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本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-11-3 21:39 编辑
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' x5 o) I9 c0 Q$ C- k6 ^7 E; o/ LThe US dollar was under pressure following a slightly more aggressive QE than the markets had anticipated. The Federal Reserve announced they will purchase an additional $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the next 8 months which comes out to about $75 billion per month. This is compared to forecasts of $500 billion over 6 months and is in addition to the roughly $35 billion per month in reinvestment purchases.+ K# }5 w; ]& J& i/ m& f
嘿嘿……美国准备印很多很多的钱，不过这个预期已经被PRICE IN了1个多月了。/ H3 \+ _. l* h& L7 I
现在股市标普为例面临1210-1220之间的阻力。6 h, {$ b& T0 V3 z
参见我9月1号的帖子：http://www.edmontonchina.ca/view ... &extra=page%3D2
g$ ]2 ^: E; c& ?) |2 K8 X& c& ~; p从大势上看，突破是迟早的事情，但是我们应该注意一下市场今天都告诉了我们什么。 j: Q% L4 A, i( h' A
今天的市场风险资产以黄金为例，经历了大起大落。在消息出来之前，黄金自由落体般下跌了30块。而消息是more aggressive，但是黄金未能创出新高。
( N9 [+ x4 a- Q1 G. s. S* S) v今天早些时候出来的数据：8 b. K5 h* _; K! [3 R Z9 b. c+ ?
Economic data released earlier showed ADP employment was much better than the expected +20K with a print of +43K for October up from the prior month’s -2K (revised higher from -39K). September factory orders surprised to the upside rising by more than the forecast of +1.6% climbing +2.1% from the prior 0.0 and the October ISM non-manufacturing index advanced to 54.3 (cons. 53.5 prior 53.2). The ISM Chairman mentioned that the ‘slow growth’ indicated by the report is more sustainable than a fast pickup. / ?0 e6 U) q0 P/ e! z
股市在这些数据的配合下，仅仅小涨。
~, V1 K4 g, d' s" Q, t4 ^种种迹象都证明风险资产的上涨长期看还有大幅空间。* L" s, G; K6 J% `7 y
短期看，OVERDONE。; [8 s+ J5 }0 O4 I3 p) Z a
所以关注标普1210-1220的阻力位置。
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/ e0 I' Y- `7 d% F& l1 f6 H V至于黄金，很清楚的3浪调整走势，目前是第三浪开始不久，不过不能越过1366。
" V# m- K6 N6 \# a7 K b& M- u因此可以考虑在1256.50卖出黄金，止损1267。目标大概1280-1285之间。图不知道为什么不能下载，抱歉。 |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2010-11-3 20:37
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楼主
发表于 2010-11-3 21:02
发表于 2010-11-3 23:35
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