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Oilsands an emerging global growth star
, g% k$ l, V; X* c% k8 ZExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
# ^/ G- T" C q) w/ b YGordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
4 h* x" d* R* g! H7 |% xPublished: 2:37 am
3 s' H+ v t: ]/ eEDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.% {) ]7 D+ f& j$ D: |0 j4 ]) @
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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2 A7 H0 I2 a- G3 o2 \Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.& }; p6 e- ^7 ~+ b; x+ |* k. e
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% d8 Y/ U7 P& ]* j3 ^) n7 NGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.5 F& ?# y+ t0 ^
Larry Wong, The Journal6 d7 w% k; g8 A5 Y2 N
; w* m/ [" A: [9 X+ dEdmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.( B3 Y2 D) e3 {, _' `* ?$ W: H
$ t. G* Q' k$ h5 ?: `, rExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.% s% |5 A$ o, `0 P Z. G$ Z$ N. }6 T9 L$ e
& Z' b, o6 P6 u2 _: K# Y2 m8 WOutput from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.; Z0 O$ `5 h1 q9 Z4 P$ v4 a) t
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
