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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal6 d% v- y& n7 _7 M5 t
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 2007! P6 D/ _ R2 C" }3 f* E7 p
& y, ~- d9 Z: C& @; O7 q7 EEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.: {/ `, G7 Q! \6 v8 L
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.. Q2 A4 ?- M s- D8 U
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise./ P+ i8 B: _( D
; u1 @# J& t5 | U* f) nThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.) B: t2 W$ }% ?! _5 f$ Z H$ n
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The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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. C" n2 Q1 r: `& \# B& ^A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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, ?+ D2 C% Y2 ^+ n4 W, N3 yAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."' D3 G9 q) Y! U$ P# q$ ^6 h
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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4 i. k1 z# h: P7 r1 R1 {+ _0 A5 XBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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