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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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S! x& a" k4 `The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its: T7 G8 n" [" ^* n7 |/ V5 Z
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is: k9 P/ |" b8 W- g. h. |, V1 u
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing3 _1 o; ^. k- h1 z- t. z" K: v m
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European/ \' y* X: |9 Z
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from/ I o, T6 P4 G4 h) V/ O2 _
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could4 X# O' v7 K1 \5 ?: V
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.4 k! O0 ^2 W( _5 k
$ \2 R7 W8 r8 \4 m; `5 uThe recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of$ I9 G- O$ y. y. X; m+ z0 u
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are2 w+ ]- f" Q6 p6 u5 H0 T/ P+ o
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.! v( _$ W% C: L- y. E- ]; k! p* R
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative8 [# y1 S) r% U8 S
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
# q: z& k$ F* b4 }8 Y" j7 j, N+ drecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.; [. v6 ?) k& C; s
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects- Z: \7 G/ \, Q7 f1 @* h
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity+ _! J5 H$ G8 e& q# r7 r
performance.% D! [. U. W/ Z9 T- Y4 R n+ K
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
, a7 Y/ y+ W0 j! jBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the6 Z( e4 A5 g( k1 g; `6 Y
considerable slack in the economy./ n) R" s. O8 f& u( t1 z ~. a
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
3 n4 z5 A7 z( X; s1 Sat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the% A4 I1 J1 j! }4 w. D C$ j% A
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
|/ G0 I7 [& W$ d$ Y* Xreduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.# i& F+ v) v! s( X+ m$ [3 e
Information note:5 q1 f. M+ \5 T# ^& y9 R
6 ~2 L9 V6 P/ k8 j( c- ^The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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