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Oilsands an emerging global growth star3 ~+ @, I* R7 P1 {0 }
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 20303 a, t) G7 t6 F# A( }4 T3 t+ i8 F
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
9 x; U6 Y) U" [' x; S7 tPublished: 2:37 am
/ Y' A% r) a0 I9 }; tEDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.5 h( g. d. {& O* k# c
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.' r- Q- K; i9 [; ^1 j) e0 k
4 i0 P* ^4 d# |Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.) x e! V# Q6 c2 W5 J- z9 w- S6 G
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.* i, U/ j" s* w' V4 u. ?( t) j2 ?
Larry Wong, The Journal; j) W% v) n! R& u+ t' S
1 ?* ?3 @( u, j7 U; B2 NEdmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.! P0 k1 ?% U* S! e. |) p
+ h) M. ?) e; B' {7 I$ j2 _Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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3 T% [7 F! }6 \0 P) `. x4 b5 jWhile no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said./ q! s1 T- r2 x( B* E! ^
# _$ X( B# M, V8 q+ Y: eWhen the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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