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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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; V( t3 I( W# aThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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3 l! P* Z* w/ Q. s" YNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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: l! b( w/ N9 G8 s+ NIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.& ~' {* _% U% ?0 t" w4 |2 O
7 V2 S3 }* N& {( ]6 x# g$ m"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. " e" Z) Q7 f" |1 L/ s
; l: u/ z ]1 U, W1 eHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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- W/ \- S e, ~The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.' R- t* i1 d7 ^* n) _! ~0 f
5 a* K5 k1 b4 e. d6 }/ x- {CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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