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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* c! F; u: i" K5 j- n% ]* E
" j4 t# R. r3 d8 i$ T6 gOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 o, A$ ~: D: k3 [4 m; B4 s
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% X. y7 Q) H3 b( wraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: O1 y) [2 P% Q0 p
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with R+ J H* x$ t) j# K7 |1 ~+ W8 \
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# x" ~* t# m$ Z3 E4 Z2 O! I
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 d/ ?2 ^. @/ q; K6 e; q( t6 C
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ d% G1 R/ s! g; T2 W# b3 XIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
D" J1 ~' D1 k8 s, _ Ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
( U& x$ \8 x' R4 j; [; jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 _3 T: c& Q5 Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* ~5 X6 l- {- ?& ?important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ l* E: ~2 k% Q+ G
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity3 o4 {% }/ w* M0 j; T
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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- O& ~6 B8 f) S @/ \. K* e4 MActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 {) o3 v+ t: x$ X. Z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 E5 T6 y5 c: {* Y5 B
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# L9 D1 u" ~5 f0 J9 Q+ R- A
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more# o3 c; h4 o0 n6 L& Q
balanced recovery.' k6 a o/ l: Q" z' Y& b) q
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 H" T& W: T/ p( ?
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess; L0 |; Z5 A- }4 | n! B- P
supply.3 M0 u4 S) z( }7 C+ ?
1 p t5 f% p+ a2 kIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and, G9 }. m$ X3 ^8 P' k* d3 Q" c+ Z. f' M
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + T& I$ m2 R2 n m% R4 t
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 \2 m3 b; a: b: H3 V8 usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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6 S( h; M/ E. G# P! JGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: ^( k: o% R c9 {* ]; J
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, A$ [! L: j* j7 }2 e8 Zdevelopments.
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Information note:/ I; l7 ?- i. a% `( G& o! ]' L9 p
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
* N$ S4 L9 C0 t: y2 B& o B/ W( hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 S2 N% N* w7 L
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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