埃德蒙顿华人社区-Edmonton China

 找回密码
 注册
查看: 2077|回复: 9

高水平的驳斥

[复制链接]
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(6)
发表于 2012-8-4 09:48 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
本帖最后由 bigsnail 于 2012-8-4 10:50 编辑 / l8 {& o5 s% m& K: G$ V$ a" T
0 O0 d$ i2 U8 _( S1 ~9 ?  C/ u
饶毅致《自然》杂志总编的信。
7 S1 h8 d! o7 \/ }* [* T) D就像当年傅莹在英国《星期日电讯报》上发文一样,要争取到话语权、影响别人的认识,就得多一点这样的人。, g7 U* @( t9 ^' r
总体上中国对外宣传还是以自己的思维方式,效果不彰。
- y+ X8 S- }) @, J
# l; \! f& n8 Q9 f/ ^1 d( qhttp://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-2237-598917.html+ U" p; }  C* w2 o7 e/ k6 u1 x

( N5 A/ @: m- {7 S5 M" B致《自然》杂志总编的信:有关叶诗文的新闻报道  精选
5 h2 D7 J$ S5 |. p5 }1 G7 h+ q8 W  M& `, w& X- F
英文原信附后,大意如下:, z% f3 W0 b* p% @" j
  L5 e" t( Y7 T, W- ]
斐尔,
5 }$ @8 F( b( [, D/ T       你可能因Ewen Callaway对叶诗文的报道而被email狂炸,过去二十小时,给你8 }5 b7 U3 ?) w/ `3 d
email的人里面小部分也给我来信。
5 ?. R4 i% z% D2 b; a+ b; i       如果你奇怪《自然》非本质部分一篇报道为何带来这么大的反应,你应该高兴
5 J5 |# R; W/ r2 I: F中文读者比世界其他读者更看重你们的新闻报道,与科学相关的(即使关系很小)也可. F% r* |0 o  z9 j
能重于《纽约时报》,中文媒体报道用你们的新闻也远多于一般西方媒体用你们的新闻。
* \4 l, I: H7 i9 M& F" u2 m       Callaway报道最好也是草率、最差是种族偏见:1)最初的副标题暗示叶可能舞
/ q/ O- W% Y% L! ~$ b( P) b4 b弊; 2)Callaway用了两件事实说明叶惊人地异常,而两件都错了; 3)Callaway没咨询意
% x3 w7 _& k$ O: W, s2 v/ W见不同的专家,导致报道不平衡,低于公平报道的最低标准。所以,Callaway至少不负
7 K/ w7 V: z' k+ Z/ l责任,可能太快就暗示中国运动员容易舞弊。他肯定没有达到新闻报道的通常标准。
3 `* Z% _) c1 {2 o9 z0 K: Y+ \       我很高兴看到在我草拟此信的过程中,《自然》可能意识到了原副标题的偏见
# [& c0 `! Y* y. @,将之由“成绩追踪记录有助于抓体育舞弊者”更正为“成绩追踪记录有助于驱散疑问
( k8 A8 T# O$ v( F; D& f: u* i”。舞弊的前设改为疑问。
- z+ `0 M9 l! O! u       Callaway报道用的两个“事实”让叶诗文看起来比真实的要更“异常”:说她
9 z5 ~% @" P' z% a, y6 r比自己在2012年7月的记录要快7秒,说她在最后五十米比男子冠军Ryan Lochte还要快
, i' s: F$ T3 M8 D+ t$ l,而后者是男子第二快的世界纪录。
0 k4 f$ E! o9 Q" D5 i; `" c- z       第一个“事实”错了,第二个误导。1)叶比自己只快5秒,而此前她的记录创于9 J9 w  y0 N  l5 o  n
2011年、不是2012年,这位16岁运动员用了一年而不是少于4周刷新自己。2)叶只在混
7 z& Y; S8 U# M' G& k合泳400米中最后自由泳一段比Lochte快,而非整个400米。Lochte在400米是世界第二1 ^# P: P0 ?6 J" V1 P- p
快的记录,叶在400米丝毫不能接近他(慢了二十多秒)。叶只是自由泳最强,而在前$ z6 r( ~/ B5 `$ A
300米落后于好些女选手。虽然Lochte在400米很快,他在最后50米的自由泳慢于五、六
6 R, a# c0 {: P( J: T0 B位男选手。叶最后五十米自由泳也慢于那些男子。所以,叶只在她自己的强项而他的弱
