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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.
0 D# q+ d" p# L/ SNow, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
6 \' B3 v' x6 JIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
5 m; p9 n+ U% t4 iTD can give you 4.2%.7 f+ v. T0 m( T2 h' g
BMO can give you 4.3%.% c# h) h( A4 S9 F' r U
RBC can give you 4.0%.
6 C" u4 l( R- r% M(Roughly)
0 j. Z/ V& v" k( J7 }0 M# K! g- ]If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%., i; Z( s' P0 N( @9 a
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.$ Y8 |9 h E `6 m) I
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.5 c& ~( a9 c* ]$ }3 D- r
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.( ]" A$ g2 V, v# N6 Y7 ~
Rough calculation:
. m Y4 p% X8 V2 d8 S2 X# eRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
( ~0 p/ `/ s+ w6 z- ]0 K BBuy 10000 US cost you 105000
5 H" L/ [, n0 |1 E9 xDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 1040004 `, C+ u8 ~1 }/ S" Z- A- X
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.& S# {/ d, f+ A8 O- u9 L
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.
0 ^7 n* s* y- S) fI am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.1 q2 q8 T+ {" u, m
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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; w1 g& u5 D) x1 ]All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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