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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: n- V3 `/ _; O6 S
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight' ~; }* C( E, V+ r: T. o/ _% m# ~* k
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly! g7 ?: c k: F) L
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 n6 |6 B/ ^3 b5 y# w, X- _$ l
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with+ @0 Q9 r' K, w) @" p
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 w9 X) m0 Z* m( J8 N' a
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
' u" a3 U' ?, ~" a1 lin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.' ~9 Z% f7 ?0 _3 ^
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ n& s! `( y: ^( ^8 g
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
; L0 g$ z: @) ]6 J7 j# e$ mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 [$ `; }6 x6 d+ p9 V
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 n& [3 x$ S# M4 H& _
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& i8 I: r' s0 l w$ y" ~7 ]" e- g
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& N3 a3 ?9 |: A0 ^9 a' ~. m/ C; wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
5 R- y, |' F+ I% x. qin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- h) O! v8 C ]' M2 S9 IGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with% q9 i9 {. \ ^7 Q! J8 D
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more1 `% \+ {, i$ c& A' j
balanced recovery.8 p$ c5 K$ l1 B2 d4 d
7 r5 n/ V' T }* R/ bCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 x$ y+ f, j- d- Z& S
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 K8 V; Z5 Z! I5 ^
supply. i1 W+ R1 }4 X C ?. E4 f) t
/ ?* _/ W+ D! ]: Y& R5 F8 E8 i& TIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and# l: ? t, p0 d' }- H. p
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : f# u+ |$ N! }5 B, W) J# S
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
& F' s! v( `5 q# Y! csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.9 }( k C0 [4 F
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary3 f a0 q6 ^, r; m! ^
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
! ~; i I; B1 A& H0 f0 d# @- Q Xdevelopments.' M- U& q# ]9 _0 Q* U- |; s. j
0 Y" L# z3 M. m9 ~Information note:
~$ |' q: n" j6 EThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update b) d$ g1 u z9 j
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
! F/ R+ C( y) E" c& Gpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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