- |0 O4 S) y6 T5 E/ E项快于Lochte。如果Callaway多做的功课,他就难以用这些“事实”来使“问题”醒目$ S8 M4 n& v, N1 @7 e2 N, E
。如果Callaway多查询,他就能发现其他游泳运动员也曾在十几岁发育阶段显著提高记
" T) ]+ K, x$ a% Y9 f4 W6 ?3 |录。这些事实更正后,Callaway的报道就没基础。
: b& ~6 B( j4 R: ~还有好些事实,可以让一般读者更理解叶诗文的成绩,我不在此赘述。可以参见《附件
2 `/ Y% n' e7 a' c0 u; k1》,wikipedia对叶的成就有一个相当快而公平的描述。署名的《自然》报道应该优于& `9 N+ A. y; X$ I) @
Wikipedia。Callaway报道与Wikipedia条目的差别也显示该记者未采访已经公开提出不
& v/ H" |1 p$ v+ d同意见的专家。
1 g' w9 T0 j$ v9 @2 c- v$ E7 C% d6 p你应该收到了"XXX"博士的一封email。他在发表多篇《自然》和《自然神经科学》的
9 H- R2 B2 o3 [+ S4 x% _第一作者论文后,获得"XX"学院的博士,并因此获有声誉的奖学金到"XX"大
& {4 L: Q1 V- p( t' D2 ]6 Z+ `学做独立的博士后。万一他给你的email埋在你收到的成百上千邮件中,我将其拷贝为. z7 Y8 i; x$ q; m8 G* n# \; p
《附件2》。他email给了我、要我看看此事。
0 |- F7 C. C5 r$ i) ]Callaway在线报道下面有很多跟帖讨论。有些学生以为有些很有道理(且有实质内容). w" T; A0 g  h, m9 f4 }* Q# G6 [  y
的讨论被删了,他们寄给了我。我选Lai Jiang的一份为《附件3》,Zhenxi Zhang的为
; q" C% y. b+ \  K# o《附件4》。你们可以看到学生和一些更有经历的《自然》读者不高兴是有依据的,而
. W) P' b  {( W- ~; @8 k这些被Callaway忽略。
' R- c# D8 u5 t% I+ `英国人常常忘记、而现代华人不易忘记,世界上很多人以为鸦片战争是中国人卖鸦片给
& F% C9 F( }0 ?9 @/ o7 D, H* s( @英国人。我自己6月份(这确是2012年)又经历一次,我和一位老朋友(麻省理工学院
7 z; v7 n+ }( n7 m6 Q% q. c) ~教授)在香港开会时,发现她竟然也是这么认为。/ j6 f+ B* x: f: Z6 b. d+ I* N" x
英国人的国际形象好,部分原因是你们的科学和科学家:当全世界中学生都要从教科书$ H+ L2 {4 Q; m% d
学牛顿和达尔文,英国赢得了世界的尊重。《自然》应该以这些伟大(且客观)的科学( {' Q* ?8 s: d5 z
家建立的传统和声誉为自豪。他们其中有些曾在《自然》发表过论文,才有《自然》的
5 @) N  }/ }) f4 _6 h今天。你们如果采取措施修复你们的新闻记者造成的损害,可以加强你们的声誉。: T4 u3 b8 @9 z% x
英国人从来没因鸦片战争对我们道歉,即使在1997年离开香港时也未显示丝毫悔意。而: `! M; R$ W. {( Q
香港是英国在鸦片战争后强迫我们割让的土地。所以,记忆是犹新的,而不仅是1840年
8 I) O, h4 j% E6 n: d( A0 n代的残余。如果《自然》拒绝承认此报道不公平,可能很难“驱散”英国至上的“疑问
$ Y) @1 t" C" G. E”(借用《自然》对叶报道的词汇)。
9 ~" A' Z6 q! {中国人受形象不佳的牵累。我们也知道我们还有很多感到羞耻的未解决的问题,包括舞
8 Y- i% Q* f/ V, n" K/ v; f+ `. B弊。越来越多的中国人能接受合理与平衡的批评,我们在伦敦奥运会为我们羽毛球的问
9 F3 N: X( g; f7 `, d- n1 ~题公开道歉就是证据。但我们对缺依据、有偏见的批评还很敏感。叶诗文不过是个16岁' w2 J( s' }: l5 u
的年轻人,本该为自己职业生涯的成就而庆贺。当已知她通过了奥运会赛前、赛中多次
$ \; m# o) B6 s& y$ v, C$ _% a测试,而毫无证据指责她的时候,却有很多媒体,特别是《自然》这样的刊物,的渲染. U1 u$ w3 E: L& _$ {
而导致负面舆论多于正面,当然令人深感不平。1 t7 `- w% p% b+ a2 c6 f
我希望你们能澄清记录,发表平衡Callaway报道的意见。
2 j0 T* G' F0 H# G$ O/ \, {; k" y" N6 T' l( K# j

