Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
/ `, Y! c: n0 a( r" X" u8 Z2 V
Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
1 ~$ F! Y3 v; s1 e1 h
+ ?- }! h' }- C! E8 R$ @Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
' m% V  c0 X& ]! _
Jul 2007
NA
; h& l! {/ B4 w: V 2328
  @& l2 R5 Q7 w# t  O. Y 717
442,752
. G- g' y7 Z) U; o 410,000
; V8 |$ g0 U5 `6 f 320
* g) e! [% a6 y# {% ^' K8 D 28
7 Z; z) ~) k( n/ @& d" E 31%

Jun 2007
" C) V5 B/ G: z0 x( ?0 _ NA
' i8 g  ~5 B& P: O6 {) a  ~, b 2661
1011
442,817
409,000
328
4 \& q5 |# h9 b7 t3 l 22
5 q1 i4 ?8 I% m3 ~% H& i: ^ 38%

May 2007
NA
, u' b8 \( I$ N. A6 n: E 2288
1261
451,216
* i. v0 G) x5 @, x7 b. c 415,000
322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
" N7 D/ H; U& e6 d, q) `3 U% E鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
& J7 r) S. E7 I, T& |鉴定完毕！

3 U2 ~% h6 E9 ]4 G1 z/ E
  E8 e* \! w7 B) S5 g用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
1 N5 r% |* A$ K  \2 x' [2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
' C2 f" z% J+ F6 {3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

6 v7 ?* m/ n( b* s
呵呵，太不专业了吧。

5 ^% |  }* w, n8 `6 [! m新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
# B# w" @7 N1 [5 c3 F
这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

8 U! q0 j9 v( \7 ^! k5 n
0 C0 ^7 M, {8 e8 z8 ^

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
+ ?, X, U: s; Z2 [1 o" T4 Z% FDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

) D4 D& v3 D) e3 h3 B

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
. {+ w0 C6 U! V" S8 pIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
( w& \8 u5 s8 F1 R! uThat is what i say half full or half empty.
2 n" b, j* }' q! t. Wgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
; g3 X6 E2 G( j( Y" tEdmonton Single Family Home
5 o" Q, s5 s# l0 QMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
' E1 Y7 b7 _& R0 C: |0 |) UIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
7 d. _- L# I$ p1 o8 H9 kNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

: i/ }" k( \# RQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表

& y6 ~  R) ~5 u$ U
' t% K7 x/ E. cI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

% ^: u+ t- \8 V' v0 X/ a

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
  {  W4 H7 d9 k$ D4 D+ F) C1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
# A0 ]) t8 P! j+ k2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

% `$ c# |# |; v# ?3 @
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：


4 ]* U. J, I+ k" h  P0 r
5 L1 m) {  I( Y, H只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。