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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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4 T% v8 O1 D, P! V) |- Y* ]OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight/ V5 x3 [5 f: t& C! c3 l2 V6 A+ n
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' p+ _4 b% e6 V/ v$ iraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 T, ]0 P2 v( h3 c5 J4 R: Z( D; O
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.; P! z" Y) U1 \* O: q9 S, Q
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 t5 K* I1 r- P5 P& K; C3 @strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
% W+ X' P D/ R; @United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! E( s1 @8 B/ N7 p! [& X
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 Y, l8 M$ `/ x$ `9 d1 qIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ O u+ H; a/ d8 N8 xstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 L4 p; [) A" d: z
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 n) u) m7 y* @in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* L( g9 v3 w/ a9 [2 {5 c
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' x/ b! e! d' K
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% J" ]+ |0 _' P8 J8 f8 i& nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 l: f4 w) D, P5 Z) O* u0 D3 y
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, ~7 o! u3 B4 ? g1 ]9 Xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., Q2 I! z! n" N2 A. i# A
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 _7 F: S8 h I
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 l9 t |' Q) P; q% c
balanced recovery.
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Z! Q. B( W$ Q* |/ g/ RCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
1 E! ^6 X# J. c$ w8 A, hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 Q$ b2 a6 [* l- t+ Tsupply.
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^6 Y9 p; Y6 A( `In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- S4 X* L) ^0 H" q) Rto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 R! T0 ?) R& t5 }( O
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 w/ `+ ?5 ?6 [- W
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." f+ N+ }$ U$ ?
- l" P f' T3 M8 X( pGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* U) ^* b) y, Qstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# _' \; U7 `: O4 J! z* I; [6 Z
developments.8 @; Y) ~1 |0 F5 W$ Q/ h
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Information note:
: A3 Z/ B7 ^9 v. VThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- c* C: U) [: S; `$ m4 q, B* n
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 S* Q9 M) T$ v2 v' B- A# {# q* ^0 Epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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