 a7 y5 H/ CThe British have never apologized to us about the Opium Wars and did not
4 m. Y( g, `) ^3 Z8 }3 u2 kshow slight remorse when leaving Hong Kong in 1997 which the British forced0 z. b4 B9 {, k, \
us to cede after the British won the Opium Wars. So the memory is rather
* v+ z& G6 }$ {/ I& v% Ffresh, not just lingering from the 1840s. If Nature refuses to admit that
) @$ y3 u5 n4 K2 `9 [- R. Z  E. p$ Sthis report was not balanced, it will be difficult to “dispel doubts”
# @3 U0 [( r% r% _9 [  Cabout British supremacy.
4 t1 R8 X1 j0 Y/ q* ~& {" P- fThe Chinese suffer from a poor image. We also know that we have many; o6 W( I! t& o, n& |
unsolved problems that we are ashamed of, including cheating. More and more
  C& [$ d5 G( J$ H1 H& Z: NChinese are receptive to legitimate and balanced criticism, as evidenced by
0 I  d- Z5 I% @9 Tour public apology for our faults at the badminton games during the London
3 A) p/ A* P/ ~& |5 Q. n: eOlympic. But we are sensitive to ill-founded criticism with apparent biases.
( Q( N: t+ a5 W6 N& F# KYe Shiwen is only a 16 year old and should have enjoyed her moment of; A, A: L4 l5 a! }$ s
professional achievement. When she is known to have passed multiple tests  e. h% a: d# f( C: n# z
before and during the London Olympic and there is no evidence to accuse her,# y5 X# ~% h. n
it is certainly unjustified when the negative opinions were highly
" k( I1 G) _! i3 e4 u* qpublicized but the positive ones were not, especially in a journal like# E) ?% K3 ]. R& g
Nature.
# e  `+ X" e. a3 Z' _+ ~, Q$ r2 MI hope that you will set record straight and publish opinions that balance
7 K  P- B5 u1 K/ Z9 _: O$ Pthe Callaway report.9 X6 L% S4 S/ i
6 v# l# v! }! L7 B9 n/ o
Yi' B0 M/ H8 b" l

. ?4 F. S* E& }3 f" f( q) eYi Rao, Ph.D.
: ?- R1 U; {! I6 e( XProfessor of Neurobiology, Peking University School of Life Sciences$ p" Z/ M/ N2 g9 ]7 Y& K9 o- J0 M
Beijing, China
  L. P: T0 `% ^* D. F5 Y% D3 m+ \
鲜花(430) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2012-8-5 00:23 | 显示全部楼层
好文,这个才是教授,不是叫兽。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2012-8-5 04:01 | 显示全部楼层
高水平·········
鲜花(541) 鸡蛋(13)
发表于 2012-8-5 07:18 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
原文发表在哪里, Nature News?
鲜花(6) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2012-8-5 19:54 | 显示全部楼层
Callaway报道是种族偏见!!!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(6)
 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-6 20:16 | 显示全部楼层
FrankSoccer 发表于 2012-8-5 08:18
  I; E# x9 I5 J" j. {0 O) u; |原文发表在哪里, Nature News?

