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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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Thu, January 11, 2007. |5 N; Q/ M- }0 }% I
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Price is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 2007, M- u+ Z" C, j7 t
By NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN3 Q2 z' x! o7 ^4 ~( y+ s% t/ Z' L

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They're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace. 3 W! |1 x* t" j' T: ]" W! |0 u) n
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Madeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later. 0 Y+ [4 E* @, O

! p+ q. {& v4 Y4 D. oBut first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts.
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/ [% E3 P1 @* I3 d6 c4 s" yDon't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%. + f5 b: G* c6 N& h, d! p' v
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'CONTINUED DEMAND' # y4 x; i- G3 N+ t: K( W4 o; Z. E+ W
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"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year." - u/ g! L, f5 Q7 _7 V2 d3 g

0 A; i2 J+ f8 C$ V- W7 @She predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter.
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"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed.
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Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting.
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"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less." , d0 |7 z8 W5 f7 Y

1 `2 B' M; x# N$ s. ^" nStill, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts. 9 P8 \8 `# p4 h, [/ q: [
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"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy. . C$ c  z: \- P( L5 a$ c0 x: S

. ~+ C' _- T! O$ d( \6 F) d"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged.
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/ a9 |- q" g. c0 p% b$ v8 H"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%.
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NO PRICE BOOM REPEAT
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6 l( g7 n3 N4 C( |. V8 KHe also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable." 3 |8 l# ]( o- h/ u9 j! |

) m8 H* V) y' F1 j: ?Expect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages. - w6 p* B- }6 d, G! a% M

( C: h/ z' \0 k4 ~  aOver at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service.
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His 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor. + @- ]" W/ u' |1 W! v# x# N

4 o& e+ N+ X5 N% @. ~9 y; L# }"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked.
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! t, S( U: r. G6 d) p$ PSo strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share.
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$ k2 ^- m/ v3 \Yesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about. 7 m2 N: m- e5 w4 D/ _; ^$ Q
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"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered. - c! R8 B1 i5 H8 m2 J$ F+ G

. d2 Q% P/ a# b5 ?' _Let the good times roll.
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
Where is 醉酒 ?
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