8 I+ b% U' `* U2 V/ k' F北京大学生命科学学院 神经生物学教授 饶毅
, F5 x4 x' X0 i5 y4 J" E7 ^
7 U+ e; l3 d6 C+ {  f! _附件1 Wikipedia对叶诗文的总结) O- M; h: d3 {+ z$ I; a2 w9 W
附件2 伯克利加州大学王立明的email
# s  U. E5 t* y. R) U3 N, T0 I附件3 Lai Jiang在Callaway报道后的意见* o, `$ z( [  G1 B7 }1 `
附件 4 Zhenxi Zhang在Callaway报道后的意见
% l, R% f, q0 w" A
- M, D5 v4 w, f) P
+ q% Q2 q1 D9 e* _. f% i1 d8 V+ ^" L) g( R. c
原文(2012年8月4日1:57am发送)
' O% s! K) b' _. v, Y7 FDear Phil,# B, j( l" y4 \  ?$ x' L  J
       You might have been bombarded with emails about Ewen Callaway’s- `# f/ z1 R, }
report on the Chinese Olympic gold medalist Ye Shiwen. Over the last 202 G, r1 \7 l' p" J6 d
hours, I have received emails from a small fraction of those who had emailed$ x; N; Y! Q/ Q) s1 d: h
you./ D5 Y0 |6 F, V0 X- Y% k" B( b' ^
       If you wonder why a piece in a non-essential section of Nature have, v0 }! A7 B. O( B) q' @1 u- T
brought you so much response, you should be happy to know that Chinese
9 T& o' X+ m3 R, D0 Yreaders place much more weight in Nature news reports than the rest of the
) Z* l! |; C- [  X  _5 T$ D# cworld does. If an event is related to science (even tangentially) and Nature* \1 [) ^. a, H$ O0 J
publishes a news report, many Chinese readers treat the Nature report more  C1 ]; G) G- y9 r% o( R7 j
seriously than New York Times. Chinese news media also use Nature news
6 f- W# o$ g. p" Q- g/ P' Npieces much more than the regular Western news media would.
9 f2 ^7 t1 b! S+ |3 e3 [9 Y2 S. R       The Callaway report was sloppy at the best and racially biased at the
4 b# @9 x- U; A) \worst: 1) the original subtitle implied cheating on Ye’s part, setting a
8 a/ j) A% T& Vnegative tone for the report; 2) Callaway presented two facts to establish7 ?# x& b5 X! g9 t  q+ o
that Ye was strikingly anomalous, but both “facts” were wrong; 3) Callaway" h8 `$ X/ `$ S& C- A  @
did not check with experts whose opinions did not supported the doping( m' A/ T6 W, G$ T
explanation, and thus did not provide a balance report that is the minimal
% N0 N, ~9 G! j9 }  p$ zstandard of fair reporting. Therefore, Callaway is at least irresponsible,* W. u2 I7 z# Z, j: h
and could have jumped too quickly to imply that Chinese athletes were prone
1 r+ R. D2 `% P) v$ B5 Fto cheating. He has certainly not held onto the usual standard of news6 U. ^; L1 S" K# X
reporting., q0 N/ S; |# m% f9 B
       I am glad that, while I was drafting this letter, Nature may have! R. @3 x5 |4 Z$ u  h( c( s
already noticed the bias in the original subtitle and corrected it by5 F1 K$ |2 K. j: L' V. D0 @; K
changing it from “Performance profiling could help to catch cheaters in
) O; D  Z/ n3 ]$ A9 k  m" ksports” to “Performance profiling could help to dispel doubts”. A
' v+ g# D; q8 ]presumption of cheating has changed to doubts.
/ X" q/ U( u0 p  J       The Callaway report presented two “facts” which made Ye Shiwen seem
1 C+ b2 Y$ V/ umore “anomalous” than she really was by stating: that she was 7 seconds! O- H' m. V; M6 \4 k
faster than herself in the same event in July 2012, and that, in the last 50
2 z7 K" K- \* T' a8 l" Lmeters, she was faster than Ryan Lochte, the gold medalist of the same+ v3 \+ w7 V  P: M! N- [- s5 ~4 S
