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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market! Z* p7 ` u- g- O6 H6 B/ _
1 k$ R/ }5 K6 D' ^1 T9 GOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ w# e e! a5 g+ d( b: K( i8 Hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: R( K& t4 `, |+ y# Z( Y6 Qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ W/ t& A1 [. H/ ^6 N
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. Q, c% N( @6 V l# t
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with7 ~) k. K1 m' e
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) b3 C2 i+ Z4 `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
; c, w% c9 C- T4 Pin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
8 @& Y/ {- @) K/ \4 h: \In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
! [8 w' l( T6 Jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 h( y8 W* N/ j# G$ K9 r- @
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 ]* J) X9 k. C8 c6 q! _+ A
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
% r Z+ @9 @6 @* k' Bimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the% p W0 p- D* h9 |' M J8 U
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% ^% f& C# U7 B4 O9 zprices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 @5 x+ z4 Y2 a5 l5 {
* b$ g' A, M1 T4 @4 {3 pActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 i$ Z& m' g% R% R
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ ]% Z- Z7 E4 B1 t, _ U1 O; Y: X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* B& M& f3 R: a; \0 K
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
6 l" n3 y6 A1 P6 fbalanced recovery.# M8 f9 J9 c+ l" c0 |: S
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects8 u$ l. Y! ~. p9 X4 ~
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# Q8 G8 F: w( i3 Q( r
supply.3 e$ y: S( A+ `6 o
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and0 v, W0 O! M* x6 A. i( c. o1 @6 N
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 {( a% c, R8 F/ ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " G1 d) N' I1 N7 t0 c- P
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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) A: M0 z. M% E2 z ]% Z9 f) cGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' q- U/ I% i9 F6 m" m1 o* o. _, @
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
9 I7 a" {3 X9 ]% X- W- `developments.. ~* I! y% G, J
/ R# X* b" U' G. u, S2 n3 K6 ZInformation note:
2 _( T% b* n) qThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
; j) F( v: I8 T6 M1 o6 aof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be- L8 R5 z9 v; t# h7 R z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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