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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. / i- G$ z/ ^6 t6 U9 D6 r7 V
/ Q, i. T$ F$ y( NThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 7 w0 A- J+ U! I4 {9 {& p
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. # u1 t( @2 E; B8 @9 V
0 L+ K1 C s* g2 g3 vNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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$ a3 j( ]; S* |$ s8 {0 GIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700. ?% d: r, \; Y2 z" U. j4 ]
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. % ?7 Z$ m" `% B# r: k
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." * {/ d) I5 Q6 z, C, N7 k: h! m( G
- a7 ~& J K f, ]% M j) I& nIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. ; U6 H4 W6 l* ~+ c9 k
" Q: e/ U5 Y5 v0 {The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009." {$ d+ A7 {% V; r4 \
. I$ V5 H7 }1 i+ x9 L6 g$ A' q3 Y+ W: mCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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