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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal' Q0 {! K1 Q- I* y F0 \4 K
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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( t# A* \$ B l/ J% jEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.) a% D( U) [) Z
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.. E) {* f( X: Z
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?4 q7 ]: G1 t% l
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No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.( g! |5 L7 t9 D: h% N! O2 |' b
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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. B* n' y: Y2 }1 qWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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! P& `0 [3 Q# O8 F7 m) g* g+ T0 p# XA question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.0 i- Z5 U& t I1 g
; k1 n K) G0 Z6 E H2 L. Q* V; G- C- lThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower." H. ~# q/ n3 h' H
, P/ @+ P1 B6 s) u z* Y5 VA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.) [+ s% a' N9 n; b& o8 H, M4 q, l
' p: I- A3 ^$ c. G GAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise./ ?) W3 k& V, |: b
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Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.2 ^) g! Q! [! a+ O( `$ }$ `+ n
% g3 d2 Q0 A) N8 k) P m9 k"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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