2 C7 `$ j3 E" C原文是公开信。
( p: q4 w7 {. u/ b- ]9 u- _4 k3 h; W7 U& r5 |0 `1 z5 \7 H6 U7 y
小胜  http://2012.sina.com.cn/cn/aq/2012-08-07/054745942.shtml
鲜花(541) 鸡蛋(13)
发表于 2012-8-6 20:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
bigsnail 发表于 2012-8-6 21:16
4 {# f3 g' @9 W  {原文是公开信。
' Y9 q& d& x1 t$ P3 p# W. {
8 O* L) ]' N- ]+ s$ f小胜  http://2012.sina.com.cn/cn/aq/2012-08-07/054745942.shtml
/ Z( b: h, f; |6 w% F
谢谢。好像那个什么杂志已经道歉了。
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-14 00:55 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
其实比饶毅更牛的回复是 Upenn 的 LAI JIANG
/ L' r6 {. w( F* [7 A如果是中国长大的,英语能到这种程度真是很不简单。8 O! O3 ^; V$ U$ _- k
+ s& X9 D% H+ V* z" v8 P
http://www.sas.upenn.edu/rappegroup/htdocs/People/LJ.html
+ }. i$ U$ _* g4 h. O0 s9 k& s
% q, u9 [5 n- s; T6 G  e4 m" e" aFROM LAI JIANG, Department of Chemistry, University of Pennsylvania/ J) T: {1 ~3 ^. T
: j  `- J5 }5 ^- ~8 K6 N
It is a shame to see Nature — which nearly all scientists, including myself
0 M- I+ P' F# O5 ]  W5 k( V, q5 C, regard as one of the most prestigious and influential physical-science- s6 i0 Y$ ~/ G8 t" _5 ~; s4 I
magazines — publish a thinly veiled biased article like this. Granted, this! ^* V6 a% V: k, @% r4 r8 I
is not a peer-reviewed scientific article and did not go through the. G1 ~+ D; w/ K4 M. w0 I
scrutiny of picking referees. But to serve as a channel for the general
6 E, o/ k, D8 s. Q7 K" x  ]4 qpopulace to be in touch with and appreciate science, the authors and editors
, _) p% v  t. k9 @  L* Pshould at least present the readers with facts within the proper context,
7 T5 Q$ L0 w+ q" W+ ]  J( @* Kwhich they blatantly failed to do.% B5 M9 D" K' w" Y9 Y. v
, J, N# {2 n5 {
First, to identify Ye’s performance increase, Ewen Callaway compared her% H9 E' S* b. W' @" S+ A
Olympic 400-metre IM time with her performance at the World Championships in) [6 p# c7 V& e* |4 ]" h
2011 (4:28.43 and 4:35.15, respectively) and concluded that she had an “
8 i; _) P3 w. x+ P, Aanomalous” improvement of around 7 seconds (6.72 s). In fact, her previous
" O# `& Z3 M6 ipersonal best was 4:33.79 at the Asian Games in 2010. This leads to an. p% y3 g  _+ m  b; }+ W, ^
improvement of 5.38 seconds. In a sporting event in which 0.1 s can be the
% J; k# ~0 F- H1 @3 F: g- T0 ~difference between the gold and silver medal, I see no reason for 5.38 s to
. |( }1 y; M, o2 f. N% Zbe treated as 7 s.6 a( G0 m" ~3 t% y3 v
' J, D0 M) j" n4 E) c8 N
Second, as previously pointed out, Ye is only 16 years old and her body is
. D* p1 ?& R0 ]0 v. c+ a7 Sstill developing. Bettering oneself by 5 seconds over two years may seem% ^$ D4 `7 F5 E% D8 U) Q6 z: T
impossible for an adult swimmer, but it certainly happens among youngsters.0 j( n/ w* ~% `
An interview with Australian gold medallist Ian Thorpe revealed that his 400
2 u- o3 `9 I7 h-metre freestyle time improved by 5 seconds between the ages of 15 and 16.
9 O2 \/ W% F  zFor regular people, including Callaway, it may be hard to imagine what an  d4 O4 {7 H9 Q6 w, v9 V' f- l
elite swimmer can achieve as he or she matures and undergoes scientific and
) n. y. P3 B- }  C* R' \3 Epersistent training. But jumping to the conclusion that it is “anomalous”
; i; o0 \: W1 ~6 m0 @" ybased on ‘Oh that’s so tough I cannot imagine it is real’ is hardly sound.
