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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight/ T1 F9 v* A+ w' D' l" p
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly# `; D2 I( J1 S3 s7 m
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 \' K1 l, ]$ j C6 Y, U7 [8 `3 h Moperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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, s6 X D6 w! `+ [5 V M- jThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with6 y" R6 {- W" Z. d0 P
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ S$ {8 s7 W" Z9 w+ J
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, {& m' u4 M$ l% ?3 Z, p7 I4 P9 t
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
& y9 x- s8 s H; i v/ y; \In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal' A# [# b8 L. E
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* I; b8 E7 e" k$ U/ k
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& O3 z4 v9 _+ ~: e- M% Q" K6 W
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; a0 |. d7 W% R9 l( r
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# A8 l0 v: ]3 @) E# G* sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity1 K% I/ u w. L2 V
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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- [ F$ z: o7 S# t* q. t' _0 O7 PActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
5 w5 ?7 n& V' Lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
$ C' O' ^2 {8 S+ \; @2 j9 _Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
' n3 L" v7 F1 {& Qincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ C1 u+ P# B. O0 ]4 {$ {9 q4 b
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
' H( u5 \) q: j. c( x' N- nthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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3 q1 P" O8 w# }; RIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ ?( {0 F' R" x* H' ~7 M& d* ]% X0 qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- U& Q3 W$ e. S. n9 y' Mmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 |# g& M4 \" a+ `6 b/ o3 z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery./ W& D$ c) z& e p/ @: V
0 C; I" M. R) oGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
( e5 x! i( ?4 J# F x' ustimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 h( n/ a ^) kdevelopments.( M# p8 f8 a! h0 K) Q
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Information note:5 S( ^7 J; r R8 ?, I, b& B
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 U4 o& V- ^ r c! @4 C, Yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
. {$ l t0 \% S6 a' A6 I) Spublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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