event for men, with the second fastest record.
1 F/ _, ~# x. D' H% i       The first “fact” was wrong, while the second was misleading. 1) Ye2 z4 w- G4 c( }* L' n0 P: O$ Z
was only ~5 seconds faster than her own record in July, 2011, giving the 16
$ ^6 Y$ `! k, A9 d& B6 A, ]7 Ryear old a full year rather than less than 4 weeks to improve her own record
6 o$ ~- [7 S+ c! f. 2) Ye was faster than Lochte only in the freestyle, not for the entire 400' }+ {# W( _4 G
meters. Lochte’s time was the second fastest for the entire 400 meters,; ?- G6 x, F( O- C  j4 k' s0 ~
for which Ye was not even close (she was more than 20 seconds slower than3 ?, f# J- w& g
Lochte in 400 meters). Ye was only at her best in freestyle and trailed
% w+ Q  R5 Z& _( Xbehind other women in the same event in the first 300 meters of the* ?- w: b; K! V/ e
individual medley. While Lochte was the fastest in 400 meters, he was slower3 V* T+ X/ U. r8 Y8 K
than 5 or 6 men in the last 50 meters of freestyle. Ye was slower than1 T: E' Q( d% c" B
those other men. Thus, Ye was only faster than Lochte in a style that was# y5 F- `5 z1 o. v* [
her strength and his weakness. Had Callaway done a bit more home work, then
8 |  j3 E, b3 W: l* F  ]+ _" U! ~( vhe would have had a hard time to use these “facts” to highlight the “
0 Y7 J5 `- V8 B/ K9 sproblem”. Had Callaway done double-checking, he would have found that other
6 H: ~# G' C8 R" Mswimmers had significantly improved their own records when they were in the" t5 `; L: Z; S" E- v/ Z
teens. Corrections of these facts would have changed the basis for the' L! B) a1 z4 g* N( z' W; q) H( A
Callaway report.$ {( q; K4 x" H& ]* Z! t
There are more facts that would have made the performance of Ye Shiwen more# f; f. X+ ]& p6 M- e
understandable to the general readership, which I will not go into details7 n2 z1 C3 W1 B6 G
here. See Attachment 1 for an amazingly quick and well-balanced description
/ p( }& f1 U% S/ l  \/ n/ c. @/ C. wof Ye’s performance by Wikipedia. Signed reports in Nature should have been
1 |5 y9 ^3 ~; Y/ ^7 F' Q" Ebetter than Wikipedia. The contrast between the Callaway report and the% n# \! b8 }# c% Z5 k* m
Wikipedia item shows that the reporter did not interview experts who had" F" ~1 _" p6 v5 r
publicly voiced different opinions.$ e) @/ B/ Q# P8 i2 U4 ]1 W& B
You should have received an email from Dr.XXX, who obtained a PhD
' E# F- R( W% O7 ~; M* F# wfrom xxx after publishing first author papers in Nature and Nature( H; T4 `! [& g
Neuroscience. He was awarded a prestigious fellowship for an independent7 y5 _. ?: n' f+ k( j
postdoc at xxx. In case his email has been buried among the hundreds3 v) i' F' h  g' k
you have received, I am copying it here as Attachment 2. He had sent a copy
$ W0 Y5 \4 R. P0 y0 Hof his email to me and asked me to look at the issue.
9 |+ ?* e5 |7 J9 k. wThere are many online posts below the Callaway report. Some students think
0 R5 _7 K4 `% h6 _7 ?% mthat a few very reasonable (and substantive) posts have been deleted. They6 r0 M# Z. C& ^" V8 n0 G) c% p
