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本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-11-3 21:39 编辑 ; l l$ l" I+ }2 c5 E8 O
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The US dollar was under pressure following a slightly more aggressive QE than the markets had anticipated. The Federal Reserve announced they will purchase an additional $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the next 8 months which comes out to about $75 billion per month. This is compared to forecasts of $500 billion over 6 months and is in addition to the roughly $35 billion per month in reinvestment purchases.
. i+ P6 e# L& M$ ?* n. a6 @嘿嘿……美国准备印很多很多的钱,不过这个预期已经被PRICE IN了1个多月了。
! h6 p' I5 {8 ]2 K# o, k4 P6 t i现在股市标普为例面临1210-1220之间的阻力。
! V' H% N* f7 Y4 g6 F参见我9月1号的帖子:http://www.edmontonchina.ca/view ... &extra=page%3D2
, x; N! F1 p7 f6 N* Q从大势上看,突破是迟早的事情,但是我们应该注意一下市场今天都告诉了我们什么。
/ s; q4 ^1 }3 s+ ] w8 n今天的市场风险资产以黄金为例,经历了大起大落。在消息出来之前,黄金自由落体般下跌了30块。而消息是more aggressive,但是黄金未能创出新高。
! K5 C! X% Y& L# r今天早些时候出来的数据:
5 H/ Y* t$ U8 j$ s# cEconomic data released earlier showed ADP employment was much better than the expected +20K with a print of +43K for October up from the prior month’s -2K (revised higher from -39K). September factory orders surprised to the upside rising by more than the forecast of +1.6% climbing +2.1% from the prior 0.0 and the October ISM non-manufacturing index advanced to 54.3 (cons. 53.5 prior 53.2). The ISM Chairman mentioned that the ‘slow growth’ indicated by the report is more sustainable than a fast pickup. / o( ]. y. I5 o+ d% o8 R; Q, F
股市在这些数据的配合下,仅仅小涨。7 w1 z4 l; L- P2 Y, w
种种迹象都证明风险资产的上涨长期看还有大幅空间。; \6 T5 q8 l; K6 Q- R9 T4 t/ d x
短期看,OVERDONE。2 `) b: p, c6 j$ @% j0 L
所以关注标普1210-1220的阻力位置。$ s8 b2 O+ X5 E1 m( E+ c& ]1 J
4 Q& H& J2 T; w8 M2 Y8 e8 k至于黄金,很清楚的3浪调整走势,目前是第三浪开始不久,不过不能越过1366。! t6 J# V9 {3 p+ c
因此可以考虑在1256.50卖出黄金,止损1267。目标大概1280-1285之间。图不知道为什么不能下载,抱歉。 |
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