Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
- c& t5 r* C/ |, s& W; `Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
7 u) ~% @  _3 X: h0 KNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
3 d; X; G! A* ~" U; t
Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

7 M) H; |3 \+ L& c% vAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
5 j7 j& o& H8 k8 _8 m
Jul 2007
NA
* q& r7 K- Z: U7 h+ | 2328
$ S* @# a, @  P+ A3 {" z2 j 717
442,752
410,000
. g6 z* }8 a$ S9 e 320
6 N" h4 ^& d: ?. E% w. b 28
31%

4 d; n8 v: a2 S& GJun 2007
NA
2661
# c$ p: e: I) ?- e5 O$ R- c 1011
) l* [& e& e: O7 z" X 442,817
' f8 J4 r  s; U 409,000
7 v4 G+ J* p$ M2 A! M: g9 H 328
22
( [6 [# v/ ?$ I  k6 z 38%

  X4 [9 G: n$ x* q4 f- oMay 2007
5 m" s6 ]5 P" ~  f  ^# w NA
2288
1261
0 X* r5 n+ v+ Q0 [/ P 451,216
415,000
+ i- E: s4 A! w' S1 A 322
* C" R8 [7 j' X3 h$ x2 i- f7 I 19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
, T& e& m& h: B0 A& x8 i  ~鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
' ~; s* q1 r( _. ?2 n& u这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

% v0 z7 Y1 Y) P: m' P, ~
用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
  R: e! ]' {5 `1 b7 Y8 ?; P存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。

0 G* P1 i; W% b* z+ x5 M新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

* E6 Z& v" m3 ^, E# F" y" ~这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

$ ^) j8 X4 s/ F) t

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
: p% R! |9 t; i! D+ H9 X4 G6 bDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
6 U, o# ?, a0 H1 w9 r! }Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
: z( m  ~1 Z7 M0 z8 eHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
' P3 {/ O; ]$ Y$ E  lThat is what i say half full or half empty.
( B( V/ l# ]+ d3 x' mgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
1 B; `) `2 H% w, s" i& Z) T. aIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
7 K% [' {% l3 J6 R6 e* c: d) o, R' ZIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
% N2 v; P2 Z7 a6 }. Z: w* lHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

1 ~7 p/ O7 Z/ u/ h& U% `
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
+ K% x3 M5 d( PEdmonton Single Family Home
- B2 o% B5 d! O. {6 I' BMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
/ X* T; z( j$ b" P  F6 eNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
) f: g0 [. V2 r* ?6 E1 j0 h/ ?8 ?

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

+ Q- S& _" u. d1 B

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
3 ^1 P( X6 N, r& T, l$ N1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
: S* w! R0 n  `. e. z3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

. x. C9 [9 D0 ?
) k/ d" X  B; ]下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：



& f: Q1 i1 |0 _/ |只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。