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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. / Z; P/ ?& a; x6 t- K0 V6 B
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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3 T( P/ i1 v5 E( ~, vThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. ! B7 n3 X8 f6 r
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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" f: w& ~$ o9 b0 r: z/ f" } s" ~It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.# o% f; ^& Z+ _1 _' f2 q0 l
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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9 ?7 K" L! X. B- Z. ]However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." ( e" K G! p9 f+ F
% N& l. K S2 J( O6 p% [It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 3 Q& b( x8 s0 Q, D5 j( k7 v
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.- D/ C8 z9 K) z# H' j1 s
+ u' X4 h5 R3 w7 e z6 }CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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