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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 4 F( ]% a; e, K$ ^- W2 b
% b' I5 R% h( B' h: h' ZSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell. k! g3 U' D/ [! H8 \8 X
Senior Vice-President,
! v, S8 r( I* ~: o5 p! xPortfolio Management0 O; l+ w. U0 X* y/ ^
and Chief Investment Officer
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3 m) P' y$ T5 ]& E自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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9 k5 M# I4 N/ W4 u- @The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets* U9 o8 |2 ?! I) p, J0 B
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase- Z6 K4 K; Y4 h D5 P
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the3 n% ^. v8 T6 M) x4 x2 ?& `
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
5 F* C* o: H+ p' Bphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an4 o$ S p+ S% N R) _7 t Z
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
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for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit5 ~4 v. C7 ~! ?3 O
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects8 k) i# T# Y: r
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through1 e0 _& r! Z/ j' L& X# F4 }; v
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond: w Z7 b. J# b
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened' u+ e6 m7 L& B
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more; i( J. R: H* }1 g b8 N
neutral risk positioning. |
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