1 Q/ u; g7 |% u; u. u4 \* v3 g6 d: f7 h: J
Third, to compare Ryan Lochte’s last 50 metres to Ye’s is a textbook" Y* ?: F) h* F+ O8 O" Z
example of ‘cherry-picking’ your data. Yes, Lochte was slower than Ye in2 }, X6 J+ o) Q! H  U# s% a
the last 50 metres, but Lochte had a huge lead in the first 300 metres, so
; T/ I, I5 Q  The chose not to push himself too hard and to conserve his energy for later
9 N' ]$ H& {0 V* M* V: }events (whether this conforms to the Olympic spirit and the ‘use one’s4 N: z' l6 H3 x! ~4 Y" _( ~
best efforts to win a match’ requirement that the Badminton World
& K4 @4 U9 z1 ?Federation recently invoked to disqualify four badminton pairs is another
/ g" w- R" n& ^7 v5 U! itopic worth discussing, though probably not in Nature). Ye, on the other5 y6 q& K  `6 }- [5 ]
hand, was trailing behind after the first 300 metres and relied on freestyle
' S/ i$ d  a' Z& o/ T, in which she has an edge, to win the race. Failing to mention this
5 L% Z- C% i! i* c' D; Gstrategic difference, as well as the fact that Lochte is 23.25 seconds: R4 Y+ K3 \3 _: A2 N- v# T
faster (4:05.18) than Ye overall, creates the illusion that a woman swam
$ M7 E; E( y' ?9 r. jfaster than the best man in the same sport, which sounds impossible. Putting7 A3 F5 ]7 n5 t/ s/ ^
aside the gender argument, I believe this is still a leading question that
) _; i5 d1 `% c. ^. s) simplies to the reader that there is something fishy going on.! [% _, d9 d4 D9 P/ E% g, g1 W
, {& i+ Y$ l( I& a8 X, s( I
Fourth is another example of cherry-picking. In the same event, there are
6 @& F' X/ s0 d- Ifour male swimmers who swam faster than both Lochter (29.10 s) and Ye (28.93
. z/ e8 |5 c! B' ^, |; f5 Zs) in the final 50 metres: Kosuke Hagino (28.52 s), Michael Phelps (28.44 s. H6 p0 t/ o2 k
), Yuya Horihata (27.87 s) and Thomas Fraser-Holmes (28.35 s). As it turns, U- b0 F- M4 [
out, if we are just talking about the last 50 metres in a 400-metre IM,7 v$ k# \( m$ Q: Y5 c0 x/ A" d. z1 h& F
Lochter is not the example I would have used if I were the author. What kind3 ?) x, x2 x) n- Z9 O9 ?
of scientific rigorousness is Callaway trying to demonstrate here? Is it) |6 T7 k6 D& |7 K! Z" u8 w
logical that if Lochter is the champion, we should assume that he leads in# z/ ], F' ]$ p8 w9 P
every split? That would be a terrible way to teach the public how science
" D/ d0 s+ H3 kworks.# p0 N* L- E1 K+ b1 A
. {4 O0 m! p- }$ H4 q- g. n
Fifth is the issue I oppose the most. Callaway quotes Ross Tucker and
, ?5 B0 A+ |% M; e8 Wimplies that a drug test cannot rule out the possibility of doping. Is this, j9 R7 b% a6 j; {& L. m* _5 I
kind of agnosticism what Nature really wants to teach its readers? By that! [5 O4 l$ j0 Y/ ^0 U
standard, I estimate that at least half of the peer-reviewed scientific$ i& o) ~4 ~7 o; j0 S
papers in Nature should be retracted. How can one convince the editors and4 N% w! e2 M; p' k. n1 Z
reviewers that their proposed theory works for every possible case? One. g9 f$ d9 W- e3 y
cannot. One chooses to apply the theory to typical examples and to
, l: `8 ~, i  l: E# i6 Ademonstrate that in (hopefully) all scenarios considered, the theory works
. ?+ Q6 \$ V! g) qto a degree, and that that should warrant publication until a counterexample
3 s( U; B2 f5 F/ B" \* bis found. I could imagine that Callaway has a sceptical mind, which is$ k# @# I$ z& [7 Q
crucial to scientific thinking, but that would be put to better use if he; n2 B- B+ B/ w" ?5 \3 Z+ \
wrote a peer-reviewed paper that discussed the odds of Ye doping on a highly
