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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* ]; p _* z8 w1 lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% F, i( `2 o* C2 R5 o2 H$ ~raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& x4 V& K; H, ^# d6 `9 z
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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1 }2 a3 h/ m: P9 @, F aThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% l. O4 y6 b/ R% Q& c; {" c8 Estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the) E3 @- G8 O" F) \: p( a
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness7 j$ @( s0 u# F: Q
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
& C. E% i& \5 u% f: q8 b* uIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal. y" W- g; l9 a# o* w. k
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
2 O* ]" ~! p4 n/ V& E7 K9 Ovariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 E7 N1 S0 Y* A& d- n
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 n; S) O. X) b. b
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
" T7 ^' ~5 r9 g* i/ d# tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity7 {) c9 |6 i6 ^: |2 L4 M& j9 ~4 F
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent. e! t: }3 W2 X
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: q( Q1 I' g. t3 X9 ]) K
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 P; `( [9 `3 t" x3 Sincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( C8 P1 y7 J8 z; f( sbalanced recovery.1 g q8 u Q. f; Y1 O% X
) j0 q! h3 G( z$ @# RCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 A' u5 b, i& }* l: q) |, s
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess$ O% Q% g7 Q2 O9 p
supply.
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* I# @0 ?1 H; @" g: j" ?( ]) WIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and: g! J; J* Q+ b, z
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
# {+ E( R! Q [+ Fmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # t5 B2 D5 V( ?4 R8 B
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% n6 s1 N5 f5 E. \
1 S0 J) l3 i! cGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
( c/ q* r% \6 @! gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ [$ Q$ \" |. o) `# R
developments.
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$ a7 P" z; C5 L/ fInformation note:8 ]; e, \& M! ~
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 R; {3 o2 h5 B
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: v. S1 I! _8 \ Q- R+ c1 D9 X
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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