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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. ) K# R$ x1 Z- j2 `4 \. q$ G+ ~; j
5 M) q% I& b* y- r0 G6 `The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. - ^: g. h5 Y: _( {- d8 T8 q2 U/ ~
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.- u6 ^; R, b1 P! I. e
* }$ i% I C" MIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.: i6 G7 `0 t, m5 S- _ L' a+ ]( Y
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. ! w v0 g" a5 b% n8 X
$ g0 D7 H+ @: ~6 pHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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3 S$ w5 \1 A2 T# p% v3 ~It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 4 K- ^$ A5 P1 ?
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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