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Oilsands an emerging global growth star$ e2 g. Z! l4 U Y
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030) S$ w/ |2 E; I
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
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EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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% p& M3 C2 \+ S4 ^+ T" r: zOilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.3 f8 E( T& S. Y9 e0 ~
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.9 N' `& ~/ N) V) T- G+ x6 X/ A- P
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday./ B1 G$ S/ L" m( `6 i- q1 x
Larry Wong, The Journal
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. ~' P2 ~& J6 O9 ?# a6 Q; g# }5 sEdmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.; @$ k- Q0 n8 P; m" s
+ z/ z, f% J+ S; s" i; L( G' v* fExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.8 r* E. _2 o+ t' ^
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.& q) ^! i% i( D1 l) Q
: D9 }7 k% q k7 P0 _While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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7 T( K: V5 g& C% @When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