/ a+ Z: o, a3 w+ ]$ G0 R" t; kadvanced, non-detectable drug that the Chinese have come up with in the3 V% D9 ?- f# m( S
past 4 years (they obviously did not have it in Beijing, otherwise why not4 g7 p8 O( G! M* G& u
use it and woo the audience at home?), based on data and rational derivation
6 h- P  G8 C3 ?, H+ p1 X7 H. This article, however, can be interpreted as saying that all athletes are2 {+ E. ]' x4 z
doping and the authorities are just not good enough to catch them. That may+ L" D" p3 l1 Z9 U8 ^8 \5 G
be true, logically, but definitely will not make the case if there is ever a. E  J4 F; I1 C9 Z% l. |. c
hearing by the governing body for water sports, FINA, to determine if Ye
) u7 S. \$ i& z+ Qhas doped. To ask whether it is possible to obtain a false negative in a# Z6 L6 ~- z, F! F# {
drug test looks like a rigged question to me. Of course it is possible:" P" W$ s2 c  w" F8 f
other than the athlete taking a drug that the test is not designed to detect
+ }- ?- ?& S& R( Y4 {- z, anyone who has taken quantum 101 will tell you that everything is
* s$ H+ r9 H3 \6 d! T. T4 }probabilistic in nature, and so there is a probability that the drug in an
5 d6 P4 w( Y+ @: lathlete’s system could tunnel out right at the moment of the test. A slight
) f* ?  j4 f3 ]* ^% [  xchance it may be, but should we disregard all test results because of it?
$ M! y& J4 }' T2 L$ hLet’s be practical and reasonable, and accept that the World Anti-Doping* s% Z$ `8 G& M
agency (WADA) is competent at its job. Ye’s urine sample will be stored for
% [& D, W2 s! Feight years after the contest for future testing as technology advances.
& u" u. h& ^; Y  b9 jInnocent until proven guilty, shouldn’t it be?
/ A0 ^; u. b' {2 d3 F% N3 r6 b' @) B/ q9 `0 k. ^+ G2 ~, i
Sixth, and the last point I would like to make, is that the out-of-( L* u" o: n- S
competition drug test is already in effect, which Callaway failed to mention
5 G8 j' s; G& U9 B. Z. As noted in the president of WADA’s press release, drug testing for
; U( F' U, W- `2 [' w; z  i2 e6 VOlympians began at least six months before the opening of the London0 i9 m8 G2 A7 h0 R8 A
Olympics. Furthermore, 107 athletes have been banned from this Olympics for
- l6 I* z4 A8 n- C9 N  ]4 J6 S2 t6 h/ kdoping. That may be the reason that “everyone will pass at the Olympic
$ @0 k' w! A2 \  Q+ c% w7 ggames. Hardly anyone fails in competition testing” —  those who did dope! e0 q: M: F8 ~& n/ F
have already been caught and sanctioned. Callaway is free to suggest that a
9 _, E# ~. T% ?0 F' Jplayer could have doped beforehand and fooled the test at the game, but this
* f, |( M1 L3 f$ I4 b! z, R! e5 Opossibility is certainly ruled out for Ye.
3 B  R; o: a- K% b' v# c5 O( g5 w( R! _( H
Over all, even though Callaway did not falsify any data, he did (
/ D- {; X$ d6 M3 t, u4 Pintentionally or not) cherry-pick data that, in my view, are far too
9 Z0 o. u0 P; y5 J0 usuggestive to be fair and unbiased. If you want to cover a story of a2 D. n# J- j) _1 T, U
suspected doping from a scientific point of view, be impartial and provide
$ A5 v$ }8 V7 c' rall the facts for the reader to judge. You are entitled to your. |; A) i) }. f+ Y- ~( ]5 S
interpretation of the facts, and the expression thereof in your piece,( j' b3 \$ o0 v8 k/ r4 \
explicitly or otherwise, but showing only evidence that favours your
+ T" @0 J- |' K. rargument is hardly good science or journalism. Such an article in a journal1 J" q  K4 W: E9 v3 R; O2 f6 {3 O
such as Nature is not an appropriate example of how scientific research or* b$ h+ j% g! I3 ^6 z: |* m
reporting should be done.
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