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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight# b1 Y. u- {' N
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
8 h" w( A# h# Rraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal8 X' N6 M) w* z0 ?& ^$ D
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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' t; [7 n/ f# l+ {The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
1 r9 }" n, w5 M! z1 Jstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the8 s* [' S/ E6 |! \
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! t( n$ y3 t/ o; t) G8 `' j
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 L3 j& a5 p1 ?$ o i8 C4 a" oIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
5 @( @8 ^. Y% N* J1 }+ x3 Bstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the' V2 O8 W) Q& ^; N& @- N+ a
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result) v: P w$ Y0 G4 P
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an t( a# k( V4 d" L+ u8 |) w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( ~# V7 j: v- f: T+ e$ r4 Aspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity R: Y/ d8 \( d& g) w
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 ~3 U! X h% C5 G% L( l$ m1 ~, k
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! p9 K: W& j' x; Z! B. w* e# }) X" rGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
( V1 G5 @) o) F& o3 O) eincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
/ C4 l3 @$ d5 tbalanced recovery.$ l( O# a* |5 G( g
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects2 i0 u, P! X$ W) O8 n. D
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
$ V' ]+ n: ^8 W1 l- Z6 Qsupply., z {- C4 I% D
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 I! ~9 H6 D4 r
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. U Z; \0 m J$ z! E2 e* }monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 9 S; o( P. B+ I
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.0 z( U! O% e9 U6 W9 ~
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 V# n8 e$ Z+ D- A! n5 w8 d
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. U3 H- w# l( @( u4 hdevelopments.. y! d F. v& S w* O
8 Y v z1 l+ Z/ H' J4 zInformation note:
+ ^# [0 H' T, bThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 O0 u' m8 q- }4 _5 D
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be; g! A! h. ^4 d
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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