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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.: B4 v/ r( } z1 i9 J. c+ S
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
2 m' X- m9 ~" k, pIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
. l3 T1 X1 |( m7 P; {TD can give you 4.2%.
9 Y* b% ^1 o* n7 H n3 zBMO can give you 4.3%.
' k$ p% J% e* X1 |2 A1 eRBC can give you 4.0%.
6 Z* N8 u. c8 w4 z- G2 v! Z0 Y(Roughly) ? k8 R, P$ w/ C0 j6 q, \
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.
' l0 O- z" o( f. e) F; A H% l, oAlso, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
/ v5 j7 t" `( w5 V) ? ZAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
! u& J# F" d3 WFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
8 f% l! b5 k8 WRough calculation:% s* |3 q/ i: p8 } [
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
/ z( d; ^: D; Q& u7 e5 aBuy 10000 US cost you 105000
5 _/ n" ?& v7 }7 uDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
1 v) k0 d. Z9 L+ [5 y+ Z. \If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.) ]3 k5 ~3 }; }6 C! K) K+ f
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.
9 J( m, d4 z$ F y5 J# i; tI am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
+ ]: C6 f! [0 L- J/ CBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely./ z7 R X I0 D. o+ W$ k
6 S4 }0 T, z! g# k! t' ~9 Q! nAll above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2007-9-16 10:59
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