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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
# z% e* u0 t0 v' ?( vPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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3 i7 O- g) J7 v$ [) p1 Q6 mEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.7 w* S0 c- F: z2 J: c$ ]
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.6 w) ]" B# ]% f2 O7 I2 |- m
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.* R# _' K# v# l9 O4 \2 C* |
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.7 n/ M6 v1 O. g; `1 r' t
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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8 V% o: F$ N8 M- p" X. }The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.. p5 u; ], k5 H0 ]: {9 s) H
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.! V7 i& e+ k& ` D) `% V. s" N
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Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.! f/ F) \8 @3 A+ n; F
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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