Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
# x( Q! L9 L: }  \Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
2 p2 _9 J8 `( [8 ~
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
" i( r  V5 F6 V, {4 j/ u. ?( ^
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

0 w3 J6 b) v) k' Z- P4 F5 nAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

! r* J$ s% F1 Y+ i& ^7 `* ^* Z* yJul 2007
NA
2328
717
442,752
410,000
320
28
31%

3 i/ O+ e2 X6 ^) X/ E8 T7 BJun 2007
( C( l, @- z/ l0 o, C0 k, r4 L NA
! W2 A# A0 }& H. }. i9 ~ 2661
1011
442,817
  B$ [  e1 s8 i 409,000
( G4 @9 a$ D9 f+ F" v  p4 C' E* B 328
  z3 w! s+ R: S! E9 G 22
38%
4 W* {1 s' {& K: o* N7 M5 x( T
May 2007
/ A* |0 m, U. f6 h NA
6 B! Q4 g& n* G4 `) i8 _& ? 2288
1261
; N% z$ I$ }/ \6 U 451,216
415,000
322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
1 l+ e; W; ^5 y  p鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
/ X+ {0 R+ q, y1 A5 @2 q存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
, h7 t; p( y1 D; G+ W鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
, y3 G0 w# }4 G& M) ?4 E3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

/ f$ {& L' a3 ]( X/ h
5 c: P! ?+ {) |呵呵，太不专业了吧。

6 }7 h0 x1 Z1 A$ s新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
8 |1 n1 l6 x! x* E; ^( Z, z
就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

$ H; a3 C+ X9 q这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
; E5 ]6 o4 g) p! bDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

" p/ P/ V6 m- B6 F' w2 f

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
( o5 u& U  G/ d4 T+ W8 Y5 @That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
( k& w: ^; f" `7 S: |In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
2 i# Q& g& S& `9 w: H9 jIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
6 k  l/ R$ x( n. iHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

- C$ @9 n- a; L
0 o$ b& s% q: L; p6 h- zI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
" S7 R" @/ a8 V; x  n" ^4 r4 G, fEdmonton Single Family Home
( L) F& h3 k+ e! I' M: O7 A( e, F3 z$ MMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
* B% z8 I! E4 V& X% GIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
/ b/ z* n1 M' {& ENote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

6 ~+ N4 V% J8 M5 \& XQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
9 p$ a7 ^' n$ f* A, T- L
; k% l5 p9 G8 g  l" N" S; D
# f  Z9 T$ `" y9 A" x/ x2 KI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

: L5 J) @* E+ k2 u
$ J. M7 y* @. I% w下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
! ^# Q& t, P- I) D


4 j; c8 c# y" i# u# k只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。