埃德蒙顿华人社区-Edmonton China

 找回密码
 注册
查看: 2243|回复: 16

Single Family info update Oct 1-10

[复制链接]
鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-16 15:13 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
Edmonton Single Family Home
4 g6 ]- u  W5 n9 z7 ^- Z& LMLS Statistics(Unofficial) 7 u# ?4 L; Q. E$ M% f" O+ r6 |
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain( X1 p( \5 @) a. E( o+ d) K, Z
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
9 r: Z" V1 p  g$ F* |9 R* x: X* @. k' ^# k5 d2 }
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  - f3 x) v: R6 b

" U5 M- }# U# G9 |7 }Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%2 T5 m9 d* f7 M( u
8 E. e. `& |0 n# X: y  b
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%, n, e5 t- P) u, p0 c
6 Y4 H$ ~# X' C  ^
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
8 F& A* [2 ]% X; Q0 O& B
' i5 Q! H# ?% ]Jul 2007
& X1 \7 R8 z1 X! q4 l/ k NA) B7 Z1 n7 Y! p7 q* ?/ Z
2328  D8 ?' P$ G% B
717
0 r; H' H8 N, x  @ 442,752
3 c$ G) M* A4 V- l 410,000
2 d" Q  F' E0 f& G$ |, A! u 320
* P9 e) q4 r4 f) ^  E 28% c  q8 C: Y6 K
31%# d4 ~% ]4 n; i! x0 x9 A% l7 S
$ d! G/ s4 x! F1 L+ `2 Y9 V) y
Jun 20076 @: q+ y' X3 y0 F; q: U
NA
( Z% F7 k( D/ N 2661% C7 O+ q6 w1 \% x' F8 n
1011
/ ?4 w$ t. f2 F" l; M& t( g" S 442,817! ]+ D3 F: o/ P8 B8 u
409,000
' C, S) o; Z$ `+ r+ w- } 328
! k- ~8 F1 Y" |" T 22
& ~* N5 f  j8 U/ o1 F7 s 38%
4 J  r8 ]3 @2 I5 N/ H : p; v3 _( d3 W2 ~# t0 r
May 20073 K3 G  _* u( v5 E; Z0 R
NA
, w, j0 ^. x% l$ N$ P 2288
( G7 ?) G1 I# J! D 1261
# i, d' n5 r" H' X8 [/ i 451,216/ a% Q  C$ D3 {% p4 T6 _. H
415,0009 f* }! m6 C2 v, @
322
; ?0 Z# ]) d" E+ r" a 19
& L2 p9 W$ d) s& `: w3 R& i) S. T# t9 R 55%
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
发表于 2007-10-16 21:03 | 显示全部楼层
存货降151, AVG.PRICE涨0.53%5 ?7 `7 ?8 b5 R: c( L
鉴定完毕!
鲜花(27) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-16 21:25 | 显示全部楼层
看来,存货似已见顶。
! _3 E9 v6 Y/ k0 @7 _6 n& c% ~  E这几天,在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。
鲜花(49) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-16 22:45 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 00:22 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表 3 Q  q4 ?7 T2 P( l/ b  A
存货降151, AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
% {# V( n4 P- \. Z& D7 X0 b) h鉴定完毕!

7 H7 g7 y- F7 U( c6 P1 |5 Y+ {1 B1 C# a3 V0 Q1 |
用十天的数据来和30天的比较,鉴定结果可靠吗?
Z
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 06:36 | 显示全部楼层
1)房价持续下跌,每尺从303跌到295。1 W) j  x& q) v) v4 C/ o3 s
2)成交房里大房子比重上升,使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。% w2 a4 r; b0 ^  a6 r" F, F
3)存量惊人。每年秋冬,存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素,存量其实是增加了。
Z
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 06:42 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
$ \5 d1 g# j5 d- l, N4 w存货降151, AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
5 M$ b6 a6 n' d$ C: m, H1 b鉴定完毕!

# E# I* g, J, o" ^+ E/ c
4 |1 I" z* c4 f& v) M; A" h呵呵,太不专业了吧。: H8 }" @- S; b2 Y3 C

9 a0 T& v* K) d新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量: @  o$ K( Q( M2 ^9 a
& k! P. W/ z9 N0 l" z5 O" l
就是说, 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
( m; s- A, A) B3 H& ?- ~* J: G* `8 E) i) k+ h+ r2 p
这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量,你的算法也太粗糙了。
鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
 楼主| 发表于 2007-10-17 07:21 | 显示全部楼层
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 08:01 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
- x6 Y7 q5 n- l. J3 I3 [Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.
% E8 u; i0 r: Z; s% n6 t
: t5 p* z/ P& F9 m, c
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
发表于 2007-10-17 08:04 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表 ! ^: l: Z( O2 G! A# R6 x+ i& [3 m
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

' g+ Z- g# O& S
鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
 楼主| 发表于 2007-10-17 09:09 | 显示全部楼层
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.7 G. i8 q9 K' l( I6 K' M" k' P7 ~
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
' [1 x) `; f. x* a3 q# A1 V4 UHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?4 @5 u* ^& g* P1 y, L. E
That is what i say half full or half empty.
  ^6 _" ]; ]3 U$ Z6 ]: s/ dgood luck for people seeking their house.
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 09:23 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表 ' ^" ]: M! @5 F7 [; @
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
/ @/ ?2 P3 a' r4 U' T1 e4 U* }Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
  A0 i* ]: I' w+ j4 @1 x5 VHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...
$ N, i7 M; V  o" {1 @8 W, ~0 }5 W

5 X) E4 z8 C1 I; ]1 rI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.
鲜花(27) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 12:10 | 显示全部楼层
同言同羽 置业良晨
原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表 2 z. u. c! l* Y* I
Edmonton Single Family Home
; ?2 }' t/ S: X7 P+ b( ~; p" sMLS Statistics(Unofficial) " t8 Q" w& ?1 P) k
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain* Z: S3 Q( Z1 f( o; L
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

! E' A) V4 c2 f2 e$ x6 GQWE321: 这些数据来源于何处?是否可靠?又无网站连接?
鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
 楼主| 发表于 2007-10-17 12:32 | 显示全部楼层
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 12:34 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表 $ H4 l9 h$ m/ J  V# a9 t
1 a( |  @2 e2 U3 x. L, m

& ~4 @! }+ K0 lI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.
# k( k# ^9 M  x3 e# S; A( y
鲜花(27) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 15:46 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
! B$ i7 d, \# s0 a2 T- Y/ e1)房价持续下跌,每尺从303跌到295。
7 e( _3 \% `* W7 }2)成交房里大房子比重上升,使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
, `3 R9 |+ ^; f! `* D! S: h3)存量惊人。每年秋冬,存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素,存量其实是增加了。
; P& F( y$ [$ q! ^4 X

3 F$ g; V$ O9 R" j下半年,存量通常会持续增加,以卡城为例,参考下图:
; r# r& q% V6 m( ]8 P& c) o# y' ^! i+ d

  c% D4 N3 W1 N1 x; `; i8 x
' E+ ]$ x9 q% w5 J只有去年例外,存量在年末锐减。
鲜花(27) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 16:09 | 显示全部楼层

回复 #16 WST 的帖子

同言同羽 置业良晨
上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。 8 m; ^; @5 g# U: F# z' g9 O/ m
看来,观察days inventory 更重要。
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

联系我们|小黑屋|手机版|Archiver|埃德蒙顿中文网

GMT-7, 2026-2-14 18:25 , Processed in 0.151342 second(s), 27 queries , Gzip On, APC On.

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

Copyright © 2001-2021, Tencent Cloud.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表