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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 b% `+ o6 l% M; f
2 Y" O( u# m# DOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% n; l7 A2 x4 I4 }7 G" [/ D
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. O/ R; ~- `/ U& E# i% Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( c3 n# u a, C d* s0 ]
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 E$ I5 O' ~7 g$ y' r: K1 B
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* _4 Q% T& |1 u9 @
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
5 R9 C1 E" q5 U3 `. nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 K* w* h4 ^. L) c* M+ tIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal `5 |6 }# B% D( ]
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 @& K% A4 h5 Y6 _3 R4 ovariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
- J: T; @3 i$ V- cin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! \. S4 p* q; {1 aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ y5 X6 k. C' y" [& w& S) Y" z- R5 ^spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity1 Y3 L5 `0 b v; @
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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1 ?4 A [4 K9 YActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent2 D4 I, c, z& Y, J) w6 h* k) F
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 ?3 A, g2 I4 J2 l+ c' N2 @Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with9 t8 J+ k; A6 @1 @) |8 V# E
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
9 z8 Z2 o. q/ ~. g% ^2 xbalanced recovery.) a2 M7 \3 V/ a3 K( \
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects$ U$ M$ j$ b4 N" U A9 C
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( _2 r; A) A' f4 f$ D$ Ssupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and, o9 {- K1 |+ t" Q; X6 `
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( P3 d0 Q: j1 v9 [) [
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the - L, R- o7 y# c! y) d- C( N6 k; t
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.: r5 s$ i: {7 X6 m$ C" B
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
1 z3 Y# g3 u1 E% u @stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 H! [. j) ^- r3 Hdevelopments.' P- M! \3 v4 L. P" p
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Information note:
$ ?% T7 Z0 Y. r% G- \The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 ~7 K- A3 n7 R+ \# v# U2 v
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: i( }6 P, K5 c; ^$ l& W# Epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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