have sent these to me and I am including one authored by Lai Jiang as) w' P( g6 ~) y; Q
Attachment 3 and another by Zhenxi Zhang as Attachment 4. You can see that
& t; G7 x: r( Wthe anger of students and more established scientists who read Nature was- O* J  I& q) F& a9 v# R. I
supported by facts neglected by Callaway.
* `4 N7 ~6 Y: NOne point the British often forget, but the modern Chinese do not, is that
% @7 E" }1 \; v% u5 ?many in the world wrongly think that the Opium Wars occurred because the4 \6 X9 b* Q% e. B/ u
Chinese sold opium to the British. I had personally experienced this in June: l1 u2 F9 a6 g5 k8 {8 z. e
(2012) when a long time friend of mine at MIT thought that way while she
! ~9 d" v5 k" _. o/ Z. X; oand I were in Hong Kong attending a meeting./ \2 d" S' N- s9 w
The British have a good international image, partly because of your science; w/ T) b6 j& o0 d
and your scientists: when every middle school student has to know Newton and0 l+ H" E3 D6 Q3 f
Darwin in textbooks, the entire Britain wins the respect of the world.7 ]+ `) \9 G3 r/ f/ j$ T7 ~
Nature should be proud of the tradition and prestige built by the great (and, ?, J, t$ w$ w8 [' L$ x% [0 z
objective) scientists, some of whom have published in Nature to make Nature& Y" |* ?; w, o
what it is today. Your prestige will be strengthened when you take steps to
6 R3 _; q0 N. b0 d0 Qrepair the damage caused by your news reporters.
* h2 \, `  M9 i& K+ wThe British have never apologized to us about the Opium Wars and did not. _7 B; p$ `6 O; ^1 ]' i
show slight remorse when leaving Hong Kong in 1997 which the British forced, o; A7 x/ _: z/ W) K
us to cede after the British won the Opium Wars. So the memory is rather
& _* v+ f: k$ j3 Q& _! t' dfresh, not just lingering from the 1840s. If Nature refuses to admit that
; t0 ~& m* F# I3 C. H% K4 t' L1 X- r; fthis report was not balanced, it will be difficult to “dispel doubts”+ J( f0 n/ s+ A5 k1 C: Y4 p9 i" C6 ^
about British supremacy.
1 i: \& ]& ^( `6 ]6 ~3 N4 EThe Chinese suffer from a poor image. We also know that we have many
3 c. E. W" \9 Punsolved problems that we are ashamed of, including cheating. More and more
' L4 y% V+ E8 D* E/ T! EChinese are receptive to legitimate and balanced criticism, as evidenced by( K& ?$ ~8 d: W& _5 r, M
our public apology for our faults at the badminton games during the London* C8 I( y3 f9 Y- v  Z9 A7 o
Olympic. But we are sensitive to ill-founded criticism with apparent biases.
: E; ]1 @* q5 s+ c5 m' XYe Shiwen is only a 16 year old and should have enjoyed her moment of
" G( p8 y5 b% M; i2 r& wprofessional achievement. When she is known to have passed multiple tests6 }  A. q7 C5 A# ?  k& \
before and during the London Olympic and there is no evidence to accuse her,* j& K" P* ]' H/ q
it is certainly unjustified when the negative opinions were highly
9 A1 H7 ~; f0 n. _+ j9 [4 }3 p' i4 U/ }publicized but the positive ones were not, especially in a journal like" q+ `; J$ I7 Q6 {  J  v; A
Nature.
8 j- E$ i: G# A+ P4 [I hope that you will set record straight and publish opinions that balance
4 N( U3 n' `5 f; [$ Nthe Callaway report.: _/ R% o* W6 s* Q, J; ?: X6 B* r

