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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. ( D$ b5 Y8 m& s" w5 c+ P3 _
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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$ r: _6 j1 A. C; zThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.8 y9 y5 s: t* \. h. H/ f
9 L$ u2 u1 }/ O. ^5 {& V/ sIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.. W' z6 c. ?3 }4 E( s
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. & |/ b; M. `$ Z% @$ _" D! p
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." 8 A/ q" a, x( B0 p; {
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. # E) ?, c/ G$ U8 @
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. # q7 u9 X: x% n+ e) o- O H
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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