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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 9 \* l' R p( [* S
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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% Q( [) m9 m6 u3 \! i! TThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.5 ?* K4 C+ M: I( [- ~6 e
* E- F$ _' x& E2 OIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.5 X& P O. ?/ L8 \# G C
0 P0 _% I4 e7 R( O( m" m"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. D7 |/ J# k" B. P \" }$ E
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." ( u( r2 |7 T8 k! _5 u! d# p
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. # p4 i* u* @4 X" B$ n
- o0 h9 T: T9 I: r h+ U5 OThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.) C. S! h2 P2 o: g& ~) r* O
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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