1 S* @% H- f4 `( u  l. lYi6 c0 |! e2 r3 h; }; I/ b( P- H; f

" F  V& D/ m2 w* @7 i, A* @Yi Rao, Ph.D.1 K2 o, U4 t. _" n4 `( I% d2 o1 R
Professor of Neurobiology, Peking University School of Life Sciences* Q7 A: |5 O# a! Q
Beijing, China  X+ i5 }; W, ^( O) C" K/ i
鲜花(430) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2012-8-5 00:23 | 显示全部楼层
好文,这个才是教授,不是叫兽。
鲜花(4) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2012-8-5 04:01 | 显示全部楼层
高水平·········
鲜花(541) 鸡蛋(13)
发表于 2012-8-5 07:18 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
原文发表在哪里, Nature News?
鲜花(6) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2012-8-5 19:54 | 显示全部楼层
Callaway报道是种族偏见!!!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(6)
 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-6 20:16 | 显示全部楼层
FrankSoccer 发表于 2012-8-5 08:18 % O! ^1 M. x8 I$ G
原文发表在哪里, Nature News?

5 Y: ~1 a* t$ C+ z. A原文是公开信。
3 I* n& F0 }) f' l
7 a! m* R  [/ ?2 o6 y小胜  http://2012.sina.com.cn/cn/aq/2012-08-07/054745942.shtml
鲜花(541) 鸡蛋(13)
发表于 2012-8-6 20:23 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
bigsnail 发表于 2012-8-6 21:16
( J5 \2 x, X) _( H; w: |* ?6 X原文是公开信。. ?7 B# z# l2 \: u

% M- n1 Q" r% W! g: m+ m( S  {小胜  http://2012.sina.com.cn/cn/aq/2012-08-07/054745942.shtml
" C7 H" m- I- |3 w3 Y0 \
谢谢。好像那个什么杂志已经道歉了。
鲜花(125) 鸡蛋(1)
发表于 2012-8-7 08:01 | 显示全部楼层
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(6)
 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-14 00:55 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
其实比饶毅更牛的回复是 Upenn 的 LAI JIANG: B% ?0 j1 P7 }' T0 j0 {3 v
如果是中国长大的,英语能到这种程度真是很不简单。
6 {  d! k( J$ p0 h- H- }+ b, {% @! u" A9 I/ D+ E
http://www.sas.upenn.edu/rappegroup/htdocs/People/LJ.html
5 y6 b6 }) I% I/ \" Y) v  Q9 h# v" D
FROM LAI JIANG, Department of Chemistry, University of Pennsylvania
6 {" y# q8 S! d, L2 C( A2 G9 r+ o0 t9 t7 O" h$ w6 Y
It is a shame to see Nature — which nearly all scientists, including myself. V& @9 Q) L) V) M
, regard as one of the most prestigious and influential physical-science
5 d0 N3 Q- m7 l( v* Z( E) d, i7 D& Q- zmagazines — publish a thinly veiled biased article like this. Granted, this
) E  a* h% y* {/ a: K9 u) ^, h2 qis not a peer-reviewed scientific article and did not go through the/ O0 V' X( V) t& u
scrutiny of picking referees. But to serve as a channel for the general9 {7 ], @9 J# U( T; h
populace to be in touch with and appreciate science, the authors and editors0 ?- l7 D& v) u. A
should at least present the readers with facts within the proper context,8 a. e0 B2 T; `
which they blatantly failed to do.
+ J1 w; f$ d, M' q  g1 c
/ k# D3 F( i  c7 m0 f1 fFirst, to identify Ye’s performance increase, Ewen Callaway compared her
; ]& Y* x& o! c/ hOlympic 400-metre IM time with her performance at the World Championships in
. b+ d1 I3 f' X  J% j# I2011 (4:28.43 and 4:35.15, respectively) and concluded that she had an “
2 h/ n( Q' A' |. yanomalous” improvement of around 7 seconds (6.72 s). In fact, her previous* L/ U( d# Z- o% e1 K
personal best was 4:33.79 at the Asian Games in 2010. This leads to an1 a* C; o' S5 [' @  f
improvement of 5.38 seconds. In a sporting event in which 0.1 s can be the- v2 X1 i3 N& u
difference between the gold and silver medal, I see no reason for 5.38 s to
5 P2 A  E1 V) ?4 p8 }% Z) z% r, Rbe treated as 7 s.) z* d! J4 D) j8 t8 k" k
8 _1 h9 X: Z$ F+ q' _8 k3 D0 M  \2 o. N
Second, as previously pointed out, Ye is only 16 years old and her body is
' Q$ f/ C' {3 ~" n& G3 V! pstill developing. Bettering oneself by 5 seconds over two years may seem
1 R: D9 [8 V8 o) e7 }impossible for an adult swimmer, but it certainly happens among youngsters.
7 c7 Y6 ?1 ]/ |  X" KAn interview with Australian gold medallist Ian Thorpe revealed that his 4008 j( q( ~: D% l; W
-metre freestyle time improved by 5 seconds between the ages of 15 and 16.
5 c" q3 x6 f  `6 z! ~8 V7 rFor regular people, including Callaway, it may be hard to imagine what an
; X. ~# Z1 e% e5 P& Jelite swimmer can achieve as he or she matures and undergoes scientific and
* Q. b1 J: O" \5 s7 h/ U. ~( [persistent training. But jumping to the conclusion that it is “anomalous”9 i* s/ I- i$ }2 c4 n
based on ‘Oh that’s so tough I cannot imagine it is real’ is hardly sound.2 C2 L) \* U2 c1 g6 h* b; ]

