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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market0 ?4 {- l+ Z& z2 P$ }, S: d' a+ S
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 t" e9 M; h P" \ u
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( A$ j+ t$ ^. p, N
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 T; R2 i" u" w: ~/ ~
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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( a# N% h( ?) E9 M1 f. L- H- w- sThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with( X, h; K: y: W; w4 F0 T
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: x: I; W" a6 b( t; c9 l; aUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, E' l- S# U6 }$ D
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
7 c3 g$ I3 J5 r7 P y$ mIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 t6 Z5 }0 K/ ^! A5 l; dstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
7 X4 Q/ t9 o, F: Z0 X$ u% B6 p' `variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 `) \2 A% O bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 V+ @ Y# ^8 @important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
k8 s$ k& C( s) V; i8 l: {) Uspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity4 ^; @; ~# I, D4 d
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 O! M6 S4 L. K s+ `) I
0 _: U' z2 N4 v4 I# bActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 B% A7 I& x1 F+ V
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.5 j: D3 s v4 U/ u
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with. k* i- ]% j2 ^
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, p! |% F) q2 J3 u! D- v
balanced recovery.4 J' K' o0 E1 h4 f" a
$ a% M9 N' i# K" F6 Q8 E0 Y1 jCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 I& L$ B& j* a3 |8 ^, P6 Gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: T' N8 |: x3 M" X' z: Csupply./ D1 |. l) a, {4 d
9 k+ M5 \/ P: N) LIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& f. z8 z# D7 L
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( ?& r+ ^7 b/ e
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ; H; D* c5 v* M5 G4 f* x6 B1 J& Q8 f
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.4 d* P4 k; r; g. j/ A( t- m
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary3 p( q% y" k0 }0 Q; f0 p
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ X. X; z: _6 n8 X
developments.
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5 I7 m, p; ~% M- l) J0 rInformation note:
& r* j" T p' A& v$ H5 `1 wThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 ~, c0 \2 m. O( N% B$ z3 X
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be0 N, Q' Q; Y" e- Y2 z1 k
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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