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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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7 v! Y( F3 f, [; uOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
+ m- E, Z5 n& y/ d2 Qrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 M8 A+ L/ C7 B$ a1 }- `) _8 M' R0 Braised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 B& L9 K. _) E$ X C) Aoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.5 K& w T4 s- Z; y
! `4 A8 E4 p9 O( h9 aThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 l1 C2 ?6 P4 }1 _" ostrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( @. P& s8 J5 G; ~4 mUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 V- }# f6 W/ v& h4 J0 k5 [; w
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
' Q8 B+ }5 w8 PIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
; [9 V' D5 p/ k# ]5 T6 k( I4 J) istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* [' B8 O9 N. j: A# T; d3 {; Vvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 O+ i! `+ S- q; uin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
1 K: `* C7 K* Fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: Y2 L" ?! L, s3 jspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
- o0 q7 ^ _7 F4 z' vprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 _+ V8 w/ d8 j2 D o$ S
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 w$ @% r7 P& Z+ t
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: M/ k) @% p! i9 w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ E) j; I* k% M! c& ibalanced recovery.! [4 d! K1 y% v' x2 K
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 a4 C2 U9 w3 p6 L! X( e( K
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 L, b) ~' p! f1 V) l- X7 D' psupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) K) F9 G- \$ b* B, n% J# w
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 B7 `4 C! _$ j! v/ c* ~monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
& K# }1 E( p( zsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.: |6 x$ ~$ _0 o' C4 C' b
1 d2 ]- U/ w5 f! }, t# [& z! wGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
+ M% P9 \& d& @5 t6 l7 ^, {# D0 ystimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 B4 [6 e& z! V0 D2 ^
developments.
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; K; P/ o' x: ?, G: uInformation note:9 C. e. V* X9 ?& D! K+ @6 E
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
/ z0 o$ t9 D* m$ J; q! kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be0 q0 Z/ `. j- Q& Q! z! W
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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