! j+ n# O( v6 u! O1 ^5 b4 k6 zThird, to compare Ryan Lochte’s last 50 metres to Ye’s is a textbook3 V  ?! ^2 }: u) M
example of ‘cherry-picking’ your data. Yes, Lochte was slower than Ye in/ z% @/ n9 T6 n, H, M
the last 50 metres, but Lochte had a huge lead in the first 300 metres, so2 w' C0 E4 C3 j
he chose not to push himself too hard and to conserve his energy for later
8 a* [# A7 O4 r  q. devents (whether this conforms to the Olympic spirit and the ‘use one’s
2 M0 H5 C- g8 f2 X' Fbest efforts to win a match’ requirement that the Badminton World
0 b8 L4 ~* z' q9 {Federation recently invoked to disqualify four badminton pairs is another
. _  h" U) c  {( c2 \topic worth discussing, though probably not in Nature). Ye, on the other3 y6 O- Q  \; H/ W/ L
hand, was trailing behind after the first 300 metres and relied on freestyle* L- a9 c% r. p3 A- S( \, P6 z
, in which she has an edge, to win the race. Failing to mention this
" ~9 R' A8 p( F# d9 B$ d8 r- wstrategic difference, as well as the fact that Lochte is 23.25 seconds8 I8 P' e- a  T% V
faster (4:05.18) than Ye overall, creates the illusion that a woman swam. e* N, Z! h1 D2 d5 A* S
faster than the best man in the same sport, which sounds impossible. Putting
4 b- F* G, @4 E6 \2 V) Paside the gender argument, I believe this is still a leading question that
; _% Y8 v) @; p5 ?implies to the reader that there is something fishy going on.& V* K8 Z- J% t7 t. j
, D: \0 v4 n1 h. [
Fourth is another example of cherry-picking. In the same event, there are( G+ O5 o7 N* V
four male swimmers who swam faster than both Lochter (29.10 s) and Ye (28.93
. p3 s  E8 |/ U# ^% Zs) in the final 50 metres: Kosuke Hagino (28.52 s), Michael Phelps (28.44 s" B+ |3 b" I$ M0 F$ a8 o
), Yuya Horihata (27.87 s) and Thomas Fraser-Holmes (28.35 s). As it turns
# c8 Z% `: ?1 M' f2 ?, Fout, if we are just talking about the last 50 metres in a 400-metre IM,
4 S* K5 m5 ^4 sLochter is not the example I would have used if I were the author. What kind% D, K. y4 q! v/ ~2 X9 z' R% X
of scientific rigorousness is Callaway trying to demonstrate here? Is it' R4 }% I# r+ P& ?
logical that if Lochter is the champion, we should assume that he leads in+ ]( A! j. Q2 C2 n! `& K
every split? That would be a terrible way to teach the public how science5 `. ^' n; F' b; |1 q
works.+ o" G3 p$ c" G

