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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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Oilsands an emerging global growth star
! ?9 d! L$ y4 u1 s6 E% SExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
0 ^' a8 u8 @2 j; cGordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
, w; A6 x" ^- e$ b- J. n0 TPublished: 2:37 am1 L4 n. B/ j6 ^7 b( d9 [6 ]0 {
EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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: w" n; j: p4 M" m! ?Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.
9 W1 x& X; J& ]0 W6 z; JLarry Wong, The Journal
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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5 i* f, w6 ^" i+ ^0 YExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.! {& ~7 u" C0 H+ x& a0 \
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.( ^; B2 n9 G7 a/ _% A
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated.
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:09 | 显示全部楼层

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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-11-7 21:08 | 显示全部楼层
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