" P) S& @% j4 X6 _  KFifth is the issue I oppose the most. Callaway quotes Ross Tucker and
9 y6 m/ N3 H- l7 aimplies that a drug test cannot rule out the possibility of doping. Is this/ d. c* f1 |/ M3 p
kind of agnosticism what Nature really wants to teach its readers? By that
- R; q/ G* l- l4 ~5 g7 g; m. z8 lstandard, I estimate that at least half of the peer-reviewed scientific4 m/ k, Y0 ]1 g2 b: y) [
papers in Nature should be retracted. How can one convince the editors and
' ]  e7 W* \) ?reviewers that their proposed theory works for every possible case? One  s, }! ~) L& G' z2 e* \3 [
cannot. One chooses to apply the theory to typical examples and to
+ {: b- U4 m: [" sdemonstrate that in (hopefully) all scenarios considered, the theory works
4 ]  D. N7 _8 w) V1 jto a degree, and that that should warrant publication until a counterexample% M  a$ g7 X% s2 D: f5 a0 q7 X9 S
is found. I could imagine that Callaway has a sceptical mind, which is
' y7 ^" Z: u- m8 S8 g& wcrucial to scientific thinking, but that would be put to better use if he) n6 n( F( G' y3 y7 Y
wrote a peer-reviewed paper that discussed the odds of Ye doping on a highly
5 y" K9 a+ T) Y2 zadvanced, non-detectable drug that the Chinese have come up with in the
: d7 i1 w- W2 Q$ @past 4 years (they obviously did not have it in Beijing, otherwise why not
4 q  a7 o$ d1 A5 p! I5 V! [use it and woo the audience at home?), based on data and rational derivation
" w. i2 V8 v( C4 y+ u4 Y& {. This article, however, can be interpreted as saying that all athletes are
; [. T8 w3 q" S" Ndoping and the authorities are just not good enough to catch them. That may+ C: Q* y0 M& U- r/ s+ p) V+ L
be true, logically, but definitely will not make the case if there is ever a
; L8 }; T% C) P: k/ |hearing by the governing body for water sports, FINA, to determine if Ye2 @! o. E* H5 s: \
has doped. To ask whether it is possible to obtain a false negative in a  ^2 m: ~: `% z$ h
drug test looks like a rigged question to me. Of course it is possible:, G+ m- z  B. c1 G+ x* h
other than the athlete taking a drug that the test is not designed to detect: F) X9 W1 d; [) V9 ^' }8 `7 ?) {1 r
, anyone who has taken quantum 101 will tell you that everything is
5 S: c# ?, S  [% S. \. nprobabilistic in nature, and so there is a probability that the drug in an
( f5 t2 P$ w8 l, h2 G" Z3 Fathlete’s system could tunnel out right at the moment of the test. A slight1 R, M4 b# X9 z9 Y* R
chance it may be, but should we disregard all test results because of it?+ L' b  t0 Q2 T) @* s
Let’s be practical and reasonable, and accept that the World Anti-Doping
, C: o$ T, E' Z6 f9 g5 P# H/ \agency (WADA) is competent at its job. Ye’s urine sample will be stored for
4 e! w8 E% E# D6 L, Aeight years after the contest for future testing as technology advances.
- N: ]$ s' B! ~8 T! g- sInnocent until proven guilty, shouldn’t it be?
9 ?" c- S5 h: N  h& G5 l" J5 u' d: }# N# o, R. w  N3 m( ]4 T
Sixth, and the last point I would like to make, is that the out-of-/ h1 H6 R1 K2 r
competition drug test is already in effect, which Callaway failed to mention% b, A" T& e7 [, K/ z
. As noted in the president of WADA’s press release, drug testing for5 c: n: r# E5 x) S
Olympians began at least six months before the opening of the London
) ^- v7 c8 b4 i6 Q7 b% z+ bOlympics. Furthermore, 107 athletes have been banned from this Olympics for3 k7 F! m* c& H' Q
doping. That may be the reason that “everyone will pass at the Olympic
6 P5 h5 n- e/ \! g% cgames. Hardly anyone fails in competition testing” —  those who did dope* k6 ^. u. h3 G  L! b& Y$ u
have already been caught and sanctioned. Callaway is free to suggest that a- Q) m$ O; ]* E/ G
player could have doped beforehand and fooled the test at the game, but this
  r# ]0 h7 s: `  Ipossibility is certainly ruled out for Ye.# Q, b& u. J1 I# l

; M8 U# H, H9 {3 d4 ^) y, FOver all, even though Callaway did not falsify any data, he did (
& c+ E! c% R9 l9 F7 S5 K' Z* fintentionally or not) cherry-pick data that, in my view, are far too( k! e- P6 {% K! ]: P  ]
suggestive to be fair and unbiased. If you want to cover a story of a: z; d6 W* f0 K8 E# Q& K! I
suspected doping from a scientific point of view, be impartial and provide2 P: U; R) _7 Y) d. a
all the facts for the reader to judge. You are entitled to your6 `' O  {4 h* J+ n2 I
interpretation of the facts, and the expression thereof in your piece,! r  I: F! t- b6 V
explicitly or otherwise, but showing only evidence that favours your
2 f. X  U) X- X/ D6 rargument is hardly good science or journalism. Such an article in a journal: [* o! ?) p7 G
such as Nature is not an appropriate example of how scientific research or: ^6 U- @' J+ w9 b* J8 ~9 b# x/ q
reporting should be done.
鲜花(79) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2012-8-14 08:37 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

联系我们|小黑屋|手机版|Archiver|埃德蒙顿中文网

GMT-7, 2026-2-27 01:37 , Processed in 0.238600 second(s), 21 queries , Gzip On, APC On.

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

Copyright © 2001-2021, Tencent Cloud.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表